Realized P&L
-$45
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
122
Trades
4,206
lifetime
Volume
$8.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$20
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-01 21:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
45% 60% +$10
Sports
30% 35% $-7
Other
17% 24% $-45
Politics
7% 60% $-3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 472 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $6 70¢ $5 $-1 05-31 17:50
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +7 $2 47¢ $3 +$1 06-01 13:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $1 46¢ $3 +$2 05-30 06:17
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes -6 $-3 50¢ $-3 $-0 05-30 19:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +7 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 05-29 09:47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$1 05-31 18:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $3 14¢ $1 $-2 05-31 15:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +7 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 05-31 15:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-31 16:40