Equatorial-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

425

Trades

4,768

lifetime

Volume

$362.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$119

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-27 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Other

97% 60% -$10,604

Crypto

3% 30% -$328

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes		+162	$99	74¢	$119	+$20	10-27 04:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	62	$19.2K	9,451	12,443	-2,992	Yes	+$1,664	03-28 16:16
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	51	$11.9K	7,148	7,148	+0	Yes	+$2,394	03-31 17:30
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	126	$10.5K	13,464	2,534	+10,930	No	+$1,087	04-03 08:11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	48	$10.4K	8,038	8,038	+0	Yes	-$297	05-09 15:47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	51	$9.4K	8,312	8,312	+0	Yes	-$942	05-11 15:41
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	56	$8.0K	21,141	13,252	+7,889	No	-$858	03-31 08:25
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	51	$8.0K	2,286	8,344	-6,058	Yes	-$2,058	03-27 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	21	$7.7K	4,838	4,838	+0	Yes	+$344	04-29 18:09
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	51	$7.2K	13,732	3,775	+9,957	No	-$2,682	04-15 07:38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	12	$7.1K	5,206	5,206	+0	Yes	+$1,070	05-08 15:34
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	104	$7.0K	16,890	8,204	+8,686	No	-$464	04-24 15:47
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	55	$6.9K	7,404	8,273	-869	Yes	+$1,611	04-14 17:19
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	40	$6.6K	7,365	2,120	+5,245	No	+$184	03-23 07:58
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	48	$6.5K	9,051	6,708	+2,343	No	+$334	04-22 06:52
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	39	$5.9K	4,065	4,038	+27	Yes	-$257	04-22 15:57
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	16	$5.2K	5,993	0	+5,993	No	+$799	03-26 07:04
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	40	$5.1K	5,919	2,392	+3,527	No	-$339	04-01 15:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	22	$5.1K	2,868	2,868	+0	No	+$491	05-01 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	59	$4.9K	4,152	4,152	+0	Yes	+$429	05-01 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	11	$4.2K	2,191	2,191	+0	Yes	+$109	05-13 14:37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	65	$4.2K	9,944	9,944	+0	No	-$2,753	05-13 04:27
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	58	$4.1K	1,940	13,028	-11,088	Yes	-$9,274	04-03 15:42
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	34	$4.0K	3,844	3,806	+37	Yes	-$228	04-13 16:03
cz binance of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 0 19	22	$4.0K	2,091	2,091	+0	Yes	+$163	03-31 17:49
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	5	$4.0K	2,056	2,056	+0	Yes	+$126	03-30 17:50
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	40	$3.8K	5,596	6,851	-1,255	Yes	+$763	03-20 15:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	58	$3.6K	7,855	6,987	+868	No	-$640	05-08 07:02
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	28	$3.6K	3,208	2,339	+869	No	-$404	04-15 13:10
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	51	$3.4K	6,570	6,570	+0	No	-$3,049	05-14 19:42
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	51	$3.3K	4,509	1,496	+3,014	Yes	+$1,936	05-12 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:06:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	61¢	$68	0x860aac…
10-27 04:06:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x678561…
10-24 14:24:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xc8e173…
10-24 14:24:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x7c543f…
10-24 14:24:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x798669…
10-24 14:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	63¢	$54	0x6edf2a…
10-24 14:05:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xdc82e4…
10-24 14:04:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x117f4d…
10-24 14:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x6bc01e…
10-24 14:03:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x9bf49d…
10-24 14:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	29¢	$28	0x7a290d…
10-24 14:01:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	32¢	$23	0x7474be…
10-24 13:56:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	23¢	$39	0x63a8cd…
10-24 13:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	78¢	$54	0x6bd978…
10-24 06:35:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	76¢	$52	0x716aa2…
10-24 05:32:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	156	11¢	$17	0xe367bd…
10-24 05:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	347	10¢	$35	0xa51df1…
10-24 04:05:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x944133…
10-24 04:04:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfc82ea…
10-24 04:03:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	130	17¢	$22	0x35adb5…
10-24 03:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x7e0e2b…
10-24 03:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x803ef6…
10-24 03:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x06f4a2…
10-24 03:41:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2b693d…
10-24 03:41:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x54795a…
10-24 03:33:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	16¢	$13	0x410062…
10-24 02:36:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x03102a…
10-24 02:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x526323…
10-24 02:35:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x8d88ba…
10-24 02:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x9eaad1…
10-24 02:35:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xc61aaa…
10-24 02:35:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x76463a…
10-24 02:31:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xc53695…
10-24 02:31:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x2102e8…
10-24 02:31:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x84750d…
10-24 02:31:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x597b34…
10-24 02:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x38c376…
10-24 02:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x99f8a2…
10-24 02:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xd33dc2…
10-23 22:10:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	67¢	$90	0x8801c5…
10-23 17:24:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	53¢	$68	0xd77dca…
10-23 17:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x04385b…
10-23 17:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x659ae9…
10-23 17:17:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	83	86¢	$71	0x4f0f42…
10-23 16:34:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x793387…
10-23 15:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	12¢	$11	0x18da39…
10-23 15:26:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	335	11¢	$38	0x3951f4…
10-23 12:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	335	60¢	$201	0x8bd437…
10-23 07:35:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	35¢	$34	0x971139…
10-23 07:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x18a4aa…
10-23 07:34:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x2aec82…
10-23 06:05:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	24¢	$28	0x89b10b…
10-23 06:04:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	67¢	$189	0xd9aeee…
10-23 04:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	42¢	$36	0x8451a1…
10-23 04:49:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6e5f48…
10-23 04:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc25d49…
10-23 04:48:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x8acb58…
10-23 04:47:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5a528e…
10-23 04:47:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x6a5d36…
10-23 04:47:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf5591c…
10-23 04:46:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xe6a0e6…
10-23 04:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0xacff12…
10-23 04:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x439916…
10-23 04:44:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc0e8e4…
10-23 04:44:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x91c2e9…
10-23 04:44:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x7d8b56…
10-23 04:44:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x160fda…
10-23 01:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	40¢	$86	0x8cf09b…
10-22 19:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	20¢	$35	0x534e29…
10-22 19:52:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x674978…
10-22 19:50:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x42312c…
10-22 18:50:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x32dc1d…
10-22 18:29:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x82b364…
10-22 18:26:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x91b679…
10-22 18:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	55¢	$46	0x559e78…
10-22 18:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xd9f380…
10-22 18:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	18¢	$7	0x3973f9…
10-22 08:10:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	25¢	$6	0xf2c30f…
10-22 07:58:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$6	0xf3a7fd…
10-22 07:55:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	132	70¢	$92	0xeb6f0c…
10-21 06:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x0cd61e…
10-21 06:04:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0x216ec4…
10-21 05:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	82¢	$60	0x943f63…
10-07 02:06:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0xfbfbee…
10-07 01:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	484	3¢	$15	0xf61d20…
10-07 01:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0xdda237…
10-07 01:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	133	13¢	$17	0xcdcfdc…
10-07 01:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x8d58da…
10-07 01:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x120db1…
10-07 01:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x568c7c…
10-06 20:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x3d1316…
10-06 20:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	55	71¢	$39	0x2cef47…
10-06 20:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x8da786…
10-06 20:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xea2b91…
10-06 20:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x519f36…
10-06 19:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x3f6100…
10-06 19:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1ade1b…
10-06 19:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x6fe7a6…
10-06 19:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xa13468…
10-06 19:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x854e3b…