Sour-Drizzle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$74

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,028

lifetime

Volume

$47.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$97

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-11 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

92% 44% +$74

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+150	$98	64¢	$97	$-1	06-04 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 29c	14	$2.9K	2,896	11	+2,885	open	—	04-20 04:24
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$2.8K	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	05-11 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	18	$2.8K	2,178	2,104	+74	open	—	04-28 07:29
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 23c	15	$2.3K	1,158	1,157	+1	open	—	04-03 08:19
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 27?	31	$1.7K	2,543	0	+2,543	open	—	04-27 06:16
highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 21c	35	$1.5K	1,084	1,127	-43	open	—	04-01 08:51
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 25c	2	$1.5K	1,477	0	+1,477	open	—	04-16 00:19
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	12	$1.3K	1,588	0	+1,588	open	—	04-02 07:44
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	20	$1.3K	640	640	+0	open	—	04-17 08:40
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 22c	3	$1.2K	1,215	0	+1,215	open	—	04-01 16:12
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 18corbelow	5	$957	481	481	+0	open	—	04-03 07:11
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 29c	17	$897	599	586	+13	open	—	04-17 07:44
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 19 2026 29c	24	$799	1,092	1,083	+9	open	—	04-19 09:49
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 24?	16	$730	5,457	472	+4,985	open	—	04-24 08:14
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 1 2026 26c	5	$716	720	0	+720	open	—	04-01 06:31
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 1 2026 24c	4	$711	714	0	+714	open	—	04-01 04:15
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 28c	2	$638	644	0	+644	open	—	04-21 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or higher on April 28?	12	$611	1,013	0	+1,013	open	—	04-28 03:58
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 26c	8	$609	2,744	1,255	+1,489	open	—	04-21 01:01
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 21c	8	$567	467	453	+14	open	—	04-24 06:14
lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 27c	5	$545	549	0	+549	open	—	04-23 14:04
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 27c	8	$540	1,021	480	+542	open	—	04-21 03:09
highest temperature in hong kong on april 9 2026 22c	2	$513	518	0	+518	open	—	04-05 23:46
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 28c	3	$502	504	0	+504	open	—	04-20 02:09
lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	3	$491	495	0	+495	open	—	04-23 05:49
highest temperature in hong kong on april 6 2026 21c	2	$465	470	0	+470	open	—	04-02 14:27
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 25c	2	$465	296	170	+126	open	—	04-20 13:20
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 11am et	4	$437	444	0	+444	open	—	04-20 16:26
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	14	$417	650	0	+650	open	—	04-28 03:47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$406	400	340	+60	open	—	04-30 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 15:22:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x8c2a1e…
06-11 14:13:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	109	95¢	$104	0x087e23…
06-11 13:50:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4ed6e9…
06-11 13:41:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x7ea5f9…
06-11 12:51:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9d3ff4…
06-11 12:26:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0x468c22…
06-04 23:22:34	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0x0ad73d…
05-29 02:35:27	Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)	Houston Astros	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa5dfce…
05-29 02:34:55	Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe643e2…
05-29 02:28:08	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a4cd5…
05-22 03:06:16	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8bb8f7…
05-21 08:25:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xc4f9f6…
05-21 08:25:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0x4ea7d4…
05-21 08:12:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x60f445…
05-21 08:12:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1d5c91…
05-21 02:40:54	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4ecf70…
05-21 02:39:55	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Spurs	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5ee263…
05-19 08:34:47	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x46dc25…
05-15 16:54:48	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xac985b…
05-15 08:07:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	115	69¢	$79	0xca89b5…
05-15 08:03:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x1316d4…
05-15 08:03:28	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xac451b…
05-15 06:23:31	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa1e0dc…
05-15 06:01:25	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x480acd…
05-15 05:35:13	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x073b8b…
05-15 05:34:56	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0xeab118…
05-15 05:31:27	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x8e41a4…
05-15 05:29:04	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xc86e26…
05-15 05:11:44	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x943064…
05-15 04:30:02	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0x6a6be7…
05-14 06:46:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?	No	SELL	205	11¢	$23	0x160120…
05-14 06:45:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?	No	BUY	205	9¢	$18	0xc23043…
05-14 05:32:19	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	29	91¢	$27	0xa774d4…
05-14 05:29:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x477c4d…
05-14 04:51:45	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	128	30¢	$39	0x76f7d1…
05-14 04:23:50	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x5f0884…
05-14 04:21:49	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x64209f…
05-13 14:52:34	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xa19114…
05-13 11:54:40	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xc81396…
05-13 06:42:11	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf41867…
05-11 08:19:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	450	14¢	$63	0x34d226…
05-11 08:13:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x8e5bcd…
05-11 08:08:29	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1a50af…
05-11 06:45:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x074fbb…
05-11 05:41:48	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,401	100¢	$1,395	0x448303…
05-11 01:06:28	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0x44ddfe…
05-11 01:06:26	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,146	98¢	$1,121	0x4bba8c…
05-10 14:28:48	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1c37ab…
05-10 14:27:41	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe3ebcc…
05-10 14:27:19	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x3de674…
05-10 07:23:45	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xd716b4…
05-06 03:50:04	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	210	4¢	$8	0x7a5928…
05-04 12:23:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x726d14…
05-04 10:05:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xc19cdc…
05-04 10:05:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x190343…
05-04 10:05:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	97¢	$92	0x7bbe77…
05-04 10:04:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7ef044…
05-04 10:04:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x2ebae3…
05-04 08:03:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc051b8…
05-03 23:38:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	198	58¢	$115	0xf4f867…
05-03 23:25:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xcb712e…
05-03 15:08:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x559809…
04-30 03:08:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	340	56¢	$190	0xd098e4…
04-30 02:32:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x5915ad…
04-30 02:32:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0x91a738…
04-30 02:31:38	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xa0d286…
04-30 01:45:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x1fb65e…
04-30 01:45:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0xa025ed…
04-29 08:17:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x7e1e11…
04-28 12:34:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0xa45ace…
04-28 12:34:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6ccae6…
04-28 12:34:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x67557f…
04-28 09:44:46	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xef5d18…
04-28 07:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x3323fd…
04-28 07:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	897	99¢	$892	0x98d9a6…
04-28 07:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x623cb2…
04-28 07:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x53f195…
04-28 07:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x327290…
04-28 07:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x8ef46e…
04-28 07:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xa3d878…
04-28 07:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x6d696d…
04-28 07:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x2a3bdd…
04-28 07:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x6184ec…
04-28 07:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x8592f5…
04-28 07:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x454d5f…
04-28 07:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xbd4cd5…
04-28 07:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xbd6750…
04-28 07:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	545	95¢	$517	0x7f3cda…
04-28 05:37:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	SELL	197	70¢	$138	0x6be682…
04-28 05:36:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x97a680…
04-28 05:36:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xf0763a…
04-28 05:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xe50855…
04-28 05:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	No	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x2c5ddd…
04-28 05:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	55	21¢	$11	0xfd1bbd…
04-28 05:13:46	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x84a392…
04-28 05:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xd0fc36…
04-28 05:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xf4e544…
04-28 05:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0xda7ebc…
04-28 04:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	550	8¢	$44	0x0749ee…
04-28 03:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xc8dede…