Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16?
open
Total volume
$231
$50 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,061
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 11:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $105 | $78 | +$27 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 3 | — | $46 | $46 |
| Below median | 4 | $7 | $6 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $93 | — | +$93 |
| unranked | 2 | $4 | $16 | $12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unhealthy-Bog 0xcbbc…b5d0 | Yes | +315 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 05-15 02:02 |
| Concerned-Chef 0xe9b1…79d7 | No | +56 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 05-15 03:13 |
| Famous-Historian 0x587c…603f | No | +22 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-15 04:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1df0…3938 | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 05:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…c319 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 23:57 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 21:55 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:44 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 09:49 |
| Tight-Integer 0x748b…16e4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:16 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:19 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 11:45 |
| Bewitched-Passenger-Discretion 0x3407…ea50 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 07:30 |
| Insidious-Stem 0xb7b1…ef08 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:09 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 11:45:47 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x396264… |
| 05-15 11:45:47 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x93aaaa… |
| 05-15 11:45:45 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x185c42… |
| 05-15 11:45:45 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4600df… |
| 05-15 11:45:45 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xdf03c9… |
| 05-15 11:45:45 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x543d6a… |
| 05-15 11:45:45 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x311ad2… |
| 05-15 11:45:45 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xac3a88… |
| 05-15 11:45:45 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x0cb920… |
| 05-15 09:49:35 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x61cd38… |
| 05-15 08:09:32 | Insidious-Stem 0xb7b1…ef08 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xd95c59… |
| 05-15 07:30:31 | Bewitched-Passenger-Discretion 0x3407…ea50 | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x310ca8… |
| 05-15 04:34:24 | Famous-Historian 0x587c…603f | No | BUY | 22 | 74¢ | $16 | 0xab5c5e… |
| 05-15 03:13:32 | Concerned-Chef 0xe9b1…79d7 | No | BUY | 29 | 75¢ | $22 | 0xe39958… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x2dfdb5… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Unhealthy-Bog 0xcbbc…b5d0 | Yes | BUY | 315 | 29¢ | $93 | 0xb7aa41… |
| 05-14 23:57:05 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…c319 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x433759… |
| 05-14 21:55:14 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xaf084b… |
| 05-14 21:13:30 | Concerned-Chef 0xe9b1…79d7 | No | BUY | 27 | 79¢ | $21 | 0x76b43f… |
| 05-14 17:44:12 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x57077f… |
| 05-14 17:19:21 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7a602d… |
| 05-14 17:19:21 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf2c903… |
| 05-14 15:53:18 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xeb400e… |
| 05-14 15:11:34 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | SELL | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0x78f6fa… |
| 05-14 06:16:25 | Tight-Integer 0x748b…16e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x201875… |
| 05-14 05:30:58 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x2f2037… |
| 05-14 05:10:14 | (anonymous) 0x1df0…3938 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xeb8744… |