Unfit-Beat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$169

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.4%

Resolved

299

Trades

916

lifetime

Volume

$958

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 09-21 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

98% 19% -$197

Sports

2% 50% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?	4	$51	66	0	+66	No	-$51	05-02 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?	7	$29	200	162	+38	No	+$6	07-28 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	2	$25	32	0	+32	Yes	+$7	05-01 21:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?	6	$16	18	0	+18	Yes	+$2	04-30 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 26?	16	$13	200	113	+87	No	+$9	07-26 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 24?	5	$12	200	0	+200	No	-$12	08-24 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 5?	15	$11	150	0	+150	No	-$11	09-05 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on July 28?	7	$11	324	162	+162	No	+$1	07-28 11:28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?	1	$10	18	0	+18	Yes	+$8	05-01 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 27?	4	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	04-27 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	4	$10	50	50	+0	No	+$8	07-27 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on August 29?	7	$10	107	0	+107	No	-$10	08-29 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 29?	4	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	04-29 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 7?	6	$8	200	0	+200	No	-$8	09-07 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	4	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	+$1	04-28 19:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20?	4	$8	60	0	+60	No	-$8	09-20 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 27?	4	$8	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	07-27 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 9?	3	$7	119	0	+119	No	-$7	09-09 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 17?	3	$7	11	11	+0	No	-$3	05-17 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 10?	7	$7	244	0	+244	No	-$7	09-10 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 30?	2	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	04-30 19:59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?	2	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	04-29 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 28?	3	$6	25	0	+25	No	-$6	08-28 19:00
highest temperature in chicago on april 18 2026 53forbelow	5	$6	167	158	+8	No	-$4	04-17 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	1	$6	20	0	+20	No	-$6	09-21 12:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 22?	2	$6	50	0	+50	No	-$6	08-22 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 14?	6	$6	113	0	+113	No	-$6	07-14 09:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 14?	2	$6	104	0	+104	No	-$6	08-14 13:13
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 21c	1	$6	11	0	+11	No	-$6	04-15 04:32
highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 82 83f	3	$6	8	0	+8	No	-$6	04-24 19:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 12:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x275ad2…
09-21 12:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xc8e18d…
09-21 12:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x82db27…
09-20 13:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb45f8e…
09-20 13:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x52dd1b…
09-20 13:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x07371e…
09-20 13:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0xe39819…
09-20 12:51:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x02b9f2…
09-20 12:17:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfa65fc…
09-20 10:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xe9dd86…
09-20 10:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xfa20f9…
09-18 13:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x05fc52…
09-15 13:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x7cf005…
09-15 12:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xdc6112…
09-15 12:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9bfdc7…
09-15 12:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x33d157…
09-15 11:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x52017e…
09-15 10:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x328904…
09-15 09:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0xf60764…
09-15 09:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	194	1¢	$2	0x2eb10a…
09-14 16:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x25203a…
09-14 15:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0xf9feba…
09-14 15:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xe45c20…
09-14 12:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	493	1¢	$4	0x5c0220…
09-14 12:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x12bdea…
09-14 10:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x25c343…
09-14 10:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbc4bb1…
09-14 10:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xa266e8…
09-14 10:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0671ae…
09-14 10:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xc5aa80…
09-14 10:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xd8bfc9…
09-14 10:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x13cb4a…
09-14 10:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x55edcb…
09-14 09:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x75e10c…
09-14 09:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb25fe3…
09-14 05:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0x52cf62…
09-14 05:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x328255…
09-14 05:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xc417a3…
09-14 05:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x6c76ce…
09-14 04:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x6a8ed9…
09-13 17:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xa2190d…
09-13 17:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x90fa06…
09-13 17:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x6a3b69…
09-13 12:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$3	0x022dd0…
09-13 12:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	503	1¢	$3	0xf8a1c9…
09-12 14:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x5c674a…
09-12 14:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xaada8a…
09-12 14:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x75ce23…
09-12 04:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xe04938…
09-12 04:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x3d9ca3…
09-12 04:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xb5d037…
09-12 04:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x971f58…
09-12 04:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x82ada1…
09-12 04:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf03d9f…
09-12 04:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xda1f7b…
09-12 04:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x95541b…
09-12 04:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5b2fb8…
09-12 04:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x660173…
09-12 04:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x25af54…
09-12 04:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xce24d0…
09-12 04:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x34a290…
09-12 04:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7ef34c…
09-12 04:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x9aa6c7…
09-12 04:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x57485a…
09-12 04:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x21601d…
09-12 04:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x37825f…
09-12 04:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd1329e…
09-12 04:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x89a293…
09-12 04:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xb8c9e8…
09-12 04:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1f180f…
09-12 04:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xbd285f…
09-12 04:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1c24df…
09-12 04:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x89e16a…
09-12 04:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x456764…
09-11 11:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x7c83ee…
09-11 10:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x20c5f9…
09-11 09:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc2e2c1…
09-10 16:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x61e1d4…
09-10 16:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa392f2…
09-10 16:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x9c36dc…
09-10 16:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xd5a3c1…
09-10 16:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x12974e…
09-10 16:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x05ad29…
09-10 15:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0xdea447…
09-09 17:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xbd938a…
09-09 15:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x15c75e…
09-09 15:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x4b6c38…
09-09 11:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xe43161…
09-09 11:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xc74ee3…
09-09 11:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x47fd74…
09-09 11:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf90148…
09-09 11:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x58bd01…
09-09 11:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x91916a…
09-09 04:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xb01d7a…
09-08 15:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on September 8?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x525ad6…
09-08 15:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on September 8?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x1f43e3…
09-08 14:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x840e00…
09-08 13:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x73e8b2…
09-08 13:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd4ee13…
09-08 11:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xda6257…