Rapid-Influx — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-09 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

34% — —

Crypto

30% 50% +$28

Politics

20% — —

Sports

13% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+100	$4	6¢	$6	+$3	06-09 05:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	5	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-17 04:32
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	2	$1.3K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-23 03:36
bitcoin above 74k on march 11	5	$1.2K	595	595	+0	open	—	03-11 18:44
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-25 04:15
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	550	550	+0	open	—	03-18 16:27
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	4	$1.0K	529	529	+0	open	—	03-22 15:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	40	$950	1,205	1,205	+0	open	—	03-28 07:35
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$754	400	400	+0	open	—	06-07 05:48
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	70	$699	1,100	2,742	-1,643	open	—	04-08 18:03
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$693	360	360	+0	open	—	06-09 05:45
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$674	350	350	+0	open	—	06-08 07:53
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$586	300	300	+0	open	—	04-28 15:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	10	$565	300	300	+0	open	—	04-15 05:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	9	$549	559	479	+80	open	—	03-27 15:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	5	$500	500	5	+495	No	+$4	05-09 08:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	6	$467	236	236	+0	open	—	04-29 15:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$455	300	300	+0	open	—	03-26 16:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	5	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-11 12:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?	1	$390	395	0	+395	open	—	04-26 17:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$337	346	346	+0	open	—	03-28 03:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$312	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 12:12
will kanye release bully by march 27	10	$283	400	200	+200	open	—	03-28 04:14
will spacex file for an ipo by march 31 2026	6	$277	315	315	+0	open	—	03-26 13:54
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	2	$256	139	139	+0	open	—	03-22 15:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$209	359	359	+0	open	—	03-27 13:26
bitcoin above 82k on april 24	1	$207	210	0	+210	open	—	04-23 18:02
will the us invade iran by march 31	10	$202	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-28 11:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$182	519	519	+0	open	—	05-27 06:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$177	300	300	+0	open	—	03-27 08:12
lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	02-15 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 06:04:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5faa04…
06-09 05:50:22	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	430	6¢	$28	0xee5ce5…
06-09 05:45:58	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	68	96¢	$65	0xa1072b…
06-09 05:45:49	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	202	96¢	$195	0x5405ab…
06-09 05:45:42	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	90	96¢	$87	0xcf2488…
06-08 10:17:15	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	260	96¢	$250	0x4f3383…
06-08 10:17:01	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x069be6…
06-08 07:53:01	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	165	96¢	$158	0x5584d7…
06-08 07:52:54	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	185	96¢	$177	0xa0025b…
06-08 02:35:33	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x995070…
06-08 02:05:30	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x769ac4…
06-08 01:58:46	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbe1156…
06-08 01:53:24	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x02ab45…
06-08 01:03:01	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4bb16a…
06-07 21:08:04	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xe214d1…
06-07 16:25:24	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x98e03d…
06-07 16:25:15	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	330	6¢	$19	0x667efa…
06-07 16:21:34	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	121	97¢	$117	0x26e122…
06-07 16:21:28	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0xbe8372…
06-07 16:21:15	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	149	97¢	$144	0x7bdc90…
06-07 05:48:09	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0xe04e4f…
06-07 05:48:03	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	239	95¢	$226	0x57f6aa…
06-07 05:47:57	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	106	95¢	$101	0x3b805c…
06-06 18:02:51	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x96f4bc…
06-06 12:24:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	279	11¢	$29	0xed53eb…
06-05 05:45:03	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x25a8e7…
06-05 05:44:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	269	9¢	$25	0x7b6ae0…
06-03 19:07:16	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xcc9e84…
06-03 15:14:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2a2cab…
06-02 14:00:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0x57f671…
06-02 13:23:04	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xa385cb…
06-02 13:22:35	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	27¢	$24	0xae8906…
06-01 14:36:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	758	0¢	$1	0x767fb8…
06-01 14:00:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x10c7b9…
06-01 13:43:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xbf725e…
06-01 13:36:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x810cb7…
06-01 13:26:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0xf791f9…
06-01 12:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb73984…
05-30 04:06:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	716	0¢	$1	0x4d6fca…
05-30 04:05:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	284	0¢	$0	0x6a1313…
05-27 06:45:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0xcc4f5e…
05-25 22:38:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0xc92adf…
05-25 16:56:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	519	18¢	$93	0xda7f73…
05-22 02:32:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	949	0¢	$1	0x4437e8…
05-22 02:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	452	0¢	$0	0x46e28c…
05-22 02:32:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	355	0¢	$0	0x023f8a…
05-22 02:31:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	744	0¢	$1	0x888940…
05-21 03:18:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$1	0x286691…
05-18 09:41:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x4c4944…
05-18 09:27:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	501	0¢	$1	0xb9c7c2…
05-18 08:59:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	330	0¢	$1	0x91190f…
05-18 08:59:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	107	0¢	$0	0x6062cd…
05-18 08:35:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	1,559	0¢	$3	0x009827…
05-18 07:47:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2,166	0¢	$2	0x1f1b25…
05-18 07:45:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0xd584f2…
05-18 07:44:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	242	0¢	$0	0x73f88d…
05-17 21:01:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	595	1¢	$4	0x65e145…
05-17 20:42:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xd63de6…
05-17 20:13:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x230d15…
05-17 19:57:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x981309…
05-17 19:44:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x617da9…
05-17 19:44:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc2f286…
05-17 19:10:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xc4f150…
05-17 17:14:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xb442a0…
05-17 15:26:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	124	1¢	$1	0xc179c4…
05-17 10:46:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	327	0¢	$2	0x162b37…
05-17 10:39:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xef8b8e…
05-17 09:48:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	231	0¢	$0	0x6a0334…
05-17 09:26:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x92f25b…
05-17 09:16:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4283aa…
05-17 08:39:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1625e1…
05-17 07:48:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1,001	0¢	$1	0xd52a2d…
05-17 07:46:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb4914e…
05-17 07:36:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4536d6…
05-17 07:25:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xefe945…
05-17 07:21:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x53d872…
05-17 04:43:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$1	0xd087e0…
05-17 04:26:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x839680…
05-17 04:24:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe50f86…
05-17 04:18:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x870f5b…
05-17 03:50:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	297	0¢	$1	0x0b83af…
05-17 03:11:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3a0293…
05-17 02:41:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0x253cfe…
05-17 02:31:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x17a59a…
05-17 01:51:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf72811…
05-17 01:23:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf2532e…
05-17 00:31:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe0c8fe…
05-17 00:24:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	359	0¢	$2	0x137379…
05-17 00:08:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xcac3b0…
05-16 00:42:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x8dd166…
05-16 00:40:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	768	0¢	$1	0x96c921…
05-16 00:39:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,322	0¢	$1	0x856167…
05-14 06:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	764	0¢	$2	0xde6aef…
05-14 06:23:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2,222	0¢	$4	0x14e739…
05-14 06:23:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	1,014	0¢	$2	0x888a9f…
05-14 03:42:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xeb8b76…
05-13 07:52:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	519	1¢	$4	0xa99d14…
05-13 07:38:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	481	0¢	$2	0xc7007b…
05-13 07:15:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	247	0¢	$1	0xa4f310…
05-13 07:04:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	156	0¢	$1	0xa9842c…