Realized P&L
-$4.62K
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
9,563
Trades
27,868
lifetime
Volume
$144.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$145
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-24 18:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
67% 35% -$4,181
Crypto
29% 49% -$364
Politics
3% 27% -$236
Sports
1% 62% +$163
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +34 $33 98¢ $34 +$0 09-06 21:10
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 08-22 07:06
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +69 $18 20¢ $14 -$4 09-03 13:43
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +60 $19 18¢ $11 -$8 10-06 00:05
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $11 3¢ $10 -$1 09-11 03:15
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +155 $16 6¢ $9 -$6 08-02 09:45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-23 14:50
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 09-11 03:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 $0 08-20 21:45
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +33 $5 12¢ $4 -$1 10-23 01:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +37 $3 10¢ $4 +$0 10-04 03:44
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +21 $3 18¢ $4 +$1 10-19 03:16
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +57 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 10-08 16:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +10 $3 19¢ $2 -$1 10-01 18:44
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 -$1 24¢ $2 +$3 09-18 17:36
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-04 06:19
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 -$1 10-06 12:45
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +10 $3 15¢ $2 -$1 10-10 03:20
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 10-03 04:16
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 29¢ $1 $0 10-21 17:11
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +11 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 08-19 15:42
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 10-22 00:43
iran coup attempt by december 31 No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 08-18 04:33
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 09-25 09:25
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $0 08-18 04:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +5 $1 13¢ $1 -$1 10-13 03:07
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +43 $1 1¢ $1 $0 09-01 05:12
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +5 $2 8¢ $0 -$1 08-22 20:34
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +6 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-23 20:58