Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$900
$43 in 24h
Trades
92
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$193
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-16 20:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-16.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $32
vs crowd: 17% YES on $762)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $54 | $54 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $0 | $159 | $158 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $8 | $104 | $96 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $121 | $316 | $195 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $19 | $159 | $140 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $86 | $57 | +$30 |
| Median | 6 | — | $96 | $96 |
| Below median | 14 | $9 | $214 | $206 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | $54 | $45 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $20 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | +186 | $39 | $130 | 14 | 05-15 13:09 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +178 | $159 | $159 | 8 | 05-15 03:28 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +123 | $8 | $8 | 6 | 05-15 02:23 |
| Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | +111 | $104 | $104 | 3 | 05-15 02:53 |
| Sour-Drizzle 0x488c…8c1c | No | +106 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-15 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x20e7…84a7 | Yes | +96 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-15 15:36 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +91 | $4 | $17 | 3 | 05-15 09:29 |
| Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | +70 | $62 | $62 | 4 | 05-15 03:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | +65 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 05-15 01:37 |
| Hospitable-Velvet 0x6e0f…9a05 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-14 23:27 |
| Damaged-Gastropod 0x40a4…3d8a | No | +47 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-14 23:52 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +42 | $37 | $37 | 7 | 05-14 21:35 |
| Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | +34 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-14 21:59 |
| Gleaming-Scenario 0x02ae…890c | No | +29 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 10:15 |
| This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-15 21:38 |
| Right-Buffer-Strobe 0xd995…e6e1 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:31 |
| Fresh-Peninsula 0xf960…50b0 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 09:04 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 22:54 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 20:42:21 | Cheap-Advocate 0x24a4…d98c | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xaf1857… |
| 05-16 00:19:11 | Daring-Parable 0x241d…4bf3 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xfe399e… |
| 05-15 21:38:48 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6044f2… |
| 05-15 21:23:55 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1baa06… |
| 05-15 21:00:25 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8b4d17… |
| 05-15 17:07:05 | Awful-Mover 0x24c0…67e5 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9ad2e9… |
| 05-15 16:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x0ba5…191e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffd333… |
| 05-15 15:47:17 | Livid-Background 0x7c7d…4dea | Yes | SELL | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5c4635… |
| 05-15 15:36:59 | (anonymous) 0x20e7…84a7 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x863c61… |
| 05-15 13:09:31 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 141 | 30¢ | $43 | 0xd43a05… |
| 05-15 11:30:16 | Slushy-Newspaper 0xd9ae…3f4b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x26facb… |
| 05-15 10:41:16 | Slushy-Newspaper 0xd9ae…3f4b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x4fc044… |
| 05-15 10:15:13 | Gleaming-Scenario 0x02ae…890c | No | BUY | 29 | 70¢ | $20 | 0x35fd83… |
| 05-15 10:04:22 | Sour-Drizzle 0x488c…8c1c | No | BUY | 106 | 30¢ | $32 | 0xf344e2… |
| 05-15 09:56:40 | Friendly-Coordination 0x315a…3ab5 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xf0debf… |
| 05-15 09:29:29 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xda0168… |
| 05-15 09:04:38 | Fresh-Peninsula 0xf960…50b0 | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x88f2ea… |
| 05-15 08:35:51 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | SELL | 41 | 31¢ | $13 | 0x73687a… |
| 05-15 08:26:52 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | SELL | 43 | 35¢ | $15 | 0xefa169… |
| 05-15 04:03:14 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x80585a… |
| 05-15 04:03:00 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xcd51f2… |
| 05-15 04:02:53 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x0e0c66… |
| 05-15 04:00:38 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x5cef87… |
| 05-15 04:00:24 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x968380… |
| 05-15 03:58:23 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xaacb8b… |
| 05-15 03:58:11 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xa190ed… |
| 05-15 03:58:04 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x4a6f52… |
| 05-15 03:53:36 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x9b118d… |
| 05-15 03:53:26 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xae0319… |
| 05-15 03:50:39 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x642332… |
| 05-15 03:45:33 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x0ba8a3… |
| 05-15 03:45:31 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xaf7d96… |
| 05-15 03:28:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 18 | 86¢ | $15 | 0xc996ed… |
| 05-15 03:20:39 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x728bde… |
| 05-15 02:53:07 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x2b5d1d… |
| 05-15 02:38:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xf67200… |
| 05-15 02:35:26 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xa8e0e7… |
| 05-15 02:33:20 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xecf7b7… |
| 05-15 02:23:06 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0c699d… |
| 05-15 01:50:24 | Defiant-Savior 0x6c06…f3e8 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xcaa24a… |
| 05-15 01:37:32 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0x72c0dd… |
| 05-15 01:33:03 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xdb40f0… |
| 05-15 01:15:08 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb7ead7… |
| 05-15 00:30:17 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x9f60db… |
| 05-15 00:30:13 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa83d9f… |
| 05-15 00:25:12 | Right-Buffer-Strobe 0xd995…e6e1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x154b91… |
| 05-15 00:22:44 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbc316b… |
| 05-15 00:22:44 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x816bce… |
| 05-15 00:22:33 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x454203… |
| 05-15 00:17:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xcc4866… |
| 05-14 23:52:45 | Damaged-Gastropod 0x40a4…3d8a | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x7dd043… |
| 05-14 23:52:20 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf304db… |
| 05-14 23:52:20 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd27988… |
| 05-14 23:46:48 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | BUY | 41 | 95¢ | $39 | 0x35c5c6… |
| 05-14 23:46:44 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xd32745… |
| 05-14 23:27:20 | Hospitable-Velvet 0x6e0f…9a05 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x1c4ff2… |
| 05-14 23:08:54 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x17938d… |
| 05-14 22:54:53 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc8fb79… |
| 05-14 21:59:05 | Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | BUY | 34 | 93¢ | $32 | 0x7cda7c… |
| 05-14 21:57:11 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0x28cb1f… |
| 05-14 21:47:09 | Circular-Fat 0xe7fb…5fb7 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4e33f6… |
| 05-14 21:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x20e7…84a7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xcd81d1… |
| 05-14 21:41:56 | Jolly-Scripture 0xa4dd…cfc6 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x61c2cb… |
| 05-14 21:37:33 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x5db9e3… |
| 05-14 21:35:03 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x986b44… |
| 05-14 21:33:44 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x17c1d5… |
| 05-14 21:33:42 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0xb7adf4… |
| 05-14 21:33:41 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0xe59cad… |
| 05-14 21:33:37 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xee82df… |
| 05-14 21:33:32 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x5a6209… |
| 05-14 21:33:32 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x00cd8c… |
| 05-14 21:28:36 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xd1bace… |
| 05-14 21:28:31 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x1ba80d… |
| 05-14 21:28:29 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x4474d4… |
| 05-14 21:27:31 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x331d09… |
| 05-14 21:27:31 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 34 | 91¢ | $31 | 0x4fdd18… |
| 05-14 21:27:23 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x0b2abb… |
| 05-14 21:27:17 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x09ae53… |
| 05-14 21:25:13 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x0eb5f1… |
| 05-14 20:47:15 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x992b2f… |
| 05-14 20:47:13 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x33a399… |
| 05-14 20:43:17 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xb2d9f4… |
| 05-14 20:42:15 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xa9270f… |
| 05-14 20:42:05 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xfa3ca2… |
| 05-14 19:23:22 | Damaged-Gastropod 0x40a4…3d8a | No | BUY | 47 | 84¢ | $39 | 0x3e9894… |
| 05-14 13:03:10 | Jolly-Scripture 0xa4dd…cfc6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x5c9da4… |
| 05-14 12:59:16 | Jolly-Scripture 0xa4dd…cfc6 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 39¢ | $8 | 0xc3b06b… |
| 05-14 04:51:03 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x9a3d05… |
| 05-14 04:06:09 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x0d49f0… |
| 05-14 04:05:47 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x0627a9… |
| 05-14 03:31:13 | Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa9f446… |
| 05-13 05:13:12 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x61a02f… |