Abandoned-Tadpole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

100

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$169

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-29 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

62% 27% -$3

Crypto

33% 17% -$30

Politics

5% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	2	$14	12	12	+0	Yes	+$10	05-11 10:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$7	45	45	+0	No	-$3	03-20 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	05-13 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 15?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	05-15 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:10 UTC	4	$5	17	2	+14	Up	-$1	06-23 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 16?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	05-16 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	2	$5	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-13 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-16 08:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 19:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13?	2	$4	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 16?	2	$3	17	17	+0	No	+$1	05-15 22:28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	-$1	05-13 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	-$1	05-13 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$3	64	7	+57	Up	-$1	05-08 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:15 UTC	2	$3	8	0	+8	Up	-$3	06-23 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	2	$3	6	6	+0	No	-$1	05-13 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	2	$2	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 15:20 UTC	2	$2	25	0	+25	Down	-$2	06-29 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	05-10 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	05-10 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 14?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-12 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 13?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	-$1	05-13 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 13?	2	$1	7	7	+0	No	-$1	05-13 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 16?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	-$1	05-16 07:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:05 UTC	1	$1	33	0	+33	Down	-$1	03-20 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 13?	2	$1	3	3	+0	Yes	-$1	05-13 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 11?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	05-10 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 16?	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	05-14 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 18?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	05-16 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 15:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x022807…
06-29 15:22:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe21305…
06-29 15:21:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd3e59a…
06-29 15:17:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8e89fb…
06-23 09:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x95a61a…
06-23 09:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa431fd…
06-23 09:11:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf37747…
06-23 09:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x7f50f9…
06-23 09:11:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5b62d2…
06-23 09:10:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa14187…
06-22 10:13:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf9249b…
06-22 10:07:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3ad80c…
05-17 09:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x24a179…
05-17 09:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x39b5da…
05-17 09:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2dd323…
05-17 08:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd84ea9…
05-17 08:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcb2647…
05-17 08:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x43fef8…
05-16 11:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbf7a97…
05-16 08:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x163558…
05-16 07:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xbdd31d…
05-16 07:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcc327d…
05-16 07:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x78fe0c…
05-16 07:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x66e814…
05-15 22:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x675ff6…
05-15 21:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaac33b…
05-14 08:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbd2596…
05-14 08:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0c398f…
05-14 08:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x55b568…
05-14 08:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5e312e…
05-14 08:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe54086…
05-14 08:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5065c8…
05-14 07:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc161f0…
05-14 07:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf1f99c…
05-14 07:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9869d7…
05-14 07:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x53593e…
05-14 07:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa26447…
05-14 07:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5c2603…
05-13 13:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x1436e6…
05-13 11:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xff1142…
05-13 11:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x5df42f…
05-13 10:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xf38ea5…
05-13 10:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x15bdbc…
05-13 10:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x099770…
05-13 09:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xcd4fa5…
05-13 09:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7cd0a2…
05-13 09:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x46a5bd…
05-13 09:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbe3707…
05-13 09:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xb9db30…
05-13 09:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xe4a19d…
05-13 09:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcfbbfd…
05-13 09:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4e4cee…
05-13 09:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x0d184c…
05-13 09:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x1afe84…
05-13 09:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xa31f1d…
05-13 09:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x039830…
05-13 08:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x260865…
05-13 05:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3701db…
05-13 05:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xeaeef9…
05-12 21:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5ef317…
05-12 21:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x1601be…
05-12 21:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x378575…
05-12 21:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcbfbf4…
05-12 19:35:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb04236…
05-12 14:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x940f26…
05-12 11:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x49e829…
05-12 11:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcb5b33…
05-12 11:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaaee35…
05-12 10:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7e100d…
05-11 15:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc606fa…
05-11 15:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x151da0…
05-11 15:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x283af2…
05-11 15:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xff2b5a…
05-11 15:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6d2f76…
05-11 11:05:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd127de…
05-11 11:03:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x81124e…
05-11 10:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x99a528…
05-11 10:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x602f50…
05-11 10:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xac5519…
05-11 10:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6adbcf…
05-11 10:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x8946f7…
05-11 10:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x97bdf7…
05-10 21:24:38	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x99b8e4…
05-10 21:24:11	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb5ac12…
05-10 21:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9471ce…
05-10 17:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa9df94…
05-10 17:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x795226…
05-10 16:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfd0a21…
05-10 16:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfda9be…
05-10 16:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x119799…
05-09 15:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e060f…
05-09 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9b2c10…
05-09 15:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x95fe5e…
05-09 15:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x79fae7…
05-09 14:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa525f5…
05-09 14:49:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe87efe…
05-09 14:22:43	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1a19e4…
05-09 13:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbf19e0…
05-09 13:11:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6e7d4f…
05-09 13:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x86c34f…