Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$183
$1,147 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,907
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 10:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $35 | $124 | $89 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $30 | $28 | +$2 |
| Median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $36 | $36 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | +122 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 05-13 06:03 |
| Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | +43 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 05-13 09:05 |
| Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | +35 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0db1…6272 | Yes | +28 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +27 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-12 17:01 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Numb-Colleague 0xb427…4c62 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 09:05 |
| Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 09:05 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 21:11 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 17:01 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 22:07 |
| Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b69…374a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 10:03:08 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x43a671… |
| 05-13 09:05:06 | Numb-Colleague 0xb427…4c62 | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x0b4572… |
| 05-13 09:05:02 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x5376a0… |
| 05-13 09:05:01 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xf77393… |
| 05-13 09:04:57 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x12ca74… |
| 05-13 06:04:04 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | BUY | 29 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x860645… |
| 05-13 06:03:57 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x1479b6… |
| 05-13 06:03:57 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x8d4065… |
| 05-13 04:51:09 | Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x7d7657… |
| 05-13 03:28:10 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0xbd7e7e… |
| 05-13 03:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x5b69…374a | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x312a61… |
| 05-13 03:27:26 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | SELL | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x277a89… |
| 05-13 02:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x907120… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xff8f30… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x7e2a91… |
| 05-12 23:33:15 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xfae83d… |
| 05-12 23:31:16 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x2927fd… |
| 05-12 22:07:11 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xd31416… |
| 05-12 21:11:16 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0xd207b8… |
| 05-12 19:56:14 | (anonymous) 0x0db1…6272 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x3ab32b… |
| 05-12 17:01:33 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0x1c7ac0… |
| 05-12 17:01:31 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x0cc6c0… |
| 05-12 16:01:56 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 18 | 72¢ | $13 | 0x45c9c0… |
| 05-12 12:37:42 | Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xad1412… |
| 05-12 05:30:56 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x72e5b1… |