Deafening-Shortage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

942

lifetime

Volume

$4.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-09 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$1

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	05-30 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$350	200	200	+0	open	—	03-16 14:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	03-19 15:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	47	$109	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-10 03:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	21	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 10:24
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	3	$76	75	75	+0	open	—	02-07 03:21
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 90 114	3	$59	39	37	+3	open	—	02-10 09:10
will polymarket mindshare hit 75 627 998	1	$51	0	51	-51	open	—	01-05 12:09
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$44	200	0	+200	open	—	03-21 17:09
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$26	4,260	0	+4,260	open	—	02-10 01:24
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	02-08 09:52
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 30corhigher	3	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	03-24 22:39
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 20c	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-22 01:54
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	4	$19	19	11	+8	open	—	03-07 09:41
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	3	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 10:28
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	4	$18	15	12	+3	open	—	02-28 08:18
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 19c	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	03-24 22:40
highest temperature in shanghai on march 15 2026 13c	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-14 20:37
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 140 164	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 14:39
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	02-10 09:11
highest temperature in taipei on march 28 2026 21c	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 26?	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 02:10
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-22 01:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 29c	4	$14	13	10	+3	open	—	03-22 04:09
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 90 114	3	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-08 09:07
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 29c	4	$13	12	7	+5	open	—	03-24 12:00
highest temperature in hong kong on march 25 2026 26c	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-24 12:55
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	5	$11	21	31	-10	open	—	02-08 09:52
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-03 21:33
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-21 02:40
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 165 189	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-18 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:07:01	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xa9786c…
06-09 09:54:16	nvda up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbb6a26…
06-09 09:53:40	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x641e97…
06-09 09:52:52	ng up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x25d608…
06-08 10:24:01	xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x57c29e…
06-08 10:23:45	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x521c06…
06-08 10:23:30	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xacdfe2…
05-30 22:34:23	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa64faf…
05-30 22:34:22	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xac956e…
05-30 21:57:58	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4f5e95…
05-30 21:56:53	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xfbc2b2…
05-30 21:56:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc0e19c…
05-30 14:55:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xbbece0…
05-30 14:55:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x60a1e8…
05-30 14:52:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcbd500…
05-30 14:47:59	Kosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard	Martin Krumich	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x76128a…
05-30 14:47:49	Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xff0d09…
05-30 14:47:17	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4d77f0…
05-30 14:39:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdf5155…
05-30 14:39:05	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xf08172…
05-27 14:24:52	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc1db5d…
05-27 14:23:09	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf073ea…
05-27 14:22:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 27?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x13a959…
05-27 14:22:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4b96d2…
05-27 14:21:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1d2351…
05-10 21:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd883c9…
05-10 21:42:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf58e05…
05-10 21:40:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x0c5157…
05-09 22:08:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0x47d48e…
05-04 21:55:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x406095…
04-26 02:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x90048a…
04-26 02:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xed04af…
04-26 02:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc1f581…
04-26 02:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2d80d3…
04-26 02:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7c868d…
04-26 02:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8f78f7…
04-26 02:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2e35d6…
04-26 02:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4e62c4…
04-26 02:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbb8d54…
04-26 02:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7e1dba…
04-26 02:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7963af…
04-26 02:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3c7341…
04-26 02:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x59f88e…
04-26 02:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb03874…
04-26 02:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1cf173…
04-26 02:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb11929…
04-26 02:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x52cfaa…
04-26 02:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x147afa…
04-26 02:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8d3c5f…
04-26 02:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xc0638e…
04-26 02:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8ebaf5…
04-26 02:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x16fb59…
04-26 02:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x621eb4…
04-26 02:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x76138e…
04-26 02:11:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe43c0d…
04-26 02:11:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x871d9f…
04-26 02:11:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xc04332…
04-26 02:11:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe1273e…
04-26 02:11:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xb47ba7…
04-26 02:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 26?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa2defd…
04-26 02:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1dead8…
04-26 02:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 26?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x31eaaa…
04-25 03:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0ddc26…
04-25 03:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x87163d…
04-25 03:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcef959…
04-25 03:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7edd0e…
04-25 03:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x105021…
04-25 03:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd91a97…
04-25 03:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5a26f6…
04-25 03:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x71b1e2…
04-24 02:45:14	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4ff8ff…
04-24 02:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x039366…
04-24 02:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2ba216…
04-24 02:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8d09e4…
04-24 02:43:54	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 21c	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9057b8…
04-24 02:43:44	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 20c	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x39f742…
04-24 02:43:22	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xffad6e…
04-24 02:42:58	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0dc2d1…
04-24 02:42:50	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3625fa…
04-24 02:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xfa9a09…
04-24 02:42:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x3de5ee…
04-24 02:42:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x57e7d2…
04-24 02:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf250e8…
04-24 02:41:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa096e5…
04-24 02:40:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe62d44…
04-24 02:40:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xb43601…
04-22 22:31:56	highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcd4447…
04-22 22:31:44	highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x559c26…
04-22 22:31:32	highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x75eac8…
04-22 22:31:00	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9a22fa…
04-22 22:30:52	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 25c	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xad2662…
04-22 22:30:42	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 21c	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x151b84…
04-22 22:30:28	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xab6c48…
04-22 22:30:16	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x155db2…
04-22 22:30:06	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd3ece9…
04-22 22:29:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2dde0d…
04-22 22:29:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x525692…
04-22 22:29:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xce0b48…
04-22 22:29:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x309301…
04-22 22:28:30	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4e0058…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	556	$741.6K	57,474	06-10 02:11
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	543	$528.3K	92,421	04-24 04:18
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	537	$724.6K	65,959	06-01 04:20
(anonymous) 0x0061…8fd6	537	$650	1,747	04-26 15:48
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	505	$384.0K	32,246	05-23 16:44
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	503	$882	1,408	06-01 19:41
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	490	$103.9K	15,685	04-27 18:56
Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50	489	$122.4K	12,855	04-27 21:57