Average-Alias — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$190

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

470

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$3.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-22 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

77% 60% -$139

Politics

11% 67% -$45

Sports

6% 75% +$39

Crypto

3% 64% +$5

Pop-Culture

3% 71% -$50

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No		+28	$25	98¢	$27	+$3	05-17 23:55
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No		+14	$13	100¢	$14	+$1	05-21 04:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Book of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?	1	$67	84	+84	Yes	-$67	05-17 15:35
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 21?	2	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	05-21 13:46
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	4	$56	66	+66	No	-$56	05-22 05:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	2	$54	54	+54	No	+$0	05-22 03:40
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$54	54	+54	No	+$0	05-21 21:26
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$49	103	+103	Yes	-$49	05-22 07:03
Will "The Lost Boys" win Best Book of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?	1	$45	84	+84	No	+$39	05-17 15:41
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	1	$42	45	+45	No	+$3	05-17 19:18
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$42	66	+66	No	+$24	05-22 02:34
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1	$40	100	+100	No	+$60	05-22 07:32
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-05-21?	1	$34	45	+45	No	+$11	05-21 23:20
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-20 22:15
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$32	33	+33	No	+$1	05-21 04:05
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	4	$32	107	+107	No	$0	05-18 01:01
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$32	33	+33	No	+$1	05-17 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$32	50	+50	No	-$32	05-18 01:00
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$31	49	+49	Yes	-$31	05-22 00:41
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$31	50	+50	No	+$19	05-22 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?	1	$28	30	+30	Yes	+$2	05-21 00:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 18?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	05-18 00:01
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$27	33	+33	Yes	-$27	05-21 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 22?	2	$27	28	+28	No	+$1	05-21 17:20
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-21 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$25	55	+55	No	-$25	05-18 00:05
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	1	$25	28	+28	open	—	05-17 23:55
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-22 11:25
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-21 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 23?	3	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	05-22 09:52
Will Odisha FC win on 2026-05-21?	1	$23	25	+25	No	+$2	05-21 13:33
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	05-21 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:53:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xed2909…
05-22 11:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb321da…
05-22 11:25:50	Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xeee3fd…
05-22 11:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa73343…
05-22 11:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x01ab05…
05-22 10:55:42	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 0 - 2 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x93d32b…
05-22 10:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xd075a0…
05-22 10:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x299735…
05-22 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa9c293…
05-22 09:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9a6997…
05-22 09:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5379a9…
05-22 09:21:16	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be at least 2.7%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e76a3…
05-22 09:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xbf01c4…
05-22 09:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x2e47dc…
05-22 08:41:13	Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7b243d…
05-22 08:33:26	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfdcdd5…
05-22 08:26:03	Will Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?	No	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0xbc2cbb…
05-22 08:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x02cbc5…
05-22 07:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xc47a1c…
05-22 07:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc98a33…
05-22 07:40:19	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on May 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2fd86b…
05-22 07:32:09	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x94c303…
05-22 07:15:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcb29fe…
05-22 07:13:29	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x1fca29…
05-22 07:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd2c7d…
05-22 07:03:53	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x03187f…
05-22 07:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x7fc967…
05-22 06:58:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on May 24?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2ac8a2…
05-22 06:56:27	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x71ab04…
05-22 06:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x0e063d…
05-22 06:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x186e1e…
05-22 06:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x26e497…
05-22 06:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2ffda9…
05-22 06:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x53a4c6…
05-22 06:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe9e44f…
05-22 05:56:10	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xbe03b1…
05-22 05:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x7eff31…
05-22 05:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd268f6…
05-22 05:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf8c17b…
05-22 05:06:49	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x575ff3…
05-22 05:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x272f07…
05-22 04:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93adec…
05-22 04:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x63d94b…
05-22 04:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3cbd1f…
05-22 04:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xce6329…
05-22 04:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf2c664…
05-22 03:57:41	Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x82e069…
05-22 03:40:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ebdf5…
05-22 03:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 23?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x43c2b7…
05-22 03:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a05d4…
05-22 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb7d670…
05-22 02:56:31	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xbaee66…
05-22 02:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x952c7b…
05-22 02:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9e0f29…
05-22 02:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8effc1…
05-22 02:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7711f0…
05-22 02:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 22?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x774f60…
05-22 02:34:18	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x10f8b0…
05-22 02:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x20fa50…
05-22 02:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2c7c15…
05-22 01:58:10	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xedd9db…
05-22 01:53:09	Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf74869…
05-22 01:44:25	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xcc01fa…
05-22 01:44:25	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7e8289…
05-22 01:29:00	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd62f95…
05-22 01:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x58ef19…
05-22 01:19:40	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x293581…
05-22 01:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf51315…
05-22 01:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb774c2…
05-22 00:41:24	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x9b664a…
05-22 00:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x6ff417…
05-22 00:33:21	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0xff07fc…
05-22 00:33:03	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0bdbd4…
05-22 00:31:51	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x18fac7…
05-22 00:30:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0xfd7f26…
05-22 00:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7abb19…
05-22 00:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x600dea…
05-22 00:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x01e6f1…
05-22 00:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3c066f…
05-22 00:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1dacf0…
05-22 00:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd2c340…
05-22 00:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ed7be…
05-21 23:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x19320c…
05-21 23:43:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x273aa5…
05-21 23:20:22	Will Club Blooming win on 2026-05-21?	No	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0x7fd5ec…
05-21 23:14:36	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x2a23ca…
05-21 23:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x7895bd…
05-21 22:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x86e9d4…
05-21 22:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bc600…
05-21 22:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd75b7e…
05-21 22:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x59ca79…
05-21 22:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x359d3e…
05-21 22:01:21	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x86166b…
05-21 21:55:35	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x453494…
05-21 21:53:17	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x4e1542…
05-21 21:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x571229…
05-21 21:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd3b23b…
05-21 21:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x55d10b…
05-21 21:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 22?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x316cd6…
05-21 21:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa946e4…