Rude-Audit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$476

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-27 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

81% 28% -$31

Crypto

18% 23% -$36

Politics

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes		+14	$0	38¢	$5	+$6	10-26 23:43
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes		+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	10-23 01:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	2	$43	28	28	+0	Yes	+$12	03-13 16:21
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	4	$32	168	97	+71	No	-$8	03-13 22:17
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	4	$30	144	84	+60	No	-$10	03-13 22:15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	4	$29	39	39	+0	Yes	+$18	05-06 15:35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$29	52	52	+0	No	-$4	05-07 03:13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$22	33	33	+0	No	+$3	05-10 04:04
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	4	$15	75	33	+42	No	-$10	03-13 12:25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	3	$13	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	05-09 02:33
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 84 85f	2	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	03-12 22:41
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$12	26	26	+0	No	+$2	05-09 04:43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$12	30	16	+14	open	—	10-26 23:43
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	3	$10	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 09:07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$10	34	34	+0	No	-$1	10-24 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$10	45	45	+0	No	-$3	05-08 14:55
highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 64forhigher	5	$10	2,296	0	+2,296	Yes	-$10	03-12 06:27
highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 38 39f	3	$9	75	0	+75	No	-$9	03-13 22:17
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	3	$9	164	64	+99	No	+$6	03-12 05:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	2	$9	60	30	+30	Yes	+$1	05-04 12:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on May 10?	2	$8	422	422	+0	No	-$1	05-09 04:39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	10-26 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	2	$6	17	17	+0	No	+$1	10-25 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$6	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 06:52
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 90 114	2	$6	19	19	+0	No	+$3	03-11 11:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$6	51	0	+51	Up	-$6	05-09 07:22
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$5	93	93	+0	No	$0	05-06 20:11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	10-27 01:58
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	10-27 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	-$5	05-07 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 19:26
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	5	$4	189	189	+0	No	+$0	03-12 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:58:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x65518a…
10-27 01:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xbd974a…
10-26 23:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0xf2cbb9…
10-26 15:51:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xca89e0…
10-26 15:50:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x673bf7…
10-26 03:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x5d2b9c…
10-25 13:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x36f4cf…
10-24 13:48:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x4f1ce1…
10-24 13:47:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xea4eed…
10-24 13:40:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0xdd83e2…
10-23 23:09:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe7c858…
10-23 22:54:32	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xbb5e0d…
10-23 13:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xf88158…
10-23 05:36:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x3445a3…
10-23 05:26:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xc7e008…
10-23 03:08:32	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xc4c441…
10-23 01:39:12	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x54eb3f…
10-23 01:38:38	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x303dda…
05-10 04:17:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x8bc0a4…
05-10 04:12:29	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xe8ea97…
05-10 04:11:13	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x18d992…
05-10 04:05:13	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf3b3aa…
05-10 04:04:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0xc6e979…
05-09 09:21:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xa3696e…
05-09 09:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb94e8a…
05-09 09:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xa4c963…
05-09 09:07:48	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x7c04e5…
05-09 09:07:24	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x466867…
05-09 09:06:57	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xc6b8bc…
05-09 07:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6a55aa…
05-09 07:16:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd22104…
05-09 07:12:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8d6d34…
05-09 07:10:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x656502…
05-09 06:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xdd3da5…
05-09 06:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x01bae9…
05-09 06:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x78db97…
05-09 06:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xd638b8…
05-09 06:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xbe3025…
05-09 06:39:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x66d6ff…
05-09 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x1cea2d…
05-09 06:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe15725…
05-09 06:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb76445…
05-09 06:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xe78fda…
05-09 06:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x456e93…
05-09 06:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4de33c…
05-09 04:43:35	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0xa3fc47…
05-09 04:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x556dde…
05-09 04:39:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 10?	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0xbecf32…
05-09 04:39:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on May 10?	Yes	SELL	422	1¢	$3	0xe240ee…
05-09 03:43:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	72	2¢	$2	0x250fd9…
05-09 03:40:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	175	1¢	$2	0x43e2a9…
05-09 03:39:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on May 10?	Yes	BUY	422	1¢	$5	0x21a7ad…
05-09 02:41:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$2	0x3825e0…
05-09 02:33:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xba1005…
05-08 21:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$9	0x8bb706…
05-08 21:09:59	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe25e34…
05-08 17:23:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x68e4c7…
05-08 14:57:25	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$1	0x0c0e8a…
05-08 14:55:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	8¢	$4	0xaf38a1…
05-08 14:54:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0xbb4666…
05-07 23:49:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0x3bcd7d…
05-07 23:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x700033…
05-07 03:13:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	23¢	$12	0x5eea46…
05-06 23:57:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0x1709df…
05-06 20:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	3¢	$3	0xa85beb…
05-06 20:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0xf30b2c…
05-06 19:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x099550…
05-06 19:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x290a67…
05-06 19:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xa3c1c6…
05-06 19:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x38acb9…
05-06 19:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x74cc02…
05-06 15:35:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x14632f…
05-06 14:11:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x0b43be…
05-06 08:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xedfc27…
05-06 08:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x43347d…
05-06 08:10:58	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x1c9ca7…
05-05 19:14:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	15¢	$6	0xdc42ef…
05-04 16:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0xb55fa3…
05-04 12:02:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x3394db…
05-04 12:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	No	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x0c5b0e…
05-04 06:53:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0x5a4b29…
05-04 06:42:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x7a252c…
03-13 22:17:43	highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 38 39f	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x27bd63…
03-13 22:17:13	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x3acc12…
03-13 22:15:59	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0xa067a2…
03-13 18:20:05	highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 38 39f	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x95ca68…
03-13 18:06:45	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x7aaa4e…
03-13 18:06:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xfe4929…
03-13 16:33:25	highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 38 39f	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xd8f562…
03-13 16:21:37	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0xd5b26d…
03-13 12:25:09	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x1ef669…
03-13 06:59:45	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xd27e13…
03-13 06:57:39	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	Yes	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0xf646b9…
03-13 06:56:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	Yes	SELL	91	12¢	$11	0x2bba84…
03-13 04:08:17	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on march 13 2026 577	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x366d7e…
03-13 04:08:11	will trumps approval rating be between 42pt5 and 42pt9 on march 13 2026 823	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x39fac1…
03-13 04:08:01	will trumps approval rating be between 42pt0 and 42pt4 on march 13 2026 138	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xfd68de…
03-13 04:07:35	will trumps approval rating be between 41pt5 and 41pt9 on march 13 2026 792	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xadb0a1…
03-13 03:57:45	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	Yes	SELL	78	12¢	$9	0x836d86…
03-13 01:57:45	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x9c0529…