Extra-Small-Thermals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

2,898

Trades

12,843

lifetime

Volume

$5.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-18 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

88% 6% -$63

Crypto

11% 7% +$32

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 12% -$3

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 23?	8	$287	300	300	+0	Yes	+$283	05-23 22:18
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 18c	4	$161	200	200	+0	Yes	+$159	03-19 07:50
highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 54 55f	14	$108	132	132	+0	Yes	+$107	03-14 18:19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	17	$100	122	112	+10	Yes	+$94	05-24 04:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?	15	$89	115	115	+0	Yes	+$85	05-25 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 25?	5	$83	86	86	+0	Yes	+$78	05-25 12:56
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 21	3	$66	64	64	+0	Yes	+$62	03-22 00:10
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 82 83f	20	$60	200	62	+138	No	+$59	03-12 21:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?	3	$53	56	56	+0	Yes	+$50	05-23 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?	5	$49	50	50	+0	Yes	+$47	07-23 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 25?	2	$42	40	40	+0	No	+$38	05-25 14:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?	3	$40	40	40	+0	No	+$39	07-26 14:23
highest temperature in tokyo on march 15 2026 14c	2	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	+$38	03-15 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?	3	$39	38	38	+0	Yes	+$36	05-26 18:17
highest temperature in dallas on march 15 2026 84 85f	3	$37	50	50	+0	Yes	+$35	03-15 18:05
highest temperature in chicago on january 23 2 3f	5	$35	35	35	+0	Yes	+$34	01-23 16:55
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 13 2026 29c	3	$34	34	34	+0	Yes	+$33	03-13 22:37
highest temperature in chongqing on march 24 2026 18c	3	$33	33	33	+0	Yes	+$31	03-24 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 24?	5	$33	80	80	+0	Yes	+$27	05-25 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 24?	2	$31	30	30	+0	No	+$28	05-25 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 17?	3	$29	30	30	+0	Yes	+$27	05-17 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 27?	3	$29	30	30	+0	Yes	+$28	07-27 12:08
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 86 87f	2	$25	50	50	+0	No	+$24	03-12 21:48
highest temperature in nyc on march 24 2026 48 49f	4	$24	30	30	+0	Yes	+$22	03-24 20:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 24?	10	$23	120	100	+20	No	+$1	05-24 13:58
cbb txs arpb 2026 02 21	11	$23	330	222	+108	Texas Southern Tigers	+$6	02-20 18:58
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15?	4	$23	33	20	+13	No	+$17	05-15 13:40
highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 56 57f	43	$23	500	86	+414	No	+$21	03-14 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 28?	5	$22	30	30	+0	No	+$21	07-28 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:45 UTC	2	$21	99	40	+59	Down	+$15	02-09 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 10:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x52627b…
10-18 10:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb0e6ee…
10-18 10:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd18e5d…
10-18 10:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x719dee…
10-18 09:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2e1105…
10-18 09:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x95bcdf…
10-18 09:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xbca081…
10-18 08:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc50246…
10-18 08:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6d0c7e…
10-18 08:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x131233…
10-18 08:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x757f8e…
10-18 08:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x635266…
10-18 08:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x4d1cdc…
10-18 08:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xe6a93e…
10-18 08:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x42f9a0…
10-18 08:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf58730…
10-18 08:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xbeb7db…
10-18 08:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x83d48e…
10-18 08:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1ec4c8…
10-18 08:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x0c65ce…
10-18 08:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0263ac…
10-18 08:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x856160…
10-18 08:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x890d5e…
10-18 08:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3f946d…
10-18 07:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x2aa809…
10-18 07:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xdb4879…
10-18 06:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3f8b6d…
10-18 06:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7622b8…
10-18 06:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3c07df…
10-18 05:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$1	0x1d893d…
10-18 05:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xdc5e5e…
10-18 04:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x6bb103…
10-18 04:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x37940d…
10-18 04:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xe3add3…
10-18 04:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2dc52f…
10-18 03:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	195	0¢	$0	0x9023c2…
10-18 03:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf13c43…
10-18 03:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9a6f6d…
10-18 03:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xebfa9c…
10-18 03:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x70e690…
10-18 03:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa86a3f…
10-18 03:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	147	0¢	$0	0x659126…
10-18 02:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x433574…
10-17 20:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xb7b2c3…
10-17 18:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x5bacf9…
10-17 18:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x5e4e23…
10-17 18:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xdc6993…
10-17 18:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x883962…
10-17 18:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x5b9794…
10-17 17:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xb5ba3e…
10-17 17:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x582671…
10-17 17:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x19d561…
10-17 17:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xd811fb…
10-17 17:23:33	highest temperature in beijing on october 18 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0xaafea3…
09-29 12:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe7eb37…
09-29 11:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x950502…
09-29 11:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5bfa32…
09-29 10:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x4a848c…
09-29 10:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0xabd84e…
09-29 06:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcbead7…
09-29 06:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb5f258…
09-28 21:01:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 28?	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xd618ff…
09-28 20:01:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 28?	No	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xa37c89…
09-28 13:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x823ec4…
09-28 13:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x5e56cf…
09-28 13:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8157f3…
09-28 12:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc35840…
09-28 11:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	146	0¢	$0	0xf269a2…
09-28 11:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xa4cbfd…
09-28 11:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x71834f…
09-28 10:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xed683d…
09-28 10:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x5e1cc7…
09-28 10:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe5c8ce…
09-28 10:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x8bae4d…
09-28 10:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x6f745a…
09-28 09:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xc2b25f…
09-28 09:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x55f496…
09-28 07:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 28?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbe9dbf…
09-28 07:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 28?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2f2ae2…
09-21 11:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x491ffb…
09-21 11:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xee097e…
09-21 11:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 21?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x46f9cc…
09-21 11:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x942af6…
09-16 06:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd8e753…
09-16 06:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xc39846…
09-16 06:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x480756…
09-16 05:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x35d90a…
09-16 05:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1fa69b…
09-16 05:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	126	0¢	$0	0x002df1…
09-16 05:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x24d3e7…
09-16 05:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xd4f3a7…
09-16 05:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9da966…
09-16 05:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcb9ead…
09-16 05:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x31209c…
09-16 04:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdc4332…
09-16 03:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1dd3ab…
09-15 18:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x945c38…
09-15 14:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xeae5de…
09-15 14:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x55f277…
09-15 14:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x443132…