Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$1,809
$9,897 in 24h
Trades
124
Unique wallets
76
Liquidity
$33,359
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 07:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $132 | $132 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 71 | $326 | $213 | +$112 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $142 | $13 | +$128 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $51 | $147 | $96 |
| Median | 12 | $10 | $55 | $44 |
| Below median | 13 | $26 | $13 | +$13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 14 | $30 | $10 | +$20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $65 | $107 | $42 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xc423…2ccd | Yes | +110 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 05-10 02:30 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +110 | $86 | $86 | 2 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Pristine-Waiter-Pasture 0x2dbb…f7ff | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 05:08 |
| Direct-Plywood 0xf64a…db74 | Yes | +73 | $47 | $52 | 2 | 05-10 04:52 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +64 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Married-Netbook 0xae2e…40ad | No | +62 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +55 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +46 | $34 | $34 | 11 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | Yes | +35 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfcd3…104c | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +26 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Thin-Motor-Zoo 0xafa9…5ed8 | Yes | +24 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 02:33 |
| Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-10 03:51 |
| Granular-Oat 0x8c81…25ca | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Another-Journey 0xe752…2200 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 03:41 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +18 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-10 01:35 |
| Precious-Kingdom 0x256b…f607 | Yes | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:20 |
| Giant-Exclamation 0xfaf6…8b41 | Yes | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 02:16 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | +14 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 16:09 |
| Friendly-Allergist 0x358b…3722 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 21:47 |
| Known-Petitioner 0x57b9…05a0 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Writhing-Subcomponent-Grandmother 0x0fad…0bea | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:28 |
| Zany-Skiing 0x8a19…073d | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 03:35 |
| Beneficial-Cutlet 0x7b90…5077 | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 04:27 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 04:58 |
| Little-Centurion 0x8850…d68d | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:19 |
| Different-Jury 0xaa84…e985 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 21:48 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Bony-Retailer 0xa259…6597 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 11:05 |
| Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 04:49 |
| Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:48 |
| Stingy-Immigrant 0x2eb9…771a | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 03:06 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 06:00 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 00:10 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf51b…ca1b | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a22…2423 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Grounded-Ear 0xd953…cb2f | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Ecstatic-Postbox 0x6bf6…2529 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 04:58 |
| Zealous-Vehicle 0x3e97…5ddc | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 23:06 |
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:36 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:38 |
| Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1e6…f5bb | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1e6…f5bb | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:55 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 11:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xf874…def4 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:03:01 | Venerated-Wedge 0xf960…3f67 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x996ac0… |
| 05-10 05:52:49 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe0c496… |
| 05-10 05:36:22 | Guilty-Junker 0xa70d…63be | No | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x49ffd7… |
| 05-10 05:28:20 | Parched-Evocation 0x8ef1…c8e3 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x047f27… |
| 05-10 05:08:39 | Elated-Mound 0x1e3e…d953 | No | SELL | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x802a42… |
| 05-10 05:08:36 | Relieved-Storyboard 0x592d…4b16 | No | SELL | 607 | 100¢ | $606 | 0x02fbbf… |
| 05-10 05:08:32 | Digital-Dungeon 0xd24b…187d | No | SELL | 315 | 100¢ | $315 | 0x5051ea… |
| 05-10 05:08:20 | Pristine-Waiter-Pasture 0x2dbb…f7ff | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c7655… |
| 05-10 05:06:37 | Direct-Golf 0x6e41…5e0c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe8f6f8… |
| 05-10 05:03:28 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 80 | 90¢ | $72 | 0x8711b7… |
| 05-10 05:03:28 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xb5309f… |
| 05-10 05:03:28 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x4bb250… |
| 05-10 05:03:28 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7a7c4c… |
| 05-10 05:03:28 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x6e4bdf… |
| 05-10 05:03:28 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x1be194… |
| 05-10 05:03:28 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xf40ff8… |
| 05-10 05:03:28 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xd89e1c… |
| 05-10 05:03:26 | (anonymous) 0x7a22…2423 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x93f1f5… |
| 05-10 05:03:24 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x54fb8a… |
| 05-10 05:03:24 | (anonymous) 0xfcd3…104c | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $27 | 0xc2851f… |
| 05-10 05:03:24 | Grounded-Ear 0xd953…cb2f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x11da43… |
| 05-10 05:03:22 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xf63991… |
| 05-10 05:03:21 | Married-Netbook 0xae2e…40ad | No | BUY | 62 | 86¢ | $53 | 0xb4e0cd… |
| 05-10 05:03:19 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xf56734… |
| 05-10 05:03:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2afbd5… |
| 05-10 05:03:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6d2cd6… |
| 05-10 05:03:07 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x64fe43… |
| 05-10 05:03:07 | Known-Petitioner 0x57b9…05a0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x37b637… |
| 05-10 05:03:05 | Granular-Oat 0x8c81…25ca | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x486201… |
| 05-10 05:03:00 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa4b944… |
| 05-10 05:03:00 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 27 | 88¢ | $24 | 0x5379a9… |
| 05-10 05:03:00 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x810858… |
| 05-10 05:02:56 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x5116a5… |
| 05-10 05:02:51 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x8f5c81… |
| 05-10 05:02:46 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x937f1c… |
| 05-10 05:02:14 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x765b04… |
| 05-10 05:02:09 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x76936b… |
| 05-10 05:02:09 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x01eaed… |
| 05-10 05:02:09 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0x077c42… |
| 05-10 05:02:09 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x17058d… |
| 05-10 05:02:07 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 16 | 58¢ | $9 | 0x3be809… |
| 05-10 05:02:07 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 58¢ | $6 | 0x831d31… |
| 05-10 05:02:05 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 49¢ | $29 | 0xa0aa3f… |
| 05-10 04:58:56 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x70d300… |
| 05-10 04:58:55 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xaaf6dd… |
| 05-10 04:58:53 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 11 | 62¢ | $7 | 0x794ce7… |
| 05-10 04:58:44 | (anonymous) 0xd1e6…f5bb | No | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x477378… |
| 05-10 04:58:39 | Ecstatic-Postbox 0x6bf6…2529 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xb8dc02… |
| 05-10 04:57:48 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 23 | 58¢ | $13 | 0xb97b40… |
| 05-10 04:57:31 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xa2c312… |
| 05-10 04:57:24 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x46374a… |
| 05-10 04:57:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xfc7ae8… |
| 05-10 04:57:20 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x72df73… |
| 05-10 04:57:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xaa70ce… |
| 05-10 04:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xd1e6…f5bb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xd8240b… |
| 05-10 04:52:19 | Direct-Plywood 0xf64a…db74 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 64¢ | $50 | 0x923ce0… |
| 05-10 04:48:51 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xf87ec6… |
| 05-10 04:46:57 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 55¢ | $17 | 0x91e73a… |
| 05-10 04:46:03 | Rigid-Ego 0xb5b0…64f3 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 52¢ | $40 | 0x2ed650… |
| 05-10 04:41:47 | Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x313a81… |
| 05-10 04:41:47 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x25ca86… |
| 05-10 04:41:47 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x62bbed… |
| 05-10 04:41:46 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xe752f7… |
| 05-10 04:41:46 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x6be2f8… |
| 05-10 04:38:49 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x0516a9… |
| 05-10 04:27:05 | Beneficial-Cutlet 0x7b90…5077 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 57¢ | $6 | 0xc0d44a… |
| 05-10 04:26:55 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xb6c0c4… |
| 05-10 04:26:55 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x7153c7… |
| 05-10 04:26:55 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x9f5c64… |
| 05-10 04:26:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x242ea7… |
| 05-10 04:26:55 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x4e8837… |
| 05-10 04:26:20 | Elated-Mound 0x1e3e…d953 | No | BUY | 44 | 45¢ | $20 | 0xd2516a… |
| 05-10 04:06:21 | Impossible-Spree 0x9be9…7017 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 49¢ | $7 | 0x50b9da… |
| 05-10 04:05:58 | Smoggy-Theology 0xfadb…e3dc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x8d313a… |
| 05-10 03:54:59 | Rigid-Ego 0xb5b0…64f3 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 50¢ | $19 | 0xe9b483… |
| 05-10 03:51:51 | Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xa58267… |
| 05-10 03:51:30 | Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x31a1ea… |
| 05-10 03:51:04 | Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x4f193b… |
| 05-10 03:41:07 | Another-Journey 0xe752…2200 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x21d30f… |
| 05-10 03:35:42 | Rigid-Ego 0xb5b0…64f3 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 52¢ | $20 | 0xdb22a6… |
| 05-10 03:35:26 | (anonymous) 0xf51b…ca1b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xd85355… |
| 05-10 03:35:19 | Zany-Skiing 0x8a19…073d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x1c4abb… |
| 05-10 03:06:30 | Stingy-Immigrant 0x2eb9…771a | No | BUY | 3 | 59¢ | $2 | 0x121a7d… |
| 05-10 03:01:57 | Direct-Plywood 0xf64a…db74 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x8fad96… |
| 05-10 02:36:56 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x92d52d… |
| 05-10 02:36:29 | (anonymous) 0xc9fa…a7dc | No | SELL | 0 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x1a1e51… |
| 05-10 02:33:36 | Thin-Motor-Zoo 0xafa9…5ed8 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 63¢ | $15 | 0xdab9f8… |
| 05-10 02:30:52 | Exhausted-Greatgrandfather 0x370f…eaf5 | No | SELL | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x736045… |
| 05-10 02:30:27 | (anonymous) 0xc423…2ccd | Yes | BUY | 62 | 65¢ | $40 | 0xae7301… |
| 05-10 02:21:12 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x8b44f5… |
| 05-10 02:21:12 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x34f089… |
| 05-10 02:20:29 | Precious-Kingdom 0x256b…f607 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 58¢ | $10 | 0x3b4887… |
| 05-10 02:19:41 | Little-Centurion 0x8850…d68d | No | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x67746e… |
| 05-10 02:16:53 | Giant-Exclamation 0xfaf6…8b41 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0xf18d0a… |
| 05-10 02:15:47 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x4e5f25… |
| 05-10 02:15:47 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x354f55… |
| 05-10 01:46:21 | Stingy-Immigrant 0x2eb9…771a | No | BUY | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x4a4655… |
| 05-10 01:36:26 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | No | BUY | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xcc0b6b… |
| 05-10 01:35:09 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0xf93227… |
| 05-10 01:30:52 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x0f9daf… |