Alarmed-Start — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved

3,891

Trades

9,553

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-22 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

80% 44% -$6,005

Sports

11% 52% +$464

Crypto

10% 40% -$90

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Heilbronn: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Pedro Martinez	196	$692	975	975	+0	Pedro Martinez	-$10	05-31 23:30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?	30	$360	752	0	+752	No	+$17	06-14 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?	26	$293	625	0	+625	Yes	-$109	06-13 17:17
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	18	$262	220	220	+0	Yes	+$36	03-24 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?	22	$256	510	0	+510	Yes	-$145	06-13 04:11
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$252	575	0	+575	Philadelphia Phillies	-$28	09-13 19:18
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	7	$250	149	149	+0	No	+$3	03-24 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	13	$242	363	0	+363	No	-$180	06-12 17:07
Antalya 4: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Elizara Yaneva	2	$198	394	0	+394	Irene Burillo Escorihuela	+$10	09-11 11:15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$196	372	0	+372	Cleveland Guardians	-$32	09-12 02:02
Antalya 4: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Eva Bennemann	2	$196	405	0	+405	Alicia Herrero Linana	-$24	09-11 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13?	12	$195	285	0	+285	No	-$195	06-13 04:28
Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers	2	$194	583	0	+583	Detroit Tigers	+$56	09-12 19:15
Dencheva vs. Carle: Match O/U 21.5	2	$194	407	0	+407	Under	+$28	09-11 12:17
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	6	$179	102	102	-0	No	+$3	03-24 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12?	38	$177	449	0	+449	Yes	-$77	06-12 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13?	22	$157	326	0	+326	Yes	-$126	06-13 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13?	7	$146	304	0	+304	Yes	-$141	06-13 17:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	10	$131	250	0	+250	No	+$19	06-13 03:30
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	1	$130	255	0	+255	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$125	09-15 02:01
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$130	371	0	+371	Boston Red Sox	-$130	09-13 21:04
Set 1 Winner: Vidmanova vs Tjen	1	$129	565	0	+565	Tjen	-$129	09-13 22:07
Ito vs. Knutson: Match O/U 21.5	1	$128	194	0	+194	Under	-$128	09-15 10:14
Kalieva vs. Day: Match O/U 22.5	1	$128	213	0	+213	Over	+$85	09-14 20:13
Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 0.5	1	$128	277	0	+277	Over	-$128	09-14 19:28
Ruggeri vs. Vedder: Match O/U 21.5	1	$128	220	0	+220	Over	-$128	09-15 11:22
Bears vs. Panthers	1	$128	228	0	+228	Bears	-$128	09-13 17:18
Caldas da Rainha: Katherine Sebov vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	1	$128	228	0	+228	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	+$100	09-15 10:22
wta hercog struplo 2026 09 14	1	$128	245	0	+245	Julie Struplova	-$128	09-14 10:32
Bills vs. Texans	1	$128	245	0	+245	Bills	+$118	09-13 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:16:38	Gojo vs. Altmaier: Match O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x20f67e…
10-22 11:50:38	European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xe4e515…
10-22 10:29:53	Eala vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x03fb84…
10-22 08:54:11	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x88f33b…
10-22 02:45:44	Spread: New Mexico State (-5.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x82de40…
10-22 02:44:17	Spread: New Mexico State (-6.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x982c60…
10-22 01:12:41	Spread: New Mexico State (-1.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4e2778…
10-22 00:41:42	Spread: Sam Houston (-5.5)	New Mexico State	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4399ae…
10-21 17:03:41	Set Handicap: Remy Bertola (-1.5) vs David Goffin (+1.5)	Remy Bertola	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd62cdc…
10-21 14:56:45	Chidekh vs. Fearnley: Match O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9fc7c9…
10-21 14:45:02	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb5c027…
10-21 13:07:18	European Open: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb353a8…
10-21 12:19:05	Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Sara Bejlek	Sara Bejlek	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4740c8…
10-21 11:20:18	Set 1 Winner: Sorana Cirstea vs Sara Bejlek	Sara Bejlek	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x836b78…
10-21 10:34:27	Set 1 Winner: Dino Prizmic vs Damir Dzumhur	Dino Prizmic	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7527e8…
10-21 10:02:21	European Open: Dino Prizmic vs Damir Dzumhur	Dino Prizmic	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xa93917…
10-21 07:58:36	Set 1 Winner: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd91b09…
10-21 06:06:00	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc0ec85…
10-21 05:32:44	wta valento tagger 2026 10 21 match total 22pt5	Under	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc63f4f…
10-21 02:57:23	Lightning vs. Golden Knights	Lightning	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x859ff4…
10-20 23:43:29	Spread: Florida International (-5.5)	Florida International	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcb109f…
10-20 23:40:56	Spread: Marshall (-1.5)	South Alabama	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5e1369…
10-20 23:34:53	Spread: Delaware (-2.5)	Delaware	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x1ee890…
10-20 23:34:24	Sharks vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xabc867…
10-20 23:27:11	Spread: Florida International (-14.5)	Florida International	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd4d21d…
10-20 23:12:50	Spread: Delaware (-3.5)	Delaware	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x03e1eb…
10-20 19:07:18	Lyon Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacquet	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe666c1…
10-20 18:55:36	Set Handicap: Nishesh Basavareddy (-1.5) vs Raphael Collignon (+1.5)	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x340c52…
10-20 18:18:21	European Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael Collignon	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfd6b8e…
10-20 18:10:53	Set 1 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur	Clement Tabur	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7cd326…
10-20 17:37:44	Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8fb753…
10-20 16:16:12	European Open: Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa149ee…
10-20 16:08:51	Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdf3141…
10-20 16:07:29	Set 1 Winner: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbc4ad3…
10-20 14:53:38	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Titouan Droguet	Titouan Droguet	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1ad69a…
10-20 13:58:26	Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Daria Snigur	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xdfcc1d…
10-20 12:30:24	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb83006…
10-20 11:43:57	Struff vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x652011…
10-20 11:43:47	Set Handicap: Jan-Lennard Struff (-1.5) vs Marcos Giron (+1.5)	Marcos Giron	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7f7096…
10-20 11:32:26	Ningbo Open: Hanyu Guo vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe5ded0…
10-20 10:32:33	Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x11414b…
10-20 10:12:00	Set 1 Winner: Mariano Navone vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x4326a5…
10-20 09:23:17	Paolini vs. Kalinina: Match O/U 21.5	Under	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x13972d…
10-20 09:17:05	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x034028…
10-20 09:07:13	Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x76b9f1…
10-20 07:29:25	Japan Women's Open: Maya Joint vs Zeynep Sonmez	Maya Joint	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa1ded2…
10-20 05:25:24	Set Handicap: Moyuka Uchijima (-1.5) vs Ena Shibahara (+1.5)	Ena Shibahara	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc897e5…
10-20 04:13:35	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Tereza Valentova	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6a7c98…
10-20 03:35:06	Set 1 Winner: Claire Liu vs Magda Linette	Magda Linette	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xee2190…
10-20 03:27:48	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Ann Li	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc6b4ca…
10-20 02:37:26	Spread: 49ers (-13.5)	49ers	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x362326…
10-20 01:24:38	Spread: 49ers (-17.5)	Commanders	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x520fc0…
10-20 00:45:12	Spread: 49ers (-14.5)	Commanders	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5ec295…
10-20 00:29:45	Spread: 49ers (-5.5)	Commanders	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x429c5d…
10-19 11:52:51	Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diane Parry	Alexandra Eala	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x73b2cc…
10-19 11:25:57	Lyon Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Michael Mmoh	Kyrian Jacquet	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4dfb24…
10-19 11:07:21	Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc13757…
10-19 10:22:23	Lyon Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva	Maxim Mrva	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd5a0a7…
10-19 09:56:05	Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x105cf8…
10-19 07:46:56	Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Acosta	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x4cc690…
10-19 06:53:38	Krueger vs. Tjen: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x03d7a0…
10-19 06:23:12	Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf2928b…
10-19 03:21:45	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6e0746…
10-19 02:41:57	Japan Women's Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Mai Hontama	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc898c5…
10-19 00:39:17	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x75121b…
10-19 00:36:12	Hurricanes vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6a66ce…
10-18 20:54:50	Spread: Rams (-7.5)	Rams	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xadaf04…
10-18 20:50:26	Spread: Bills (-1.5)	Bills	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfe45d5…
10-18 20:50:09	Spread: Bills (-2.5)	Bills	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdbe6a3…
10-18 20:37:24	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Cardinals	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x97e12c…
10-18 20:35:15	Spread: Bills (-2.5)	Raiders	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xda817c…
10-18 17:24:23	Lyon Open, Qualification: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Ugo Blanchet	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xe0603c…
10-18 17:22:47	Spread: Steelers (-4.5)	Steelers	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x66960e…
10-18 17:08:23	Spread: Ravens (-6.5)	Browns	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf7aca2…
10-18 17:05:45	Spread: Falcons (-1.5)	Bears	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf342af…
10-18 17:05:24	Spread: Giants (-2.5)	Saints	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2b622b…
10-18 14:51:47	Spread: Texans (-2.5)	Jaguars	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd3ffa7…
10-18 14:28:03	Spread: Texans (-4.5)	Jaguars	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7352a1…
10-18 14:16:45	Lyon Open, Qualification: Valentin Royer vs Clement Tabur	Valentin Royer	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc536ec…
10-18 14:08:26	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Jaguars	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xea4ba6…
10-18 14:03:42	Spread: Texans (-5.5)	Jaguars	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3e33b9…
10-18 14:01:50	Set 1 Winner: Valentin Royer vs Clement Tabur	Valentin Royer	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x28d97b…
10-18 13:22:05	Set 1 Winner: Francesco Maestrelli vs Borna Gojo	Borna Gojo	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x00e9a5…
10-18 13:02:38	Jacquet vs. Gueymard-Wayenburg: Match O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2680d7…
10-18 12:53:35	Set 1 Winner: Bianca Andreescu vs Dominika Salkova	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x331e16…
10-18 12:43:02	Lyon Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Kyrian Jacquet	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa9a184…
10-18 12:23:02	Rovereto: Bianca Andreescu vs Dominika Salkova	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x0fdd95…
10-18 11:47:59	Lyon Open, Qualification: Maxim Mrva vs Dusan Lajovic	Dusan Lajovic	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfb8057…
10-18 11:36:47	Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfaa9a6…
10-18 11:30:32	Bertola vs. Cina: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x66bfed…
10-18 10:26:20	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x785d56…
10-18 10:20:08	Almaty Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Sakellaridis	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x589c88…
10-18 10:14:33	Lyon Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xb821d8…
10-18 08:04:17	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf16aab…
10-18 06:42:27	Set 1 Winner: Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x75ad67…
10-18 06:42:14	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x861c78…
10-18 06:11:56	Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Sofia Kenin	Sinja Kraus	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc1ff3e…
10-18 06:08:20	Dart vs. Ito: Match O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x0a977f…
10-18 06:02:23	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8a1198…
10-18 05:09:09	Spread: Utah (-3.5)	Colorado	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x269a20…