Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$109
Trades
28
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$758
Latest YES mid
35¢
Latest NO mid
65¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 12:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $54 | $41 | +$13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 8 | $10 | $31 | $21 |
| Below median | 8 | $36 | $6 | +$29 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| unranked | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | +42 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-15 10:19 |
| Concerned-Chef 0xe9b1…79d7 | No | +31 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-15 04:13 |
| Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 23:41 |
| Light-Tog 0x4302…8d4f | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 09:30 |
| Hoarse-Eclipse 0x4235…81e4 | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xff89…dbff | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 12:06 |
| Blind-Wick 0x5628…0b12 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 19:57 |
| Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 09:31 |
| Common-Beanstalk 0x3cb0…bfbf | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 10:11 |
| Stark-Tourist 0x43c7…18db | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 07:24 |
| Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 23:37 |
| Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3f7…9ccd | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 02:23 |
| Spherical-Casement-Violence 0xbd0d…1fb4 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 10:09 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 10:09 |
| Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 04:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 12:06:56 | (anonymous) 0xff89…dbff | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xcb26c3… |
| 05-15 10:19:22 | Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xda9a0d… |
| 05-15 10:11:12 | Common-Beanstalk 0x3cb0…bfbf | No | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x671386… |
| 05-15 10:09:18 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xb7f1f1… |
| 05-15 10:09:18 | Spherical-Casement-Violence 0xbd0d…1fb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x036452… |
| 05-15 09:45:21 | Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | BUY | 32 | 28¢ | $9 | 0xe202f9… |
| 05-15 09:31:07 | Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xa8375c… |
| 05-15 09:30:57 | Light-Tog 0x4302…8d4f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x064d90… |
| 05-15 07:24:01 | Stark-Tourist 0x43c7…18db | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x7fd689… |
| 05-15 04:13:35 | Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x6c0110… |
| 05-15 04:13:33 | Concerned-Chef 0xe9b1…79d7 | No | BUY | 31 | 70¢ | $22 | 0xea4bc9… |
| 05-15 02:23:06 | (anonymous) 0xb3f7…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x4f8d5b… |
| 05-15 01:37:39 | (anonymous) 0xb7a0…b8aa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x5ea385… |
| 05-15 01:37:39 | (anonymous) 0xb7a0…b8aa | Yes | SELL | 32 | 29¢ | $9 | 0xa733e0… |
| 05-15 00:02:41 | Hoarse-Eclipse 0x4235…81e4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x5b8313… |
| 05-14 23:42:01 | (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xadc726… |
| 05-14 23:42:01 | (anonymous) 0xb724…e886 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x1e99a2… |
| 05-14 23:41:59 | Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x3c6550… |
| 05-14 23:41:59 | (anonymous) 0xb7a0…b8aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x50192e… |
| 05-14 23:41:59 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x930f9f… |
| 05-14 23:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xb7a0…b8aa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0xe04509… |
| 05-14 23:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x860792… |
| 05-14 23:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xb724…e886 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0xd3c5b7… |
| 05-14 23:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x768219… |
| 05-14 23:37:05 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xe987c7… |
| 05-14 19:57:43 | Blind-Wick 0x5628…0b12 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xb76b9a… |
| 05-14 18:04:30 | Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xcfe6e9… |
| 05-14 14:14:06 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x649123… |