Sour-Drizzle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$60

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

1,161

Trades

8,451

lifetime

Volume

$204.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-21 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

95% 63% +$28,416

Politics

4% 60% +$82

Crypto

1% 50% -$80

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+158	$103	27¢	$43	-$60	06-04 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?	9	$3.7K	4,853	4,853	+0	Yes	+$3,186	05-10 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	84	$3.3K	6,163	5,905	+258	Yes	+$3,139	05-06 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?	43	$3.0K	4,510	4,510	+0	No	+$2,198	05-21 07:11
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?	14	$2.9K	1,627	1,463	+164	No	+$12	05-22 03:07
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 29c	14	$2.9K	2,896	11	+2,885	No	+$16	04-20 04:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?	6	$2.8K	1,389	1,389	+0	No	+$4	06-15 07:18
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$2.8K	1,401	1,401	+0	Yes	+$25	05-11 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	18	$2.8K	2,178	2,104	+74	Yes	+$1,501	04-28 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?	150	$2.4K	7,446	2,945	+4,500	No	-$4	06-10 07:31
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 23c	15	$2.3K	1,158	1,157	+1	No	+$37	04-03 08:19
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 10?	4	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$0	08-10 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	13	$2.1K	4,088	88	+4,000	Yes	+$14	06-03 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	77	$2.0K	2,505	2,505	+0	Yes	+$1,680	05-31 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	18	$2.0K	2,314	1,314	+1,000	Yes	+$596	06-21 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 2?	25	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$4	06-02 10:07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?	1	$1.9K	1,904	0	+1,904	No	+$6	07-17 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	25	$1.7K	4,887	1,668	+3,220	No	-$108	06-10 07:42
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 27?	31	$1.7K	2,543	0	+2,543	Down	-$421	04-27 06:16
Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	10	$1.6K	1,668	0	+1,668	No	+$30	04-30 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	174	$1.6K	3,695	1,203	+2,492	No	+$78	06-03 08:28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?	11	$1.5K	1,501	1,501	+0	No	+$1,459	05-30 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?	11	$1.5K	2,329	2,329	-0	Yes	+$114	06-18 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	2	$1.5K	1,544	0	+1,544	No	+$23	05-14 10:04
highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 21c	35	$1.5K	1,084	1,127	-43	Yes	+$535	04-01 08:51
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 25c	2	$1.5K	1,477	0	+1,477	No	+$1	04-16 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?	18	$1.4K	1,460	1,460	+0	No	+$1,276	06-11 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?	15	$1.4K	1,188	1,116	+72	No	+$571	05-21 05:42
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,562	0	+1,562	No	+$160	05-14 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?	38	$1.4K	1,847	1,831	+16	No	+$52	06-17 05:08
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 11?	8	$1.3K	688	688	+0	Yes	+$6	06-11 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 07:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd9f7c1…
08-21 07:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x33e92a…
08-21 07:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x7f7f8d…
08-21 07:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	183	2¢	$3	0xa38d06…
08-21 07:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0xdbb353…
08-21 07:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x098751…
08-21 07:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x6d3b10…
08-21 07:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x453e33…
08-21 07:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x392dae…
08-18 09:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	93	1¢	$1	0x2c30dc…
08-18 08:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xfb027c…
08-18 08:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0xab98ef…
08-18 08:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x20b9ce…
08-18 08:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xabb0e7…
08-18 08:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe1d544…
08-18 08:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xa19809…
08-18 08:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x147d0e…
08-18 08:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0xeb7187…
08-18 08:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x604ae3…
08-18 08:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x757b0b…
08-18 08:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0xa1f555…
08-18 08:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x380f0b…
08-18 08:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x280d02…
08-14 10:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe8a41c…
08-14 10:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x10b83b…
08-14 10:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x76b9a2…
08-14 10:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	137	0¢	$0	0x40ed1c…
08-14 10:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	217	0¢	$0	0xdd51b7…
08-14 10:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x704ed9…
08-14 10:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	106	0¢	$0	0x4fa710…
08-14 09:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xb1de46…
08-14 09:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x621082…
08-14 09:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x75c3d3…
08-14 09:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x33b54a…
08-14 09:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	254	2¢	$6	0x4b9331…
08-12 08:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x1196d0…
08-11 08:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xeb0da8…
08-11 08:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x793bcd…
08-11 08:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x4678d1…
08-11 08:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0x985eef…
08-11 08:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x5fe2d5…
08-11 08:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x31b036…
08-11 08:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	293	1¢	$3	0xedb41c…
08-11 08:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x9bb6b5…
08-11 08:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0x38d1b7…
08-11 08:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	172	1¢	$1	0x657fef…
08-11 08:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2f957d…
08-11 08:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x056208…
08-11 08:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x503c2f…
08-11 08:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x4e22db…
08-11 08:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe5f8c0…
08-11 08:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe8f0be…
08-11 08:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc6a420…
08-11 08:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xf0569d…
08-11 04:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	275	97¢	$267	0xedcbe5…
08-11 03:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xebfe61…
08-11 03:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x305f34…
08-11 03:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x26a520…
08-11 03:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	108	90¢	$97	0xa4c792…
08-11 03:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	2,093	2¢	$44	0xdd5843…
08-11 03:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x746a29…
08-11 03:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$8	0x5d9ade…
08-11 03:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x032306…
08-11 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0xc0dc13…
08-11 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x9b30d8…
08-11 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x5307dd…
08-11 03:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x21b9c6…
08-11 03:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x05e5f1…
08-11 03:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x63e35e…
08-11 03:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	124	2¢	$3	0x5f1535…
08-11 03:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0xf2bb14…
08-11 03:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	487	2¢	$10	0x7df0d9…
08-11 03:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x456262…
08-11 02:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xed48cf…
08-11 02:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x237beb…
08-11 02:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xfe7b1e…
08-11 02:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x971c90…
08-11 02:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x2dfb17…
08-11 02:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xa628aa…
08-11 02:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xd05842…
08-10 13:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x284f65…
08-10 13:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xccac86…
08-10 13:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x0ab274…
08-10 12:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x5a00e8…
08-10 12:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xd9509b…
08-10 09:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaffd11…
08-10 09:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x040d55…
08-10 09:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 11?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xdd60db…
08-10 09:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$3	0x5f98fe…
08-10 09:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0xebb296…
08-10 09:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$17	0x755bfd…
08-10 09:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x1d09f7…
08-10 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	39	89¢	$34	0x95922d…
08-10 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	197	10¢	$19	0x0977d8…
08-10 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	182	89¢	$162	0x018e6a…
08-10 09:22:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 10?	No	SELL	1,050	100¢	$1,049	0x62fa8d…
08-10 07:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x35d55a…
08-10 07:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xee3bef…
08-10 07:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc0da2f…
08-10 07:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x457238…