Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or higher on May 15?
open
Total volume
$241
$639 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$5,019
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 13:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $3 | $233 | $230 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 13 | $2 | $118 | $116 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $56 | $56 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $11 | $10 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $36 | $36 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | Yes | +181 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:31 |
| Fabulous-Obstacle 0x4495…1316 | Yes | +120 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:59 |
| Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-14 12:02 |
| Overjoyed-Ectoderm 0x6cfa…0d57 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Winged-Reboot 0x740b…f7f1 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Crowded-Teenager 0xd299…8d12 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Woozy-Numeric 0x8a61…7ead | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Drafty-Winter 0x0cf0…4cde | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Frivolous-Conservative 0x96ea…07db | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Outstanding-Cinder 0x1163…1f71 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Jubilant-Conception 0xe6b6…9beb | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Limp-Frock 0xb2b1…b9f8 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Scornful-Surrounds 0x8663…1621 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Hollow-Mug 0x0e79…dddd | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Gummy-Prosecution 0x22e3…6842 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Excitable-Composer 0x92e5…7ea9 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Average-Hectare 0xe270…ac4f | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 12:02 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 12:02 |
| Firm-Consciousness 0xf794…e269 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 00:17 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:03 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:02 |
| Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:02 |
| Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:31:03 | Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | Yes | BUY | 181 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xbb8b6f… |
| 05-14 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x948534… |
| 05-14 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd4ed69… |
| 05-14 12:19:01 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x21927c… |
| 05-14 12:05:31 | Outstanding-Cinder 0x1163…1f71 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x967a28… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Jubilant-Conception 0xe6b6…9beb | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x161e9d… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Drafty-Winter 0x0cf0…4cde | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x9f8118… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Winged-Reboot 0x740b…f7f1 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x99eda9… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Woozy-Numeric 0x8a61…7ead | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x45ae92… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Limp-Frock 0xb2b1…b9f8 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xe0b49c… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Scornful-Surrounds 0x8663…1621 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x0dd299… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Frivolous-Conservative 0x96ea…07db | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x2a1eb7… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Excitable-Composer 0x92e5…7ea9 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xd1fdb6… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Average-Hectare 0xe270…ac4f | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x56ce16… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Overjoyed-Ectoderm 0x6cfa…0d57 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x5d7aab… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Gummy-Prosecution 0x22e3…6842 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x5a3ce7… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Crowded-Teenager 0xd299…8d12 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xbb30e7… |
| 05-14 12:05:29 | Firm-Consciousness 0xf794…e269 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8464ba… |
| 05-14 12:05:27 | Hollow-Mug 0x0e79…dddd | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xe515d2… |
| 05-14 12:02:46 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd3aab7… |
| 05-14 12:02:36 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x58829f… |
| 05-14 12:02:34 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x414dd1… |
| 05-14 12:02:34 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2bb5e5… |
| 05-14 12:02:34 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa92844… |
| 05-14 12:02:32 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x93f5e9… |
| 05-14 12:02:32 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x808b2c… |
| 05-14 12:02:32 | Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7613a2… |
| 05-14 12:02:32 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x86d08a… |
| 05-14 12:02:32 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3b6998… |
| 05-14 08:59:33 | Fabulous-Obstacle 0x4495…1316 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3856a1… |
| 05-14 00:17:03 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x984b48… |
| 05-13 22:03:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x81e25f… |