Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
7
lifetime
Volume
$79
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$88
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 01:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
50%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +19 $15 94¢ $18 +$3 05-05 08:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? No +18 $15 86¢ $15 +$0 05-05 23:15
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026? No -16 $-15 90¢ $-15 $-0 05-06 01:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? Yes +539 $15 $15 $-0 05-05 12:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes -135 $-9 11¢ $-14 $-5 05-05 18:36
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? No -19 $-10 57¢ $-11 $-1 05-06 01:58
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -47 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 13:17