Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$193
Trades
36
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$798
Latest YES mid
31¢
Latest NO mid
69¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 13:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $15 | $32 | $16 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $27 | $98 | $72 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $15 | $49 | $34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| Median | 8 | $4 | $49 | $46 |
| Below median | 10 | $20 | $30 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $3 | $2 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | +54 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 11:29 |
| Giant-Fine 0xcfb5…c34f | No | +38 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 14:29 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +31 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 05-15 07:24 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 19:39 |
| Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 23:42 |
| Keen-Leave 0x9337…72c0 | No | +18 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 19:39 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x67c1…8205 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 13:07 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 07:32 |
| Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-15 04:05 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-14 20:18 |
| Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 08:49 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:24 |
| Bewitched-Passenger-Discretion 0x3407…ea50 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 07:30 |
| Common-Beanstalk 0x3cb0…bfbf | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 04:05 |
| Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 11:30 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 08:20 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 04:00 |
| Offensive-Broadcast 0x34be…0885 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 03:00 |
| Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 08:04 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:29 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:40 |
| Homely-Ecliptic 0x0664…942f | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 08:20 |
| Elliptical-Independent 0xb009…d266 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x76af…c72b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:07:30 | (anonymous) 0x67c1…8205 | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x0ecd67… |
| 05-15 11:30:18 | Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x8116c9… |
| 05-15 08:49:47 | Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x19035f… |
| 05-15 08:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x9eb20c… |
| 05-15 08:20:01 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x892222… |
| 05-15 07:32:05 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 12 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x336aff… |
| 05-15 07:30:29 | Bewitched-Passenger-Discretion 0x3407…ea50 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x097f3e… |
| 05-15 07:24:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 68¢ | $6 | 0x6dce0c… |
| 05-15 04:05:58 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xda960f… |
| 05-15 04:05:56 | Common-Beanstalk 0x3cb0…bfbf | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xefdb49… |
| 05-15 04:00:40 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x5fc0b9… |
| 05-15 04:00:36 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xb7b29f… |
| 05-15 03:30:34 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0xa7a4ee… |
| 05-15 03:00:15 | Offensive-Broadcast 0x34be…0885 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x7c0a17… |
| 05-14 23:42:01 | Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 36¢ | $10 | 0x1b6615… |
| 05-14 20:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x343848… |
| 05-14 20:18:41 | Homely-Ecliptic 0x0664…942f | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x659696… |
| 05-14 20:14:14 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x65eddf… |
| 05-14 20:14:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 66¢ | $6 | 0x0f5088… |
| 05-14 19:39:38 | Keen-Leave 0x9337…72c0 | No | BUY | 18 | 66¢ | $12 | 0x0d1535… |
| 05-14 19:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x76af…c72b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x377c8b… |
| 05-14 19:39:31 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0xd014bc… |
| 05-14 18:14:35 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x1b2662… |
| 05-14 18:04:14 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xfd3581… |
| 05-14 18:04:12 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xa67f7b… |
| 05-14 18:04:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x08e16c… |
| 05-14 17:32:02 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x4ee96b… |
| 05-14 17:31:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xbdb2c9… |
| 05-14 14:29:30 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x57f2fe… |
| 05-14 14:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xb79e18… |
| 05-14 14:29:25 | Giant-Fine 0xcfb5…c34f | No | BUY | 38 | 66¢ | $25 | 0x0dec48… |
| 05-14 12:24:30 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xce2958… |
| 05-14 12:02:41 | Elliptical-Independent 0xb009…d266 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x64f249… |
| 05-14 11:29:15 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 28¢ | $15 | 0xa2f7d5… |
| 05-14 10:40:26 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x90147d… |
| 05-14 08:04:02 | Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xcc2091… |