Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$370
$767 in 24h
Trades
68
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$1,943
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 13:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $46 | $46 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $1 | $117 | $116 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $70 | $103 | $33 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $2 | $161 | $159 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $14 | $21 | $7 |
| Median | 11 | $8 | $55 | $47 |
| Below median | 8 | $1 | $18 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $40 | $4 | +$36 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
| unranked | 5 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | +110 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-14 21:28 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +91 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | +75 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 18:39 |
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +73 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | +69 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 18:39 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +54 | $46 | $46 | 7 | 05-14 19:27 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +25 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 05-15 13:00 |
| Vital-Fatherinlaw 0xab3e…86c9 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 03:35 |
| Elliptical-Independent 0xb009…d266 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 11:46 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-15 12:52 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-14 23:27 |
| Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 22:08 |
| Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 07:50 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:29 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 09:37 |
| Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:09 |
| Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:24 |
| Bland-Pounding 0x25af…8cde | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 09:50 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:11 |
| Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 12:41 |
| Mammoth-Installation-Earplug 0x5082…8253 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:09 |
| Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 19:06 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:09 |
| Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 18:09 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 12:09 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Judicious-Mortal 0xd23e…f94a | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:02 |
| Long-Term-Nerve 0xd0a4…29b6 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:15 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 05:10 |
| Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:28 |
| Damp-Limestone 0x3f04…f573 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 01:53 |
| True-Basket 0xa8c3…eb8b | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 11:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:11:02 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xa40d54… |
| 05-15 13:00:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xa19b5e… |
| 05-15 12:52:40 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xb9e3c8… |
| 05-15 12:52:38 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xc28aac… |
| 05-15 12:41:19 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 14 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x9c2dab… |
| 05-15 12:41:08 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x0ef35c… |
| 05-15 12:16:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xd4898e… |
| 05-15 12:09:30 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x48f247… |
| 05-15 11:46:22 | Elliptical-Independent 0xb009…d266 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x3552c7… |
| 05-15 11:15:16 | Long-Term-Nerve 0xd0a4…29b6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x5214d2… |
| 05-15 11:10:24 | True-Basket 0xa8c3…eb8b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xb80e28… |
| 05-15 11:02:21 | Judicious-Mortal 0xd23e…f94a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xc99b12… |
| 05-15 10:31:07 | Damp-Limestone 0x3f04…f573 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x59e718… |
| 05-15 10:09:34 | Grubby-Pagan 0x17e0…64e7 | No | SELL | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x4f003e… |
| 05-15 10:05:36 | True-Basket 0xa8c3…eb8b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xcb7f43… |
| 05-15 09:50:12 | Bland-Pounding 0x25af…8cde | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xc1f541… |
| 05-15 09:37:16 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0x27c5b9… |
| 05-15 08:54:31 | Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | No | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x06df2e… |
| 05-15 08:46:21 | Grounded-Ear 0xd953…cb2f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x45766f… |
| 05-15 07:51:33 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x22e249… |
| 05-15 07:50:37 | Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xcae338… |
| 05-15 05:29:06 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc37350… |
| 05-15 01:53:10 | Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x42fac2… |
| 05-15 00:25:18 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xa4f7c4… |
| 05-15 00:17:46 | (anonymous) 0xf129…1edc | No | SELL | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0x583559… |
| 05-15 00:17:46 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x7093ea… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x03043e… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfad378… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x3b6c0f… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x8e6227… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfca452… |
| 05-14 22:32:25 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x78ff83… |
| 05-14 22:08:58 | Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | BUY | 13 | 81¢ | $11 | 0x5306e5… |
| 05-14 22:08:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x53f977… |
| 05-14 21:28:41 | Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 18¢ | $12 | 0x6f7e4b… |
| 05-14 21:21:50 | Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x74b54f… |
| 05-14 21:18:43 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xc21ad4… |
| 05-14 19:27:27 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 11 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x0e599a… |
| 05-14 19:27:13 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xdd4599… |
| 05-14 19:22:01 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 14 | 77¢ | $11 | 0xfa6a70… |
| 05-14 19:22:01 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xec3287… |
| 05-14 19:21:47 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x063300… |
| 05-14 19:06:56 | Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x9eab7b… |
| 05-14 19:04:59 | Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x497090… |
| 05-14 18:52:21 | Arid-Preservation 0x2dc1…1e47 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x4ae7b5… |
| 05-14 18:39:54 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 19¢ | $14 | 0xbb33e0… |
| 05-14 18:39:54 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | BUY | 69 | 21¢ | $14 | 0xc133ef… |
| 05-14 18:09:41 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x002b3a… |
| 05-14 18:09:41 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x555a70… |
| 05-14 18:09:06 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xea05c7… |
| 05-14 18:09:04 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd6567a… |
| 05-14 16:54:19 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xb720f8… |
| 05-14 15:19:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x9d46c5… |
| 05-14 15:19:28 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe6d1a6… |
| 05-14 12:47:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xf2fedf… |
| 05-14 10:54:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x7d4a40… |
| 05-14 09:59:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xb74171… |
| 05-14 07:09:12 | Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x697c5c… |
| 05-14 05:10:47 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x8ce6c5… |
| 05-14 05:10:47 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x1fab05… |
| 05-14 05:01:03 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x4788a4… |
| 05-14 04:01:08 | Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x54bdc3… |
| 05-14 03:35:46 | Vital-Fatherinlaw 0xab3e…86c9 | No | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0xae4a10… |
| 05-14 00:09:47 | Mammoth-Installation-Earplug 0x5082…8253 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4ab00b… |
| 05-13 21:28:19 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xf1a580… |
| 05-13 21:23:13 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 32 | 93¢ | $30 | 0x83e4ec… |
| 05-13 21:23:08 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 59 | 93¢ | $55 | 0xdd1f4d… |
| 05-13 09:24:12 | Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6bf788… |