Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$202
$2,118 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$3,185
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 05:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $32
vs crowd: 15% YES on $200)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $66 | $66 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $31 | $103 | $72 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $33 | $33 |
| Median | 2 | — | $23 | $23 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | — | $74 | $74 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +1,023 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 05-14 01:07 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:21 |
| Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | +32 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-13 07:21 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Whopping-Effect 0xa708…9321 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 05-14 04:00 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 00:05 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 07:34 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 15:33 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 05:01:05 | Wide-Eyed-Dependent 0x8c34…18a9 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x51feae… |
| 05-14 04:00:30 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9eb06b… |
| 05-14 01:07:06 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 102 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x78b32a… |
| 05-14 00:37:12 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x42b89e… |
| 05-14 00:37:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x88b454… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe81d06… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7f3e98… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdf86b7… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x310f12… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xded4b3… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | Whopping-Effect 0xa708…9321 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xe1cc5b… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x7372b1… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 370 | 4¢ | $14 | 0xd3fef5… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | Whopping-Effect 0xa708…9321 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x8d0dec… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x89f6f1… |
| 05-14 00:15:20 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5027cc… |
| 05-14 00:12:02 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x6db2bb… |
| 05-14 00:05:09 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x3e52f8… |
| 05-14 00:04:10 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 551 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x70ab05… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe9d345… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7731ae… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x06aaf6… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x57dbc7… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c09f6… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbbb3bc… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf307a5… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0a408a… |
| 05-13 07:34:30 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x152d21… |
| 05-13 07:21:18 | Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0xe4038b… |
| 05-13 07:21:18 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd8ddcb… |
| 05-13 04:58:47 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xad8fd7… |