Live-Yolk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$5.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$55

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-07 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

71% — —

Sports

15% 0% $-99

Politics

8% 67% +$7

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes		+67	$56	82¢	$55	$-2	05-27 21:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game2	3	$604	929	232	+697	open	—	06-06 12:06
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$338	258	258	+0	open	—	05-03 04:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	9	$250	147	147	+0	open	—	05-06 01:43
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game1	3	$227	280	78	+201	open	—	06-06 11:08
dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06 game2	2	$201	259	259	+0	open	—	06-06 16:38
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$169	97	97	+0	open	—	04-30 13:51
dota2 lgd liquid 2026 06 05 game2	1	$129	239	0	+239	open	—	06-05 13:29
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$126	77	77	+0	open	—	04-30 13:50
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$123	74	74	+0	open	—	04-30 11:44
dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06 game1	1	$120	164	0	+164	open	—	06-06 15:10
dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	1	$116	200	0	+200	open	—	06-06 18:02
dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game1	1	$116	168	0	+168	open	—	06-07 14:48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	4	$101	62	62	+0	open	—	05-14 22:01
dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game2	1	$97	165	0	+165	open	—	06-07 15:59
dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04 game2	2	$96	160	0	+160	open	—	06-04 17:03
dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game1	1	$96	253	0	+253	open	—	06-05 15:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$87	52	52	+0	open	—	05-14 21:21
Kash Patel out by May 31?	3	$83	49	49	+0	open	—	05-14 22:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$79	62	62	+0	open	—	05-14 23:28
dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04 game2	2	$75	115	0	+115	open	—	06-04 11:30
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	1	$75	129	0	+129	open	—	06-06 13:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$72	40	40	+0	No	+$7	05-08 21:23
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$68	161	0	+161	Pistons	$-68	05-05 08:23
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$65	45	45	+1	open	—	04-28 03:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	05-13 06:52
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$61	83	0	+83	open	—	05-28 09:32
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$59	220	0	+220	open	—	05-03 18:35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	1	$57	117	0	+117	open	—	05-29 11:36
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$56	67	0	+67	open	—	05-27 21:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	2	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 15:59:45	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	165	59¢	$97	0xa9a938…
06-07 14:48:55	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	168	69¢	$116	0x1967da…
06-06 18:02:57	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	LGD Gaming	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xc6e5eb…
06-06 16:38:19	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06 game2	Aurora	SELL	259	29¢	$74	0xa05353…
06-06 16:34:01	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06 game2	Aurora	BUY	259	49¢	$127	0xe2fb15…
06-06 15:10:43	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06 game1	Aurora	BUY	164	73¢	$120	0x687edb…
06-06 13:30:46	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	Team Yandex	BUY	129	58¢	$75	0xa4f8d3…
06-06 12:06:04	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	350	39¢	$135	0xb088a7…
06-06 11:54:55	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game2	BetBoom Team	SELL	232	60¢	$139	0xa47d81…
06-06 11:50:51	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	579	57¢	$330	0x13fa94…
06-06 11:08:34	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	201	76¢	$152	0xb36427…
06-06 11:07:37	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game1	Team Yandex	SELL	78	32¢	$25	0xbda60c…
06-06 10:46:15	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x49cbd3…
06-05 17:22:51	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05	Team Falcons	BUY	122	37¢	$45	0x7e2aeb…
06-05 15:20:34	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	253	38¢	$96	0x1e12ce…
06-05 13:29:57	dota2 lgd liquid 2026 06 05 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	239	54¢	$129	0xdd6b4d…
06-05 09:30:42	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0xd8d270…
06-04 17:03:06	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	79	74¢	$59	0x91b80b…
06-04 16:53:01	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	81	46¢	$37	0x76e5a0…
06-04 11:30:22	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	72	76¢	$55	0x1819d2…
06-04 11:10:45	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x26a6d3…
06-04 09:25:43	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04 game1	Aurora	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x8950e3…
06-03 15:24:06	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1e5b5b…
05-29 14:42:19	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xae544f…
05-29 14:10:50	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	57	36¢	$21	0x96e5df…
05-29 13:51:51	Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x9ba477…
05-29 11:36:17	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	117	49¢	$57	0x85a9b2…
05-29 09:08:56	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	116	44¢	$51	0xb7aaf3…
05-29 08:18:32	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x4bedab…
05-28 16:10:47	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0xedc01e…
05-28 12:41:57	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	27¢	$20	0x7553a3…
05-28 12:06:57	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x05bde8…
05-28 11:45:17	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x36adaf…
05-28 10:22:30	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x25f621…
05-28 09:32:19	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0x670117…
05-28 09:07:28	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xc0dd55…
05-27 21:06:19	Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	67	84¢	$56	0x41eecc…
05-27 15:43:49	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x3596e5…
05-27 13:45:49	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x958ef6…
05-27 11:17:47	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	75	32¢	$24	0x778f94…
05-15 00:16:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0xb65e19…
05-14 23:29:33	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	61	29¢	$17	0xe422d8…
05-14 23:29:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0x2c667b…
05-14 23:29:02	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xf70f1f…
05-14 23:28:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	62	63¢	$39	0xe6452b…
05-14 23:28:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xb86631…
05-14 23:27:24	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	44¢	$15	0xd56be9…
05-14 23:27:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x9164e2…
05-14 22:03:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x450e5b…
05-14 22:02:21	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x759613…
05-14 22:02:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x603c1e…
05-14 22:01:53	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	29	88¢	$26	0xf89c40…
05-14 22:01:39	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	25	86¢	$21	0x16cb33…
05-14 22:00:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	23	85¢	$20	0xce36bc…
05-14 22:00:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x65c7f5…
05-14 22:00:29	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	49	87¢	$43	0xf3d2f2…
05-14 22:00:01	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	35	87¢	$30	0xeeb77f…
05-14 21:59:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	SELL	32	94¢	$31	0xce664b…
05-14 21:23:47	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xfe164e…
05-14 21:22:43	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	No	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0xd139cf…
05-14 21:21:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	52	91¢	$47	0xeb66ed…
05-14 10:31:50	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0xc62ce3…
05-14 04:50:47	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x46cadb…
05-14 04:50:08	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x612287…
05-13 21:21:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xac2287…
05-13 13:50:37	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x589b81…
05-13 11:57:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x1453ff…
05-13 11:56:36	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xd77059…
05-13 11:54:09	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x83051a…
05-13 11:48:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x8694f0…
05-13 11:48:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x66532e…
05-13 11:47:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xf875f2…
05-13 11:44:40	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0xa1607f…
05-13 11:34:14	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xfd120a…
05-13 11:28:46	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x8a0ef2…
05-13 11:28:41	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x4d60c9…
05-13 11:10:29	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x6504c7…
05-13 11:05:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x5503b2…
05-13 11:04:46	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x5ebf7a…
05-13 11:02:07	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xf62582…
05-13 11:01:51	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xcd7b1d…
05-13 10:50:27	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x70df1a…
05-13 10:50:23	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x959cc3…
05-13 10:12:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	23¢	$15	0xd069a5…
05-13 08:09:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x57571e…
05-13 06:52:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x400c16…
05-12 17:22:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xc3b83b…
05-12 15:28:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xb838ce…
05-12 15:11:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x0ba69a…
05-12 13:25:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc23f21…
05-11 19:50:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xa1538b…
05-10 20:09:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xd9c968…
05-08 21:23:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x1af0cc…
05-06 18:27:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xb02f9d…
05-06 16:24:41	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x50c29d…
05-06 13:54:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xaa7c23…
05-06 13:44:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x46b71e…
05-06 13:40:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x7c605a…
05-06 13:27:36	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x937e2c…
05-06 13:27:14	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x87d5ea…