Alert-Demand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

677

Trades

7,643

lifetime

Volume

$132.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 05:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Other

86% 69% +$9,673

Politics

10% 70% +$813

Tech

4% 75% +$914

Crypto

0% 38% -$16

Sports

0% 40% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+500	$26	2¢	$12	-$14	09-24 12:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol we al 2026 08 06 game2	75	$3.5K	24,464	24,464	+0	Team WE	+$132	08-06 15:17
lol we al 2026 08 06 game1	80	$2.9K	16,469	16,469	+0	Team WE	+$337	08-06 14:00
lol gen hle1 2026 08 13 game2	63	$2.7K	21,385	21,385	+0	Gen.G	+$50	08-13 12:27
lol hle1 dk 2026 07 30	27	$2.6K	6,913	6,912	+0	Dplus KIA	+$927	07-30 12:16
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	11	$2.6K	1,013	1,613	-600	No	+$9	01-22 16:47
lol g2 kc 2026 07 26 game2	28	$2.5K	17,986	17,986	+0	G2 Esports	+$1,490	07-26 18:58
lol blg tes 2026 08 07 game1	69	$2.4K	14,564	14,564	+0	Top Esports	+$176	08-07 13:09
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	190	$2.3K	2,347	2,005	+342	No	-$205	02-19 06:58
lol dcg gz 2026 07 30	49	$2.3K	21,620	21,620	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$972	07-30 14:58
lol hle1 gen 2026 08 05 game2	32	$1.7K	19,998	10,100	+9,898	Hanwha Life Esports	-$42	08-05 12:49
lol fnc mkoi 2026 08 02 game1	20	$1.6K	4,705	4,705	+0	Movistar KOI	+$501	08-02 17:40
lol kt gen 2026 08 07 game2	26	$1.5K	25,208	19,349	+5,860	Gen.G	-$115	08-07 09:20
lol dk kt 2026 08 09 game1	17	$1.4K	5,331	5,331	+0	KT Rolster	+$293	08-09 08:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	81	$1.3K	14,303	4,304	+9,999	Yes	-$204	05-11 15:02
lol blg tes 2026 08 07 game2	30	$1.3K	12,006	12,006	+0	Top Esports	+$196	08-07 14:14
will trumps remarks not air 837	23	$1.2K	1,099	276	+823	No	+$39	04-15 10:11
lol al lgd 2026 06 05 game3	43	$1.2K	8,697	7,689	+1,008	Anyone's Legend	-$95	06-05 11:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	16	$1.2K	991	991	+0	Yes	+$68	01-15 07:58
lol edg al 2026 08 12 game2	15	$1.2K	7,846	6,889	+956	Anyone's Legend	-$49	08-12 10:50
lol lgd tt 2026 08 06 game2	46	$1.1K	8,679	8,679	+0	ThunderTalk Gaming	+$240	08-06 08:39
lol al lgd 2026 07 24 game2	22	$1.1K	6,880	6,750	+130	Anyone's Legend	+$17	07-24 08:31
lol dk kt 2026 08 09	42	$1.1K	11,024	11,024	+0	Dplus KIA	+$158	08-09 10:13
lol jdg edg 2026 08 07 game2	19	$1.1K	5,653	5,653	+0	JD Gaming	+$161	08-07 08:42
lol nip wb 2026 07 30 game1	40	$1.1K	4,751	4,751	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$23	07-30 07:40
lol tt jdg 2026 07 30	26	$1.0K	4,309	4,309	+0	JD Gaming	+$108	07-30 13:45
lol tt we 2026 08 02 game1	26	$1.0K	16,683	5,572	+11,111	ThunderTalk Gaming	+$220	08-02 07:42
lol lgd tt 2026 08 06 game1	30	$986	9,431	9,431	+0	LGD Gaming	+$228	08-06 07:45
lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	27	$913	8,550	8,550	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$96	08-08 10:20
will monopoly gochat be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	12	$878	885	0	+885	Yes	+$7	04-10 16:54
lol mkoi vit 2026 07 26 game2	21	$852	3,000	3,000	+0	Team Vitality	+$217	07-26 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:39:56	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa90a7e…
10-26 04:05:51	Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xac9077…
10-26 03:29:20	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xe50052…
10-25 13:58:51	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x7bef60…
10-25 13:57:00	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x54de22…
10-25 13:52:12	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x935f9f…
10-25 10:32:24	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x985bf2…
10-25 07:45:20	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0x6ef3fb…
10-25 07:23:06	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x369350…
10-25 07:06:05	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xc5858b…
10-25 07:06:03	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	SELL	122	16¢	$20	0x5c9f0f…
10-25 06:25:38	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x301cc1…
10-25 06:25:30	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xdb0dae…
10-25 06:19:32	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x16c10c…
10-25 06:19:26	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xc7b9ca…
10-25 06:13:42	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xb343a8…
10-25 06:13:36	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x9ad637…
10-25 06:08:26	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xa5c2cf…
10-25 06:08:17	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xe6fa81…
10-25 05:55:56	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xdf7457…
10-25 01:14:03	Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xe627c3…
10-24 21:32:57	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xaf7fbf…
10-24 15:21:05	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xb7661a…
10-24 15:20:57	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x0aef03…
10-24 15:09:15	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xc5abf6…
10-24 15:09:12	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x6d6532…
10-24 14:50:33	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xdce0a9…
10-24 14:47:56	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xf377fc…
10-24 14:42:06	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xdaff39…
10-24 14:41:59	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xf9e2b4…
10-24 14:36:38	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xaa935a…
10-21 18:41:26	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x3e9c29…
10-21 08:21:50	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x62eba1…
10-18 19:05:03	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	98	17¢	$17	0xc17550…
10-18 19:05:03	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	484	17¢	$82	0x8db23e…
10-18 19:05:02	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	529	17¢	$90	0x981915…
10-18 19:03:33	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	188	18¢	$34	0x82717f…
10-18 19:03:30	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x521b5d…
10-18 19:03:30	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	278	18¢	$50	0x4aa711…
10-18 19:03:27	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0x26a3df…
10-18 19:03:21	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0xcb25f6…
10-18 19:03:20	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xab59ca…
10-18 19:03:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	537	18¢	$97	0xda5e3e…
10-18 19:02:39	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	28	16¢	$5	0x04818c…
10-18 19:02:35	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x63b01f…
10-18 19:02:26	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	57	16¢	$9	0xb087ec…
10-18 19:02:23	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x9bf93c…
10-18 19:02:21	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x9d358e…
10-18 19:02:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	1,111	17¢	$189	0xd8f161…
10-18 18:26:23	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	MVK Esports	SELL	1,111	12¢	$133	0xd7e33b…
10-18 18:26:06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	914	8¢	$73	0x85107d…
10-18 18:26:05	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	197	8¢	$16	0x01f5da…
10-16 11:58:01	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4d2502…
10-16 11:40:10	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x16a402…
10-16 10:55:33	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8c884d…
10-16 09:37:54	Will Be My Eyes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x08fd55…
10-16 07:17:07	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	103	0¢	$0	0xbf68ff…
10-15 19:58:58	Will Be My Eyes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x14422f…
10-15 19:57:28	Will Be My Eyes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x691d99…
10-15 19:55:58	Will Be My Eyes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xaf42fb…
10-15 19:33:26	Will Be My Eyes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xd3eba9…
10-15 19:13:58	Will Be My Eyes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x8826ab…
10-15 17:53:47	Will Trump Accounts: Official App be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2a1c75…
10-15 17:24:17	Will Be My Eyes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe7df3b…
10-14 17:52:37	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xf456a0…
10-14 17:40:07	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xcd9072…
10-14 11:38:32	will andy burnham say mr speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20261014	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9265d9…
10-14 11:37:44	will andy burnham say mr speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20261014	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2cecf8…
10-14 11:35:38	will andy burnham say mr speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20261014	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa82587…
10-14 11:35:23	will andy burnham say mr speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20261014	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfffb00…
10-14 11:35:16	will andy burnham say mr speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20261014	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x909f61…
10-14 06:29:55	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	BUY	119	14¢	$17	0x8a9cd5…
10-14 06:29:49	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	No	BUY	119	14¢	$17	0xf966f0…
10-09 16:00:45	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5be0a9…
10-09 16:00:05	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6e5d9c…
10-09 15:59:55	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x262474…
10-09 15:20:57	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbd9eaf…
10-09 15:19:33	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x17cc1e…
10-09 15:19:24	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xad0601…
10-09 11:38:51	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x6f1629…
10-09 09:59:22	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xa447db…
10-09 09:58:40	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa19532…
10-09 08:58:04	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xe749bf…
10-09 03:43:57	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x85adbf…
10-09 03:29:33	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x6698db…
10-09 03:23:50	Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xf52cb6…
10-08 20:47:44	Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa418ac…
10-08 20:47:42	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5a1f40…
10-08 19:04:27	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa1ac1f…
10-08 19:04:15	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5e1e19…
10-08 19:04:06	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb319b7…
10-08 19:03:35	Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x902cf6…
10-08 19:03:15	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa00a2a…
10-08 16:27:30	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xb28620…
10-08 16:21:39	Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x64cecf…
10-08 16:21:24	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x0ce321…
10-08 16:17:00	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xaf6e3d…
10-08 10:21:50	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x399005…
10-08 09:30:51	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xc9eedc…
10-08 08:57:26	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x6495d7…