Smooth-Influence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$175

Unrealized P&L

-$262

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

801

lifetime

Volume

$270.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$338

Open exposure

$37

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 07-20 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% 50% $-62

Crypto

24% 0% $-200

Politics

15% 50% +$438

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+3,000	$300	1¢	$37	$-262	07-11 15:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$19.2K	9,790	10,037	-247	open	—	07-06 15:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	4	$15.8K	8,204	8,204	+0	open	—	05-23 17:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$11.9K	6,339	6,339	+0	open	—	05-27 20:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	15	$10.1K	5,439	5,439	+0	open	—	05-21 12:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$8.5K	4,468	4,468	+0	open	—	05-29 12:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	9	$6.9K	5,546	2,000	+3,546	open	—	04-29 22:41
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	13	$6.1K	3,430	3,430	+0	open	—	03-27 15:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	6	$6.1K	3,345	3,306	+39	open	—	04-17 16:07
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$5.2K	2,482	3,430	-948	open	—	04-30 11:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$4.4K	2,381	2,381	+0	open	—	06-19 01:35
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	7	$4.3K	2,258	2,258	+0	open	—	04-11 00:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$4.2K	2,483	2,483	+0	open	—	04-27 00:47
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	4	$4.1K	2,124	2,124	+0	open	—	03-21 15:04
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	19	$4.0K	3,235	3,235	+0	open	—	03-29 13:11
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$3.1K	1,785	1,785	+0	open	—	03-24 22:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$2.9K	1,582	1,582	+0	open	—	05-22 01:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	3	$2.9K	1,691	1,691	+0	open	—	06-18 22:30
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	10	$2.8K	3,238	0	+3,238	open	—	03-27 15:36
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 115 139	8	$2.7K	1,394	1,389	+4	open	—	04-08 11:58
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	13	$2.7K	1,402	1,397	+5	open	—	04-06 13:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.7K	3,094	0	+3,094	open	—	05-29 13:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	5	$2.5K	3,036	0	+3,036	open	—	05-29 20:10
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$2.4K	1,311	1,298	+13	open	—	04-30 11:41
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2.4K	1,418	1,418	+0	open	—	04-30 13:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	7	$2.3K	1,282	1,282	+0	open	—	05-27 12:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	3	$2.2K	363	1,916	-1,553	open	—	06-18 22:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	11	$2.2K	1,191	1,177	+14	open	—	04-18 18:55
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	3	$2.1K	2,454	0	+2,454	open	—	07-06 16:39
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	14	$2.1K	1,119	1,113	+6	open	—	04-15 01:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	6	$2.1K	2,838	0	+2,838	No	+$738	05-05 14:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 22:56:52	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	Yes	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x5480ba…
07-20 22:41:06	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	Yes	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x06d2c9…
07-20 21:55:30	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	326	31¢	$100	0x66baad…
07-17 20:29:51	credible fdv above 10m one day after launch 20260708144505950	No	BUY	296	68¢	$200	0x5ae904…
07-16 21:19:01	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x54b584…
07-16 21:13:11	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x42a0dd…
07-16 18:20:16	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x235894…
07-16 16:34:10	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x579869…
07-16 16:33:55	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	375	80¢	$300	0x20d244…
07-16 16:22:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xacb5f1…
07-16 13:17:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0xd76609…
07-16 01:21:04	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	SELL	1,338	21¢	$281	0x001cb5…
07-15 18:23:02	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	355	85¢	$300	0x3b92e5…
07-15 18:22:46	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	SELL	1,073	16¢	$172	0x8cd1c6…
07-15 18:22:13	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	650	89¢	$579	0x9a739a…
07-14 15:55:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	329	61¢	$200	0x6e2a49…
07-14 12:41:47	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xc7aed2…
07-13 22:39:11	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xf66022…
07-13 22:38:28	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	391	77¢	$300	0xd84729…
07-13 18:53:08	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	638	47¢	$300	0x11addc…
07-13 18:53:01	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0xf0fb81…
07-13 18:52:41	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	667	75¢	$500	0x388abd…
07-13 18:52:07	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x997477…
07-13 18:51:43	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xfdeefc…
07-13 18:44:38	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xba3187…
07-13 18:44:14	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xfb1f13…
07-13 17:47:53	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	362	83¢	$300	0x4e70cf…
07-13 17:08:52	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	SELL	177	80¢	$140	0x5f6d68…
07-13 16:53:32	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0xd8fe2d…
07-13 15:06:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	606	0¢	$1	0x602b5c…
07-12 00:01:19	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	138	84¢	$116	0x5a258e…
07-11 15:52:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,553	10¢	$255	0x3c2b55…
07-11 15:50:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xdbb039…
07-11 15:47:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xb419a8…
07-11 15:43:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x353463…
07-11 15:42:13	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xc61127…
07-11 14:53:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0x31ceb6…
07-11 14:53:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x32247b…
07-11 14:53:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x2eaa4c…
07-11 14:53:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x549163…
07-11 14:53:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x1d48a3…
07-11 14:53:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x29fd05…
07-11 14:52:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x794b12…
07-11 14:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x05da05…
07-11 14:52:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x90ef2f…
07-11 14:47:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x467657…
07-11 14:46:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x75429e…
07-11 14:46:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	158	10¢	$16	0x8ee382…
07-11 14:37:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xf9b015…
07-11 14:31:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$5	0x091d70…
07-11 14:29:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x022ef5…
07-11 14:28:05	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0xadcbc2…
07-11 14:20:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xabd3c2…
07-11 14:10:28	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	BUY	177	85¢	$150	0xc3f12d…
07-11 14:04:07	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0x3f45f1…
07-09 17:50:41	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xc8d852…
07-09 17:50:19	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	465	86¢	$400	0x51273b…
07-09 16:30:16	will ng reach 3 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x4cb38c…
07-09 15:45:32	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x06a5af…
07-09 14:40:59	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x6c02da…
07-09 13:49:26	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x0124eb…
07-09 13:35:56	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x16cb9f…
07-09 12:51:44	will ng reach 3 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xeb8eda…
07-09 12:38:35	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0xbac077…
07-09 12:31:23	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x11918b…
07-09 00:28:10	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	606	82¢	$500	0xf4bcf0…
07-09 00:27:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0x113570…
07-08 21:24:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x532b27…
07-08 19:56:43	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0x9b2bb6…
07-08 15:53:52	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	308	93¢	$286	0xace977…
07-07 18:40:14	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	285	70¢	$200	0x5b24ba…
07-07 16:23:02	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x43b964…
07-07 15:37:23	us bank failure by july 31 20260630183502534	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x97e89f…
07-07 12:28:52	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0x3f2637…
07-06 22:58:11	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x4605f7…
07-06 16:39:01	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1,136	90¢	$1,022	0xad0860…
07-06 15:39:05	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	873	80¢	$700	0xd46527…
07-06 15:38:10	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	953	86¢	$822	0x3f20f0…
07-06 15:36:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	909	98¢	$893	0xb9367b…
07-06 15:35:38	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	966	100¢	$963	0xd989c4…
07-06 15:35:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10,037	100¢	$10,027	0x32e87c…
07-04 19:28:41	laso finance fdv above 15m one day after launch	No	BUY	364	82¢	$300	0x181654…
07-04 19:23:01	laso finance fdv above 12m one day after launch	No	BUY	603	73¢	$440	0xa72b77…
07-04 19:22:10	laso finance fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	56	80¢	$44	0xc15a78…
07-03 05:56:53	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	267	85¢	$227	0x927430…
07-03 02:58:41	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xc62c8e…
07-02 13:39:40	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x99decf…
07-01 22:26:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x9ad8ee…
07-01 19:08:38	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x4ce826…
07-01 19:05:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026	No	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x75c27b…
07-01 19:04:40	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x1ad1f1…
07-01 19:04:07	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x25ba89…
07-01 15:13:46	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	298	67¢	$200	0x71db63…
07-01 15:13:31	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0x66f3cd…
07-01 13:00:11	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0xe0356c…
06-30 20:22:25	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	277	72¢	$200	0x30995b…
06-30 20:22:17	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697	No	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0x407c95…
06-29 03:32:49	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	238	70¢	$167	0xb267b3…
06-29 03:29:07	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x92905b…
06-21 23:09:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,034	95¢	$2,882	0xa36436…