Abandoned-Tadpole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$64

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-29 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 23% $-14

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$7	45	45	+0	open	—	03-20 17:59
btc updown 5m 1782205800	4	$5	17	2	+14	open	—	06-23 09:11
btc updown 5m 1782206100	2	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	06-23 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$2	57	7	+50	Up	$-0	05-08 15:43
btc updown 5m 1782746400	2	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	06-29 15:22
btc updown 5m 1774033500	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	03-20 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-09 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-09 15:27
btc updown 5m 1782122700	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	06-22 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-10 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-08 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-10 17:13
btc updown 5m 1782746100	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-29 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-08 17:17
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 13:06
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-09 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Down	$-1	05-08 16:02
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-09 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-08 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	+$5	05-08 17:11
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during panthers visit	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	01-15 18:05
Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-10 21:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 13:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-09 15:06
btc updown 15m 1767909600	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-08 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-08 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 15:26:55	btc updown 5m 1782746700	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x022807…
06-29 15:22:52	btc updown 5m 1782746400	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe21305…
06-29 15:21:53	btc updown 5m 1782746400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd3e59a…
06-29 15:17:05	btc updown 5m 1782746100	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8e89fb…
06-23 09:16:16	btc updown 5m 1782206100	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x95a61a…
06-23 09:15:07	btc updown 5m 1782206100	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa431fd…
06-23 09:11:34	btc updown 5m 1782205800	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf37747…
06-23 09:11:17	btc updown 5m 1782205800	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x7f50f9…
06-23 09:11:02	btc updown 5m 1782205800	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5b62d2…
06-23 09:10:08	btc updown 5m 1782205800	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa14187…
06-22 10:13:01	btc updown 5m 1782123000	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf9249b…
06-22 10:07:59	btc updown 5m 1782122700	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3ad80c…
05-10 21:24:38	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x99b8e4…
05-10 21:24:11	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb5ac12…
05-10 17:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa9df94…
05-10 17:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x795226…
05-09 15:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e060f…
05-09 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9b2c10…
05-09 15:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x95fe5e…
05-09 15:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x79fae7…
05-09 14:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa525f5…
05-09 14:49:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe87efe…
05-09 14:22:43	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1a19e4…
05-09 13:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbf19e0…
05-09 13:11:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6e7d4f…
05-09 13:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x86c34f…
05-09 13:06:02	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x420533…
05-09 12:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4d462d…
05-09 12:58:57	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x270fa7…
05-09 12:52:56	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc00a28…
05-09 12:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x570a1c…
05-09 12:52:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8c91da…
05-09 12:42:35	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xebb3f9…
05-09 12:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04c8eb…
05-09 12:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9c1b92…
05-09 12:10:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x349b7f…
05-09 12:02:10	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbb9943…
05-09 11:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc03191…
05-08 18:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd98beb…
05-08 18:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x895b49…
05-08 17:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x47341a…
05-08 17:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8bd03b…
05-08 17:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4429b0…
05-08 17:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x067656…
05-08 17:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2f04f8…
05-08 16:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x675dcc…
05-08 16:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc58b97…
05-08 15:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x7ac614…
05-08 15:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xd31955…
05-08 14:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd90932…
03-20 19:08:07	btc updown 5m 1774033500	Up	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x18d446…
03-20 19:02:41	btc updown 5m 1774033200	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x09b76b…
03-20 17:59:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x16cded…
03-17 21:55:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x714103…
01-15 18:05:54	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during panthers visit	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x23d36c…
01-08 22:12:12	btc updown 15m 1767909600	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x05a0f5…