Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$97
$608 in 24h
Trades
14
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$661
Latest YES mid
76¢
Latest NO mid
24¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 12:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐟 Fish 1 — $3 $3
🦐 Shrimp 11 $49 $46 +$3
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🏆 Top 5% 1 — $3 $3
✅ Top 10% 2 $29 $1 +$27
Median 2 — $4 $4
Below median 4 $15 $2 +$13
🔻 Bottom 5% 1 — $3 $3
unranked 2 $5 $35 $30
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Imaginative-Income-Emerald 0x393e…b2f0 No +110 $35 $35 1 05-14 05:55
Swift-Metallurgist 0x1c9e…8d54 Yes +37 $29 $29 1 05-14 09:39
Worse-Show-Gauntlet 0x1777…4e65 Yes +14 $10 $10 1 05-14 03:59
Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 No +13 $3 $3 3 05-14 08:23
Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 No +10 $3 $3 1 05-13 22:09
Horrible-Cohort-Misunderstand 0xb2d5…99fc No +7 $2 $2 1 05-13 22:53
Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 No +6 $2 $2 1 05-13 20:54
Unfolded-Estate 0x20af…952f Yes +6 $5 $5 1 05-13 05:46
Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 No +5 $1 $1 1 05-14 12:40
Roasted-Planet 0xdb29…0171 Yes +5 $4 $4 1 05-13 21:08
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 No +5 $2 $2 1 05-13 05:27
Admired-Evidence 0xc6dc…5b5d Yes +1 $1 $1 1 05-13 20:54