Equatorial-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$92

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

116

5,096 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.01K

$369.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$32

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-11 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

97% 62% -$11,218

Crypto

3% 30% -$328

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+34	$29	86¢	$29	+$0	11-11 17:27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	-34	-$2	4¢	$-1	+$0	11-11 18:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	-34	-$1	2¢	$-1	+$0	11-11 17:32
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	-34	-$1	2¢	$-1	+$0	11-11 17:33
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	-34	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	11-11 17:29
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	-34	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	11-11 17:30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	-34	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	11-11 17:30
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	-34	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	11-11 17:29
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	-34	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	11-11 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	62	$19.2K	9,451	12,443	-2,992	Yes	+$1,664	03-28 16:16
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	51	$11.9K	7,148	7,148	+0	Yes	+$2,394	03-31 17:30
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	126	$10.5K	13,464	2,534	+10,930	No	+$1,087	04-03 08:11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	48	$10.4K	8,038	8,038	+0	Yes	-$297	05-09 15:47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	51	$9.4K	8,312	8,312	+0	Yes	-$942	05-11 15:41
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	56	$8.0K	21,141	13,252	+7,889	No	-$858	03-31 08:25
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	51	$8.0K	2,286	8,344	-6,058	Yes	-$2,058	03-27 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	21	$7.7K	4,838	4,838	+0	Yes	+$344	04-29 18:09
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	51	$7.2K	13,732	3,775	+9,957	No	-$2,682	04-15 07:38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	12	$7.1K	5,206	5,206	+0	Yes	+$1,070	05-08 15:34
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	104	$7.0K	16,890	8,204	+8,686	No	-$464	04-24 15:47
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	55	$6.9K	7,404	8,273	-869	Yes	+$1,611	04-14 17:19
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	40	$6.6K	7,365	2,120	+5,245	No	+$184	03-23 07:58
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	48	$6.5K	9,051	6,708	+2,343	No	+$334	04-22 06:52
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	39	$5.9K	4,065	4,038	+27	Yes	-$257	04-22 15:57
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	16	$5.2K	5,993	0	+5,993	No	+$799	03-26 07:04
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	40	$5.1K	5,919	2,392	+3,527	No	-$339	04-01 15:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	22	$5.1K	2,868	2,868	+0	No	+$491	05-01 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	59	$4.9K	4,152	4,152	+0	Yes	+$429	05-01 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	11	$4.2K	2,191	2,191	+0	Yes	+$109	05-13 14:37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	65	$4.2K	9,944	9,944	+0	No	-$2,753	05-13 04:27
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	58	$4.1K	1,940	13,028	-11,088	Yes	-$9,274	04-03 15:42
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	34	$4.0K	3,844	3,806	+37	Yes	-$228	04-13 16:03
cz binance of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 0 19	22	$4.0K	2,091	2,091	+0	Yes	+$163	03-31 17:49
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	5	$4.0K	2,056	2,056	+0	Yes	+$126	03-30 17:50
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	40	$3.8K	5,596	6,851	-1,255	Yes	+$763	03-20 15:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	58	$3.6K	7,855	6,987	+868	No	-$640	05-08 07:02
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	28	$3.6K	3,208	2,339	+869	No	-$404	04-15 13:10
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	51	$3.4K	6,570	6,570	+0	No	-$3,049	05-14 19:42
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	51	$3.3K	4,509	1,496	+3,014	Yes	+$1,936	05-12 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 18:42:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xfdecbd…
11-11 18:42:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0xa3a239…
11-11 17:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x4a3772…
11-11 17:32:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x80f238…
11-11 17:30:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xb69d67…
11-11 17:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xfe9afc…
11-11 17:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x829533…
11-11 17:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x3f9297…
11-11 17:29:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x613d6c…
11-11 17:27:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x4ccc7b…
11-11 14:48:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	162	18¢	$28	0xa0f4cc…
11-11 07:54:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	158	32¢	$51	0xb5bfb5…
11-11 07:48:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd63e62…
11-11 05:35:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	42¢	$54	0x8405ed…
11-11 05:11:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0xfba075…
11-10 23:48:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$5	0xba827a…
11-10 20:54:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x52c943…
11-10 20:53:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x0a0f92…
11-10 20:53:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x59c424…
11-10 20:52:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x35e8f8…
11-10 20:17:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	13¢	$18	0xddbff0…
11-10 17:14:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	25¢	$44	0x66e696…
11-10 17:14:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x718102…
11-10 17:14:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x52f691…
11-10 15:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	40¢	$56	0x85142d…
11-09 16:03:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x602c48…
11-09 16:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0x16c35c…
11-09 16:02:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x6d4371…
11-09 15:59:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x6f2fb7…
11-09 15:52:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	36¢	$69	0x271551…
11-09 15:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	41¢	$48	0x13d5ee…
11-09 15:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	41¢	$31	0xe4d926…
11-09 15:48:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	60¢	$83	0x1ca169…
11-09 10:48:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0xe2ae41…
11-09 10:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x0ff883…
11-09 10:46:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xc53ef8…
11-09 10:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	473	15¢	$70	0xa34ab7…
11-09 10:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	12¢	$11	0xaca52c…
11-09 10:34:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	12¢	$20	0xcb7d94…
11-09 10:34:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xd36afa…
11-09 10:34:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	178	12¢	$21	0xc9ca5a…
11-09 10:33:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x4c9d10…
11-09 10:15:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	3¢	$9	0x208eac…
11-09 10:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xf6ca51…
11-09 10:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	5¢	$10	0xa6b794…
11-09 10:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xa16e3f…
11-09 10:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	5¢	$15	0x258f90…
11-09 10:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xa96f40…
11-09 10:04:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	52¢	$44	0x20dc75…
11-09 01:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x69c73d…
11-09 01:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xae264c…
11-09 01:01:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	65¢	$46	0x19f956…
11-08 23:52:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,300	0¢	$4	0x7f7822…
11-08 23:39:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xac8faa…
11-08 23:37:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	1¢	$11	0x3ec3a2…
11-08 23:37:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0x746efa…
11-08 23:33:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	28¢	$15	0xb54f8d…
11-08 21:00:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1a6ce8…
11-08 20:35:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0084d2…
11-08 20:23:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xf1d0e6…
11-08 20:23:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe384e1…
11-08 20:23:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xa7820b…
11-08 20:12:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,303	0¢	$5	0x725ee9…
11-08 19:28:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,094	0¢	$4	0x4cb52a…
11-08 17:52:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	9¢	$28	0xc28fa6…
11-08 16:40:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	1¢	$2	0x2309ef…
11-08 05:50:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x72277b…
11-08 05:50:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0xb16211…
11-08 05:49:57	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x5d3fc1…
11-08 05:49:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0x978eed…
11-08 05:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x31c1b0…
11-08 05:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xc5a506…
11-07 18:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	254	13¢	$32	0x13ab0b…
11-07 18:43:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	254	1¢	$2	0x8baf2a…
11-07 17:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	254	0¢	$0	0x24dc39…
11-07 17:55:46	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	254	0¢	$1	0xb2778e…
11-07 17:54:49	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	254	1¢	$3	0x40c36c…
11-07 17:54:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	254	3¢	$7	0xef7c9b…
11-07 17:37:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	54	64¢	$35	0x1d62ec…
11-07 17:32:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x8cc51e…
11-07 17:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x07eceb…
11-07 17:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x1a72b1…
11-07 17:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd1a7d3…
11-07 17:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0x91e3ec…
11-07 17:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x0e92e0…
11-07 17:27:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xe83128…
11-07 17:17:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	41	60¢	$24	0xaebb9d…
11-07 17:14:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xee9b28…
11-07 16:09:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	99¢	$163	0xb4d9c4…
11-07 07:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	80¢	$132	0xbf6bb2…
11-07 06:36:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0xec39f0…
11-07 06:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	84¢	$68	0xfe0137…
11-07 06:33:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x64a4fe…
11-07 06:31:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4a1783…
11-07 06:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x257ed6…
11-07 06:14:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	15¢	$26	0x747cea…
11-07 06:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x239390…
11-07 06:11:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x790c21…
11-07 06:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	12¢	$7	0xce8e9a…
11-06 23:50:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	12¢	$24	0xb3ed46…