Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?
open
Total volume
$3,311
$31,314 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$23,197
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-09 15:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+96.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $20
vs crowd: 3% YES on $3.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $2 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $103 | $629 | $527 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $13 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| Median | 10 | $1 | $378 | $377 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $202 | $202 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| unranked | 5 | $65 | — | +$65 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x780a…2d1d | No | +2,521 | $2,500 | $2,500 | 1 | 05-09 02:25 |
| Flowery-Hug 0x0425…3c26 | Yes | +2,164 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 05-09 00:35 |
| Big-Shaw 0xc8d2…2381 | Yes | +1,597 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-09 09:35 |
| Monstrous-Cenotaph 0xd552…5ebe | Yes | +1,407 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 17:27 |
| Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | +338 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 00:23 |
| Lawful-Harald 0xf0f1…6077 | Yes | +170 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 01:20 |
| Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Instructive-Cereal 0x122f…9a1f | No | +109 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 05-09 09:40 |
| Worrisome-Scholar 0x0fea…263b | No | +108 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 05-09 09:30 |
| Original-Odometer 0xaf25…e516 | No | +102 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 05-09 11:40 |
| Scientific-Shear 0xb2eb…6477 | Yes | +96 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 21:46 |
| Excellent-Privacy 0xc3a9…96eb | Yes | +91 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 21:11 |
| Elliptical-Practitioner 0x8253…d18a | Yes | +64 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 19:40 |
| Nutritious-Mime 0xa9a6…bda0 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-09 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xaeab…c199 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-09 03:50 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | +38 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 05-09 10:15 |
| Kindly-Sentencing 0x437b…1840 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-09 02:45 |
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-06 04:29 |
| Ready-Menu 0xe06b…8aa0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 06:54 |
| Moist-Rehospitalization 0x6c30…a7fc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 21:41 |
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 15:17 |
| Pointed-Symmetry 0xaacb…2103 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:39 |
| Animated-Aftershock 0x7f42…61e9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x93c8…d2a3 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 00:31 |
| Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 08:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 15:42:48 | Rude-Crossstitch 0x0404…4719 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xcb937a… |
| 05-09 13:48:21 | Leafy-Understatement 0x27e1…8fd2 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e6dad… |
| 05-09 12:48:09 | Animated-Aftershock 0x7f42…61e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7392c1… |
| 05-09 12:00:32 | Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x6c2d11… |
| 05-09 11:40:12 | Original-Odometer 0xaf25…e516 | No | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x934531… |
| 05-09 10:15:19 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xe27310… |
| 05-09 09:40:14 | Nutritious-Mime 0xa9a6…bda0 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x5e630b… |
| 05-09 09:40:11 | Instructive-Cereal 0x122f…9a1f | No | BUY | 109 | 99¢ | $108 | 0x292751… |
| 05-09 09:35:17 | Big-Shaw 0xc8d2…2381 | Yes | BUY | 1,254 | 1¢ | $10 | 0xb360c1… |
| 05-09 09:30:21 | Worrisome-Scholar 0x0fea…263b | No | BUY | 108 | 99¢ | $107 | 0x54b5fc… |
| 05-09 08:39:59 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa06a20… |
| 05-09 06:54:27 | Ready-Menu 0xe06b…8aa0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb8c656… |
| 05-09 05:44:36 | Big-Shaw 0xc8d2…2381 | Yes | BUY | 343 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x53d827… |
| 05-09 03:50:21 | (anonymous) 0xaeab…c199 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x1beab7… |
| 05-09 02:45:17 | Kindly-Sentencing 0x437b…1840 | No | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x1ad3a7… |
| 05-09 02:25:18 | (anonymous) 0x780a…2d1d | No | BUY | 2,521 | 99¢ | $2,500 | 0xa58820… |
| 05-09 01:20:09 | Lawful-Harald 0xf0f1…6077 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x9a1b20… |
| 05-09 00:39:38 | Pointed-Symmetry 0xaacb…2103 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1603ea… |
| 05-09 00:35:31 | Flowery-Hug 0x0425…3c26 | Yes | BUY | 2,164 | 3¢ | $56 | 0x18efc3… |
| 05-09 00:31:17 | (anonymous) 0x93c8…d2a3 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xeb88b5… |
| 05-09 00:23:18 | Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | BUY | 338 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x045ab6… |
| 05-08 22:01:42 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x5b9bcc… |
| 05-08 21:46:33 | Scientific-Shear 0xb2eb…6477 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x98583f… |
| 05-08 21:41:18 | Yummy-Kilt 0x734e…7eb5 | Yes | SELL | 143 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2b58e6… |
| 05-08 21:11:23 | Excellent-Privacy 0xc3a9…96eb | Yes | BUY | 91 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x8716fa… |
| 05-08 19:40:11 | Elliptical-Practitioner 0x8253…d18a | Yes | BUY | 64 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x38e7a5… |
| 05-08 17:27:35 | Monstrous-Cenotaph 0xd552…5ebe | Yes | BUY | 1,407 | 1¢ | $20 | 0x2099fb… |
| 05-08 04:54:36 | Whole-Donor 0x8d59…d2a9 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x460ba0… |
| 05-08 04:45:00 | Whole-Donor 0x8d59…d2a9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd86697… |
| 05-08 04:44:45 | Whole-Donor 0x8d59…d2a9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1d7d25… |
| 05-08 03:12:29 | Whole-Donor 0x8d59…d2a9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x94fddd… |
| 05-07 21:41:27 | Moist-Rehospitalization 0x6c30…a7fc | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd29b5c… |
| 05-06 15:17:10 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x8e982d… |
| 05-06 04:29:02 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | No | BUY | 12 | 58¢ | $7 | 0x8e8d64… |