Granular-Oat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

1,380

Trades

3,669

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-31 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Other

84% 36% -$84

Crypto

14% 59% -$24

Politics

2% 57% -$43

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in singapore on april 9 2026 30c	56	$481	575	561	+15	Yes	+$198	04-09 10:11
highest temperature in milan on april 11 2026 21c	21	$257	167	145	+22	Yes	+$24	04-11 15:18
highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 33c	8	$228	126	126	+0	Yes	+$24	04-03 10:05
highest temperature in singapore on april 16 2026 33c	9	$182	97	96	+0	Yes	+$9	04-16 07:22
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 18c	22	$158	218	214	+4	No	+$2	04-16 14:05
highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 33c	11	$156	167	86	+80	No	-$65	04-18 04:01
highest temperature in singapore on april 7 2026 31c	4	$155	86	86	+0	Yes	+$17	04-07 11:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	13	$147	166	164	+2	No	-$58	04-25 04:15
highest temperature in paris on april 2 2026 13c	8	$136	176	0	+176	Yes	+$39	04-02 15:04
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	3	$121	120	100	+20	Yes	+$53	06-12 03:45
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 23c	13	$113	154	55	+99	No	-$33	04-05 14:53
highest temperature in singapore on april 17 2026 33c	8	$113	81	79	+1	Yes	+$10	04-17 04:57
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 19c	21	$94	150	150	+0	No	+$19	04-07 15:56
highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 32c	15	$93	203	48	+155	No	-$55	04-13 04:59
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 17corhigher	5	$90	47	47	+0	No	+$1	04-03 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?	4	$88	100	0	+100	Yes	+$12	06-23 15:43
highest temperature in singapore on april 10 2026 31c	26	$86	192	180	+12	No	+$33	04-10 05:59
highest temperature in singapore on april 8 2026 33c	10	$85	52	52	+0	Yes	+$5	04-08 06:09
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 25c	21	$59	144	141	+2	No	-$23	04-08 15:50
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 16c	7	$56	42	42	+0	No	+$6	04-14 12:40
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 25c	3	$56	30	30	+0	No	+$3	04-05 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?	3	$56	50	35	+15	Yes	+$15	06-17 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?	3	$54	50	50	+0	No	-$4	06-23 15:56
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 19c	5	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-06 14:36
highest temperature in paris on april 2 2026 14c	8	$53	70	0	+70	No	+$17	04-02 12:43
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 14c	8	$53	124	124	+0	No	-$25	04-13 13:26
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	3	$48	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	02-26 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?	15	$47	50	32	+18	No	-$3	06-23 20:18
highest temperature in seoul on march 1 2026 13c	7	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$3	03-01 06:20
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	2	$46	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	02-26 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 05:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x21cf1a…
10-29 04:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x56c114…
10-29 03:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd71c64…
10-28 16:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	18	48¢	$8	0xbee9df…
10-28 16:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa45a3a…
10-27 18:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x06cabb…
10-19 04:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7e0738…
10-19 00:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x4e968f…
10-19 00:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xdf72b3…
10-18 09:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5bc732…
10-18 05:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x776052…
10-17 13:05:59	highest temperature in austin on october 18 2026 76 77f	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xc4f1f3…
10-17 12:09:51	highest temperature in austin on october 18 2026 76 77f	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x53e49b…
10-17 05:00:34	highest temperature in austin on october 18 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x154e18…
10-17 05:00:32	highest temperature in austin on october 18 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x143ce6…
10-13 22:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x352103…
10-13 21:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x62c39a…
10-13 05:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0xa7aea4…
10-13 05:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x6ae6bc…
10-12 20:10:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9c1dad…
10-12 18:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xe62982…
10-12 15:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 12?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x0723dc…
10-12 13:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xba533f…
10-12 08:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x26f00c…
10-12 05:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x63a079…
10-12 05:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x39b49f…
10-12 04:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xca9dd7…
10-12 03:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x84aa7d…
10-11 19:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x17704f…
10-11 15:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x6220d4…
10-11 15:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x8605c5…
10-11 08:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xff1c73…
10-11 07:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xefa85f…
10-11 07:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x222e47…
10-06 14:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68af2b…
10-02 16:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xc49b31…
10-02 16:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x52cda6…
10-02 16:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x13366b…
10-02 14:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x1b0900…
10-02 14:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x4f494b…
10-02 14:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6084ff…
10-02 14:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbb0c10…
10-02 14:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xbecf62…
10-02 14:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x447b5b…
10-02 13:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb4e18f…
10-01 16:26:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4e61ca…
10-01 16:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xde0c89…
10-01 16:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x11d9f7…
10-01 15:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x166249…
10-01 15:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x9f0f6c…
10-01 14:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x254a2f…
10-01 14:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd17833…
10-01 14:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe5787d…
10-01 14:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xd61a4c…
10-01 13:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x423282…
10-01 13:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xb97816…
10-01 13:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7ffda3…
09-30 20:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x7bda13…
09-30 20:18:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xfabd7f…
09-30 20:18:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x6e4e9b…
09-30 20:18:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xdc28ed…
09-30 20:16:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8ca2e2…
09-30 19:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x552eeb…
09-30 19:01:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xce6c36…
09-30 18:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x043c23…
09-30 18:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x872830…
09-30 16:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x39d57a…
09-29 20:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf57976…
09-29 19:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xca16db…
09-29 17:49:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x87c637…
09-29 17:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd15f3f…
09-29 15:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xebf6af…
09-29 14:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0d0b0f…
09-29 14:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd1c3e2…
09-29 14:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x094937…
09-28 18:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1eb1a5…
09-28 18:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xae5d7f…
09-28 18:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x024162…
09-28 18:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf191db…
09-28 17:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xff37e9…
09-28 16:10:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6ff3a8…
09-27 20:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x811daa…
09-27 20:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x301119…
09-27 18:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x398526…
09-27 17:23:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xadf481…
09-27 17:20:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xdb52ba…
09-27 16:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xcc976f…
09-27 15:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe304d0…
09-27 13:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x293e4a…
09-27 12:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x6a207b…
09-26 18:06:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x7b9fe9…
09-26 18:06:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x651560…
09-26 17:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf90720…
09-26 16:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xd0c4e9…
09-26 16:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb59fd6…
09-26 16:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x97a136…
09-24 21:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x062a3e…
09-24 20:10:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xed558b…
09-24 19:36:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x02837b…
09-24 19:36:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xd5c7d2…