Eager-Outlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

1,929

Trades

7,881

lifetime

Volume

$31.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-15 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 51% -$911

Other

33% 32% +$201

Politics

6% 38% -$706

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?	40	$456	846	370	+476	Yes	+$759	05-10 14:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$369	1,105	0	+1,105	Yes	-$369	06-11 19:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$342	252	252	+0	No	+$107	05-24 17:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$315	550	0	+550	Yes	-$315	06-09 23:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$291	421	421	+0	Yes	+$97	06-11 19:39
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 9c	8	$256	197	197	-0	Yes	+$138	03-26 14:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 08:15 UTC	22	$230	439	0	+439	Down	+$4	02-19 08:25
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	5	$214	913	0	+913	Yes	-$214	06-11 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 07:05 UTC	18	$196	397	0	+397	Down	+$2	02-19 07:08
highest temperature in nyc on march 27 2026 66 67f	10	$193	176	176	+0	Yes	+$158	03-27 18:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 08:00 UTC	16	$192	388	0	+388	Down	+$2	02-19 08:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 07:45 UTC	23	$183	399	0	+399	Down	-$3	02-19 07:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 08:30 UTC	19	$167	290	0	+290	Up	+$66	02-19 08:43
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 16c	3	$157	129	129	+0	Yes	+$101	03-23 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 10:35 UTC	2	$155	165	0	+165	Up	+$10	02-19 10:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 11:00 UTC	10	$155	177	0	+177	Up	+$22	02-19 11:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 08:15 UTC	22	$152	294	0	+294	Down	+$3	02-19 08:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 07:15 UTC	7	$135	176	0	+176	Up	+$41	02-19 07:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 09:00 UTC	13	$135	272	0	+272	Up	+$1	02-19 09:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$131	100	100	+0	Yes	+$61	06-11 13:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 09:15 UTC	10	$130	215	0	+215	Up	+$6	02-19 09:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 08:45 UTC	7	$120	175	0	+175	Up	-$120	02-19 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 17?	10	$119	269	0	+269	Yes	+$150	05-17 04:37
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 29?	15	$114	196	196	+0	No	+$51	05-29 10:24
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 07:30 UTC	41	$111	228	0	+228	Down	+$1	02-19 07:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 09:30 UTC	19	$110	284	0	+284	Down	-$3	02-19 09:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	1	$110	313	0	+313	Yes	-$110	06-02 13:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 07:30 UTC	23	$109	221	0	+221	Down	-$9	02-19 07:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 07:45 UTC	14	$103	192	0	+192	Up	-$28	02-19 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 10:20 UTC	11	$99	168	0	+168	Down	-$64	02-19 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 01:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	116	19¢	$22	0x3b0a2b…
06-14 23:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x956677…
06-14 18:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x0884c1…
06-14 18:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc345e1…
06-14 18:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x775869…
06-14 18:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x394890…
06-14 17:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xc3aafd…
06-14 16:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x84ea5d…
06-14 16:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xac1d3a…
06-14 16:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x1eaeac…
06-14 14:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x65a91d…
06-14 01:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd924e0…
06-14 01:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x863099…
06-14 01:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x4c860f…
06-14 01:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5c8643…
06-14 01:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x2b2f66…
06-14 01:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x6569df…
06-14 01:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x3c361a…
06-14 01:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x04fbf2…
06-14 01:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xb25c80…
06-14 01:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x8184ce…
06-14 01:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd1a3e9…
06-14 01:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xab944f…
06-14 01:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x708e30…
06-14 00:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x182bc2…
06-14 00:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xa629ba…
06-14 00:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x0ca20b…
06-14 00:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x004ad6…
06-14 00:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xea122d…
06-14 00:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xf55a3f…
06-14 00:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xaa1802…
06-14 00:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7183d2…
06-14 00:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x604680…
06-14 00:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5f5f8a…
06-14 00:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x595c21…
06-14 00:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc8d0e9…
06-14 00:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8cf9bb…
06-14 00:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x84dfcc…
06-14 00:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xb892e4…
06-14 00:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x16ad0b…
06-14 00:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe91819…
06-13 23:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x533b53…
06-13 23:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x6e4fec…
06-13 23:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xb35e64…
06-13 23:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xa324d7…
06-13 23:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xe79b0c…
06-13 23:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xe6a867…
06-13 23:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x82eb5e…
06-13 23:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x7fe28e…
06-13 23:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0xce8f68…
06-13 23:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x9b0216…
06-13 23:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x97fb14…
06-13 23:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x175c35…
06-13 22:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xe0587b…
06-13 22:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x08630f…
06-13 22:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x55ee8e…
06-13 22:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x76ebca…
06-13 21:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe43be6…
06-13 21:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfdf1a2…
06-13 21:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x9b0a7d…
06-13 21:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcae646…
06-13 21:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf25cc0…
06-13 21:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xa864cf…
06-13 21:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x79b62b…
06-13 03:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0x596acb…
06-13 03:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0xc45211…
06-13 03:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xf7dd48…
06-13 03:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x13c07d…
06-13 03:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0xe482a3…
06-13 03:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x819284…
06-13 03:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x371817…
06-13 03:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x2a4608…
06-13 03:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc35e07…
06-13 03:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xba4004…
06-13 03:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x66c176…
06-13 03:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x65fd18…
06-13 03:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3b04ea…
06-13 03:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2634fd…
06-13 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$2	0xf88175…
06-13 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	505	1¢	$5	0xd469ad…
06-13 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xcd3ecd…
06-13 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc51dec…
06-13 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	505	1¢	$5	0xab5b8f…
06-13 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	483	1¢	$5	0x593aa7…
06-13 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x50f74b…
06-13 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1b5d06…
06-13 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0f4d13…
06-13 03:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	874	1¢	$9	0xe4fe52…
06-13 03:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xb1618d…
06-13 03:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x8fb148…
06-13 03:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6876a2…
06-13 03:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x3ca387…
06-13 03:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x185527…
06-13 02:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x6ce287…
06-13 00:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x1ded4d…
06-13 00:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xd3799a…
06-13 00:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x210f92…
06-12 23:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x8cb77e…
06-12 19:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x909642…
06-12 19:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x0b88e6…