Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$203
$700 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$2,054
Latest YES mid
29¢
Latest NO mid
71¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 22:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $23 | $23 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $85 | $67 | +$18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $40 | $37 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| Median | 6 | $2 | $35 | $33 |
| Below median | 9 | $16 | $14 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| unranked | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | +128 | $36 | $36 | 6 | 05-14 22:02 |
| Unhealthy-Bog 0xcbbc…b5d0 | Yes | +91 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-14 02:57 |
| Married-Hour 0x351a…f836 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Severe-Return 0x2aec…6e19 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 05-14 14:26 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +28 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 05-14 21:49 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +24 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-14 21:47 |
| Several-Hexagon 0x249e…3cff | Yes | +23 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-14 19:59 |
| Attractive-Arrogance 0xb1df…3d5d | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 20:09 |
| Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 21:37 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 04:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 03:16 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 19:21 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 02:57 |
| Small-Showstopper 0x2277…f2d4 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 10:53 |
| Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:18 |
| Cheery-Quit 0xd6be…f675 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:14 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:09 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 22:08:55 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 0 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x2fef0e… |
| 05-14 22:02:24 | Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0xe2cfba… |
| 05-14 21:59:05 | Forsaken-Trolley 0xbb1a…1e6d | No | SELL | 16 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x0f7d68… |
| 05-14 21:58:46 | Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x8493dd… |
| 05-14 21:52:22 | Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x24e07f… |
| 05-14 21:49:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xd00217… |
| 05-14 21:47:02 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 24 | 72¢ | $17 | 0xaaa1de… |
| 05-14 21:45:19 | Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 28¢ | $11 | 0x541aba… |
| 05-14 21:45:15 | Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 27¢ | $9 | 0xe18f70… |
| 05-14 21:45:08 | Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x608b0c… |
| 05-14 21:37:25 | Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 25¢ | $3 | 0xb57340… |
| 05-14 21:18:18 | Married-Hour 0x351a…f836 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x2f1b27… |
| 05-14 20:09:58 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x37ac22… |
| 05-14 20:09:51 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf996f5… |
| 05-14 19:59:05 | Several-Hexagon 0x249e…3cff | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x97c55e… |
| 05-14 19:21:37 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x93ae57… |
| 05-14 19:04:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x3f248e… |
| 05-14 18:49:53 | Several-Hexagon 0x249e…3cff | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x958e66… |
| 05-14 17:18:53 | Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x08f879… |
| 05-14 16:36:53 | Attractive-Arrogance 0xb1df…3d5d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xef6dd0… |
| 05-14 16:36:28 | Husky-Chasuble 0x7796…ccc2 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x75da7f… |
| 05-14 16:09:10 | Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x6b135b… |
| 05-14 15:28:55 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x1433bd… |
| 05-14 15:26:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2881b9… |
| 05-14 14:48:19 | Several-Hexagon 0x249e…3cff | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x58a222… |
| 05-14 14:26:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x7c6206… |
| 05-14 14:26:09 | Severe-Return 0x2aec…6e19 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x31e4f3… |
| 05-14 14:26:02 | Severe-Return 0x2aec…6e19 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x2d0f12… |
| 05-14 14:23:18 | Severe-Return 0x2aec…6e19 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x0b2abb… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe267b4… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2de2a7… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2a56f2… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd84fef… |
| 05-14 10:14:21 | Cheery-Quit 0xd6be…f675 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8fbeca… |
| 05-14 06:54:09 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xcf1ab4… |
| 05-14 04:41:22 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x1d34f7… |
| 05-14 04:16:06 | Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0d9569… |
| 05-14 04:01:43 | Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb56c66… |
| 05-14 04:01:15 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x1f90d9… |
| 05-14 03:46:02 | Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x79155f… |
| 05-14 03:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x3c45b3… |
| 05-14 02:57:11 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $7 | 0x98f420… |
| 05-14 02:57:07 | Unhealthy-Bog 0xcbbc…b5d0 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 19¢ | $17 | 0x16ea0d… |
| 05-13 20:27:45 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x0b2e59… |
| 05-13 10:53:22 | Small-Showstopper 0x2277…f2d4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x30729c… |