Cautious-Junior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

777

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-05 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 54% +$0

Other

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773494400	5	$71	66	32	+34	open	—	03-14 13:25
btc updown 5m 1780517100	1	$50	139	0	+139	open	—	06-03 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$50	40	40	+0	Up	+$30	05-12 22:40
btc updown 5m 1772937000	2	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	03-08 02:35
btc updown 5m 1772979000	3	$40	40	20	+20	open	—	03-08 14:16
btc updown 5m 1773015900	6	$39	40	20	+20	open	—	03-09 00:31
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	13	$36	25	18	+7	open	—	07-04 00:16
btc updown 5m 1773493800	3	$33	29	19	+10	open	—	03-14 13:15
btc updown 5m 1772978400	3	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	03-08 14:05
btc updown 5m 1773122700	5	$30	28	19	+8	open	—	03-10 06:10
btc updown 5m 1773015300	6	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	03-09 00:15
btc updown 5m 1773493500	3	$28	22	16	+5	open	—	03-14 13:11
btc updown 5m 1772945700	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	03-08 05:00
btc updown 5m 1772995500	3	$28	30	10	+20	open	—	03-08 18:50
btc updown 5m 1773494700	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	03-14 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$24	22	18	+4	open	—	05-22 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$23	28	13	+15	Up	+$3	05-12 23:26
btc updown 5m 1772982900	3	$21	20	10	+10	open	—	03-08 15:21
btc updown 5m 1773495000	2	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	03-14 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$20	167	0	+167	Down	+$4	05-12 23:14
btc updown 5m 1773122400	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	03-10 06:01
btc updown 5m 1772996400	4	$20	20	10	+10	open	—	03-08 19:06
btc updown 5m 1772981700	3	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	03-08 15:01
btc updown 5m 1773121800	3	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	03-10 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	9	$17	28	0	+28	open	—	05-22 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	9	$17	31	0	+31	open	—	05-22 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	05-18 15:13
btc updown 5m 1773543600	2	$16	33	0	+33	open	—	03-15 03:04
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2pm et	4	$15	13	10	+3	open	—	07-03 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	10	$15	229	0	+229	open	—	05-22 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 19:26:26	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xce245a…
07-05 19:26:23	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4e0cec…
07-05 15:41:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdc0a7a…
07-05 13:00:53	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf5c235…
07-05 13:00:53	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbc2e8d…
07-04 22:34:53	btc updown 5m 1783204200	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x786a1e…
07-04 22:24:41	btc updown 5m 1783203900	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc00608…
07-04 22:24:32	btc updown 5m 1783203900	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb49f09…
07-04 22:13:14	btc updown 5m 1783203300	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa2a18b…
07-04 22:11:59	btc updown 5m 1783203300	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbe8532…
07-04 22:04:17	btc updown 5m 1783202700	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x342136…
07-04 22:04:16	btc updown 5m 1783202700	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x852b4a…
07-04 21:56:14	btc updown 5m 1783202100	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb123e6…
07-04 16:06:35	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x50e009…
07-04 15:24:47	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x596fc4…
07-04 12:10:25	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb61504…
07-04 12:10:25	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x78fa97…
07-04 02:02:14	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x262a7b…
07-04 01:44:16	btc updown 15m 1783128600	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xafe676…
07-04 01:31:01	btc updown 15m 1783128600	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd5c67b…
07-04 01:30:58	btc updown 15m 1783128600	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9782c1…
07-04 01:14:01	btc updown 15m 1783127700	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x355bd3…
07-04 01:13:58	btc updown 15m 1783127700	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd72658…
07-04 00:16:04	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xc49588…
07-04 00:14:19	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x65bba2…
07-04 00:14:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa7b088…
07-04 00:13:44	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x4efb35…
07-04 00:13:20	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7bdb60…
07-04 00:13:20	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2a4b77…
07-04 00:13:19	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6112a9…
07-04 00:13:16	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6ab6c6…
07-04 00:06:11	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x360eed…
07-04 00:05:35	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfafc1e…
07-04 00:04:14	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7782a7…
07-04 00:03:55	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8f9b97…
07-04 00:03:31	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xad2a0d…
07-03 23:56:58	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x720e4d…
07-03 23:56:16	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9281b0…
07-03 23:50:04	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8be21d…
07-03 21:10:38	btc updown 15m 1783112400	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x927a49…
07-03 21:09:35	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaf0516…
07-03 21:09:34	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2d99d1…
07-03 20:58:10	btc updown 15m 1783111500	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6311f8…
07-03 20:08:22	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x44b18c…
07-03 19:16:17	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1ca62b…
07-03 19:05:56	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x16d805…
07-03 19:05:07	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfc969b…
07-03 18:51:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xed92f3…
07-03 18:49:49	btc updown 15m 1783104300	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9eb46a…
07-03 18:04:25	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa25204…
07-03 18:04:13	btc updown 15m 1783104300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9997d1…
07-03 18:03:56	btc updown 15m 1783103400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa625b7…
07-03 18:03:34	btc updown 15m 1783102500	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf92e57…
07-03 18:03:10	btc updown 15m 1783101600	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1ae067…
07-03 18:01:26	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x416049…
07-03 17:02:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7c8018…
07-03 16:03:22	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf5da5d…
07-03 15:14:38	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1810dc…
07-03 14:15:08	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xb499fa…
07-03 13:02:13	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb5366a…
07-03 05:14:53	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9a2d16…
07-02 23:12:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xac9bd1…
07-02 22:11:22	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0b436a…
07-02 21:06:23	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x52caf9…
07-02 20:56:38	btc updown 15m 1783025100	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdfcdf3…
07-02 20:56:26	btc updown 5m 1783025700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x21f85b…
07-02 20:40:47	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdf1890…
07-02 19:07:29	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa6e356…
07-02 11:18:32	btc updown 15m 1782990900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd6263b…
07-02 10:05:38	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x02b068…
07-02 10:04:34	btc updown 15m 1782986400	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0748e3…
07-01 23:01:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x30705c…
07-01 23:01:02	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x124e00…
07-01 22:14:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x26f729…
07-01 21:07:55	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x960930…
07-01 21:07:20	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4ca2e8…
07-01 20:52:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x45cdda…
07-01 20:51:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x92eec2…
07-01 20:26:38	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x74fb9d…
07-01 19:37:13	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9adeff…
07-01 19:03:31	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x017ae6…
07-01 14:00:32	btc updown 5m 1782914400	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7d8aa9…
07-01 13:57:17	btc updown 5m 1782914100	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x06e863…
07-01 13:55:49	btc updown 5m 1782914100	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x93b995…
07-01 13:55:34	btc updown 5m 1782914100	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa80365…
07-01 13:55:25	btc updown 5m 1782914100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x759263…
07-01 13:55:23	btc updown 5m 1782914100	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa589f6…
07-01 12:45:17	btc updown 5m 1782909900	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2b3fc4…
07-01 12:45:17	btc updown 5m 1782909900	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x205be1…
07-01 12:40:16	btc updown 5m 1782909600	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfa1ae9…
07-01 12:40:16	btc updown 5m 1782909600	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x11da10…
07-01 12:35:26	btc updown 5m 1782909300	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xad1e3e…
07-01 12:35:13	btc updown 5m 1782909300	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5091e0…
07-01 12:30:37	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc164cf…
07-01 12:30:37	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4c7388…
07-01 12:30:16	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b58c5…
07-01 12:29:52	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfc03ae…
07-01 12:29:14	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xbddadd…
07-01 12:27:55	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x470e7e…
07-01 12:27:37	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x03e3d8…