Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
85.6%
Resolved
161
Trades
266
lifetime
Volume
$330
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$23
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-10 12:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
91% 88% +$4
Politics
5%
Sports
4% 43% $-3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -7 $-6 92¢ $-6 $-0 06-10 12:08
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-10 12:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-10 12:19
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -3 $-3 90¢ $-3 $-0 06-10 12:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 12:21
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 12:21
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -3 $-1 35¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 12:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 40¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 12:10