Traumatic-Ski — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

3,342

Trades

5,768

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$68

18 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-02 04:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 40% +$42

Other

31% 33% -$125

Sports

24% 45% +$34

Politics

7% 45% -$16

Tech

0% 43% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+12	$9	84¢	$10	+$1	05-31 17:50
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	+7	$2	92¢	$6	+$4	06-01 13:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+7	$1	88¢	$6	+$5	05-30 06:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	04-28 19:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	97¢	$5	+$1	04-28 19:23
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	97¢	$5	+$1	04-28 19:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+5	$4	97¢	$5	+$0	05-04 13:59
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	-5	-$5	97¢	$-5	$0	05-16 02:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+5	$4	97¢	$5	+$1	05-02 20:11
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	-5	-$4	94¢	$-5	$0	05-16 02:19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	+5	$3	82¢	$4	+$1	05-05 08:50
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	-5	-$4	68¢	$-3	+$1	05-16 02:20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	85¢	$2	+$0	05-29 09:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	68¢	$1	+$0	05-31 18:08
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+7	$2	14¢	$1	-$1	05-29 09:47
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-5	-$1	7¢	$-0	+$1	05-16 02:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7	$3	5¢	$0	-$3	05-31 15:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+7	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	05-31 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	8	$97	62	47	+15	Down	+$1	05-25 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$62	65	31	+34	Up	+$0	05-25 04:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	16	$59	59	49	+9	No	-$1	05-31 20:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	33	$55	232	232	+0	No	+$1	05-31 16:47
Thunder vs. Lakers	5	$55	70	25	+45	Thunder	+$1	05-12 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	4	$52	87	0	+87	Down	+$25	05-25 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$37	49	0	+49	Up	+$1	05-25 04:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	15	$36	51	46	+5	No	+$1	05-05 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	12	$33	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	05-22 14:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$30	27	30	-3	Yes	-$2	06-01 21:23
Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 3.5	6	$30	28	17	+11	Over	+$4	05-24 05:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	9	$29	34	25	+9	Yes	-$2	05-31 17:17
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$29	54	54	+0	Down	+$21	05-20 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	3	$29	34	0	+34	Up	+$0	05-26 01:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$28	35	35	+0	No	-$2	05-27 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$28	19	14	+5	Down	$0	05-25 06:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$27	33	33	+0	No	-$1	06-01 15:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	17	$27	26	26	+0	No	+$1	04-25 19:15
lol nip jdg 2026 04 17 game1	9	$26	25	20	+5	Ninjas in Pyjamas	-$1	04-17 12:36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	8	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-30 05:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	7	$26	20	15	+5	Yes	+$1	05-22 17:31
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	10	$25	50	0	+50	cancelled	+$0	04-30 02:58
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	5	$25	71	11	+60	Los Angeles Angels	-$2	05-24 05:15
will ethereum dip to 2250 on april 17	9	$25	15	10	+5	No	$0	04-18 00:57
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	4	$24	20	14	+7	Boston Red Sox	+$3	06-01 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$23	32	0	+32	Up	-$2	05-25 06:37
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?	6	$23	30	0	+30	No	-$23	05-15 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	9	$23	50	10	+40	Up	+$0	05-27 03:14
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Tochigi SC: O/U 3.5	3	$23	11	11	+0	Under	+$0	05-24 06:05
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	3	$22	30	15	+15	cancelled	$0	05-07 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 04:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x7a42ea…
06-02 02:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xdccb64…
06-02 01:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x193a9f…
06-02 01:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xea3fd7…
06-02 00:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x1f026a…
06-02 00:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x929451…
06-02 00:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 2?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x639b00…
06-02 00:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x6de243…
06-02 00:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd5995d…
06-02 00:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x80dce1…
06-02 00:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x376cd6…
06-01 21:23:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x8938c2…
06-01 15:26:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xfaf8d6…
06-01 14:50:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xceead5…
06-01 14:38:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x3f8fa0…
06-01 14:05:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x990050…
06-01 14:03:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x41167c…
06-01 13:59:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x9c52fc…
06-01 13:06:33	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x558889…
06-01 12:55:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf99146…
06-01 12:54:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x5f7da8…
06-01 12:52:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x2ab534…
06-01 03:49:02	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3cd0b5…
06-01 03:47:27	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x78bd04…
06-01 03:47:15	Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)	Washington Nationals	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1e9806…
06-01 03:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xabc90e…
06-01 03:41:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x552767…
06-01 03:41:34	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x3d72db…
06-01 03:41:32	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe538c3…
06-01 03:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x67949c…
06-01 03:41:30	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd27cf1…
06-01 03:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd09b64…
06-01 03:41:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x3a8b96…
06-01 03:41:25	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x833f7d…
06-01 03:41:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x4b4c1f…
06-01 03:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xa9add5…
06-01 03:41:00	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x1811f7…
06-01 03:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xd1361f…
06-01 03:36:19	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xab538a…
06-01 03:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x762c7d…
06-01 03:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x919385…
06-01 03:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5208bd…
06-01 03:30:51	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa59550…
06-01 03:30:30	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcce314…
06-01 03:30:20	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x91bb97…
06-01 03:30:11	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc5cdf9…
06-01 03:29:59	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5d5f60…
06-01 03:29:48	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xef2cba…
06-01 03:29:38	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x191a57…
06-01 03:29:22	Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x59fab9…
06-01 03:29:06	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb1a693…
06-01 03:25:10	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9b883a…
06-01 03:24:47	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd1ce9c…
06-01 03:24:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe20ee5…
06-01 03:24:37	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Boston Red Sox	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb5fe94…
06-01 01:24:29	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7cfdbf…
06-01 01:23:55	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	Chicago Cubs	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6070b5…
06-01 01:23:22	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x9ef542…
06-01 01:22:58	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x060811…
06-01 01:22:56	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd7a2ca…
06-01 01:14:02	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x86fdf4…
06-01 00:51:52	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	Chicago Cubs	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xf3e15b…
05-31 23:16:05	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xafb435…
05-31 23:03:47	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x874b81…
05-31 21:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x5a7e70…
05-31 21:26:43	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf65f1b…
05-31 21:26:30	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfec4ae…
05-31 21:26:30	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x664614…
05-31 21:25:31	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xd7af57…
05-31 20:13:56	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x4f1dde…
05-31 20:13:06	Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x2a1352…
05-31 20:12:01	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x70d475…
05-31 20:05:22	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xaa84f3…
05-31 20:02:20	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x150a1d…
05-31 20:01:55	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xce5414…
05-31 20:01:50	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x227b08…
05-31 20:01:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf3d63d…
05-31 20:01:13	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x4c27c8…
05-31 20:00:51	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x9fd573…
05-31 19:44:57	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xc4578e…
05-31 18:23:41	Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xc9653f…
05-31 18:17:55	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x544c90…
05-31 18:17:30	Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xace8a3…
05-31 18:16:55	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7e7e7b…
05-31 18:16:05	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xf3b931…
05-31 18:16:05	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x728664…
05-31 18:15:26	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x64cf38…
05-31 18:14:23	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf584c4…
05-31 18:13:22	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x43e615…
05-31 18:12:26	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8d4857…
05-31 18:12:01	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Boston Red Sox	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x3012c3…
05-31 18:11:42	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x7e89a9…
05-31 18:11:42	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6c2f1e…
05-31 18:11:40	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xf8a949…
05-31 18:11:40	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xab08f1…
05-31 18:11:11	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x20b1bc…
05-31 18:10:53	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x2d2456…
05-31 18:10:18	Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xb8cc7e…
05-31 18:09:47	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xf94d33…
05-31 18:09:20	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xbe6733…