Deafening-Shortage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

987

lifetime

Volume

$4.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-16 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

87% 100% +$1

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$350	200	200	+0	open	—	03-16 14:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	03-19 15:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	47	$109	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-10 03:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	21	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 10:24
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	3	$76	75	75	+0	open	—	02-07 03:21
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 90 114	3	$59	39	37	+3	open	—	02-10 09:10
will polymarket mindshare hit 75 627 998	1	$51	0	51	-51	open	—	01-05 12:09
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$44	200	0	+200	open	—	03-21 17:09
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$26	4,260	0	+4,260	open	—	02-10 01:24
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	02-08 09:52
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 30corhigher	3	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	03-24 22:39
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 20c	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-22 01:54
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	4	$19	19	11	+8	open	—	03-07 09:41
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	3	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 10:28
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	4	$18	15	12	+3	open	—	02-28 08:18
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 19c	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	03-24 22:40
highest temperature in shanghai on march 15 2026 13c	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-14 20:37
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 140 164	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 14:39
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	02-10 09:11
highest temperature in taipei on march 28 2026 21c	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 26?	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 02:10
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-22 01:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 29c	4	$14	13	10	+3	open	—	03-22 04:09
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 90 114	3	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-08 09:07
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 29c	4	$13	12	7	+5	open	—	03-24 12:00
highest temperature in hong kong on march 25 2026 26c	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-24 12:55
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	5	$11	21	31	-10	open	—	02-08 09:52
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-03 21:33
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-21 02:40
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 165 189	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-18 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 14:26:50	googl up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc27be1…
07-16 14:26:34	rut up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xce7bff…
07-16 14:26:10	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfcd46a…
07-16 14:25:38	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6ae863…
07-16 14:25:22	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xad3b7c…
07-15 21:13:22	xauusd up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbfec91…
07-15 21:12:44	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc25ada…
07-15 21:05:32	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x8838c5…
07-15 13:20:38	xauusd up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x331ace…
07-15 13:20:19	xauusd up or down on july 15 2026	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x96fcc3…
07-15 13:19:26	googl up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd315bd…
07-15 08:36:52	aapl up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x119ee6…
07-15 08:35:29	xagusd up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3c42ba…
07-15 08:35:10	xauusd up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8564d7…
07-15 08:34:49	spy up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb95bb5…
07-07 21:54:58	xauusd up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6d8f9d…
07-07 21:54:14	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfb0230…
07-07 21:54:02	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfc2b8e…
07-05 20:43:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x83c936…
07-05 20:43:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3a8657…
07-05 20:40:10	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x628904…
07-05 20:39:47	will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbb3fd5…
07-05 20:38:34	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfe2142…
07-05 20:38:25	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6ba91a…
07-05 20:38:17	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x523b20…
07-05 20:38:08	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc38582…
07-05 20:37:59	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc458a4…
07-05 20:37:52	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0f9d0e…
07-05 20:37:44	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5d6f64…
07-05 20:37:37	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x73b14b…
07-05 20:37:29	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x78dff6…
07-05 20:37:22	Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc3fcf4…
07-05 20:37:16	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x782379…
07-05 20:37:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x385182…
07-05 20:36:58	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa66393…
07-05 20:36:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1daf6f…
07-05 20:35:08	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd30a49…
06-22 09:53:10	ng up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xbfd172…
06-22 03:35:37	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x732649…
06-22 02:47:05	meta up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3aa34f…
06-22 02:46:23	xauusd up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa55250…
06-12 10:25:34	amzn up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xbb9cf4…
06-12 10:10:27	nvda up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe7df9f…
06-12 03:26:13	xauusd up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x46f43b…
06-12 03:25:52	spy up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x24017a…
06-09 10:07:01	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xa9786c…
06-09 09:54:16	nvda up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbb6a26…
06-09 09:53:40	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x641e97…
06-09 09:52:52	ng up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x25d608…
06-08 10:24:01	xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x57c29e…
06-08 10:23:45	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x521c06…
06-08 10:23:30	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xacdfe2…
05-30 22:34:23	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa64faf…
05-30 22:34:22	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xac956e…
05-30 21:57:58	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4f5e95…
05-30 21:56:53	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xfbc2b2…
05-30 21:56:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc0e19c…
05-30 14:55:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xbbece0…
05-30 14:55:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x60a1e8…
05-30 14:52:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcbd500…
05-30 14:47:59	Kosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard	Martin Krumich	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x76128a…
05-30 14:47:49	Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xff0d09…
05-30 14:47:17	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4d77f0…
05-30 14:39:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdf5155…
05-30 14:39:05	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xf08172…
05-27 14:24:52	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc1db5d…
05-27 14:23:09	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf073ea…
05-27 14:22:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 27?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x13a959…
05-27 14:22:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4b96d2…
05-27 14:21:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1d2351…
05-10 21:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd883c9…
05-10 21:42:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf58e05…
05-10 21:40:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x0c5157…
05-09 22:08:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0x47d48e…
05-04 21:55:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x406095…
04-26 02:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x90048a…
04-26 02:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xed04af…
04-26 02:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc1f581…
04-26 02:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2d80d3…
04-26 02:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7c868d…
04-26 02:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8f78f7…
04-26 02:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2e35d6…
04-26 02:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4e62c4…
04-26 02:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbb8d54…
04-26 02:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7e1dba…
04-26 02:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7963af…
04-26 02:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3c7341…
04-26 02:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x59f88e…
04-26 02:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb03874…
04-26 02:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1cf173…
04-26 02:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb11929…
04-26 02:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x52cfaa…
04-26 02:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x147afa…
04-26 02:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8d3c5f…
04-26 02:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xc0638e…
04-26 02:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8ebaf5…
04-26 02:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x16fb59…
04-26 02:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x621eb4…
04-26 02:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x76138e…
04-26 02:11:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe43c0d…