Realized P&L
-$1.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
2,526
Trades
14,403
lifetime
Volume
$127.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$107
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 23:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 292 days
Categories
Other
89% 26% +$349
Crypto
6% 32% -$1,099
Sports
4% 15% -$1,087
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Politics
0% 53% +$147
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026? Yes +150 $20 25¢ $37 +$17 11-10 17:19
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +100 $18 26¢ $26 +$8 11-10 22:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $8 12¢ $12 +$4 11-04 11:10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +50 $9 20¢ $10 +$1 11-09 22:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +100 $9 10¢ $10 +$1 11-10 20:30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +50 $4 12¢ $6 +$1 11-10 18:01
Will Wales win on 2026-11-14? Yes +50 $4 8¢ $4 $0 11-10 23:33
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? No +10 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 11-10 21:42
Will Latvia win on 2026-11-12? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 +$0 11-10 22:12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? No +10 -$6 6¢ $1 +$7 11-10 21:19