Mediocre-Spice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.33K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

304

Trades

600

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 09-16 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

91% 40% +$209

Tech

6% 50% +$1,107

Politics

2% 70% +$25

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Crypto

0% 40% -$12

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	5	$2.3K	2,002	2,002	+0	Yes	+$767	07-25 16:00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	3	$1.6K	1,464	1,464	+0	No	+$1,111	07-24 04:28
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	3	$1.3K	1,165	1,165	+0	No	-$179	07-25 13:45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	5	$1.3K	1,320	1,320	+0	Yes	+$475	07-14 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	4	$1.2K	744	744	+0	Yes	+$75	07-18 16:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$987	761	761	+0	Yes	+$470	07-22 07:44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	4	$954	828	828	+0	Yes	+$53	07-27 16:37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$824	894	894	+0	No	+$94	07-28 13:39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	2	$816	1,436	1,436	+0	No	-$584	07-25 01:38
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	8	$698	1,288	1,288	+0	No	+$163	07-07 02:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$645	703	703	+0	Yes	+$223	07-21 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$632	414	414	+0	No	-$85	07-22 06:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	3	$600	321	321	+0	Yes	+$40	06-22 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$597	429	429	+0	No	+$8	07-29 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	7	$590	1,018	1,018	+0	Yes	+$104	07-06 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	2	$506	1,543	1,543	+0	No	-$294	07-24 17:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	6	$482	1,062	1,062	+0	Yes	-$111	07-17 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	3	$446	783	783	+0	No	-$24	07-17 07:21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$426	759	759	+0	No	-$114	07-23 15:57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	2	$402	430	430	+0	Yes	-$84	07-08 00:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	6	$390	542	542	+0	Yes	+$136	07-03 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$390	392	392	+0	Yes	+$190	07-29 14:40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	2	$374	349	349	+0	Yes	+$94	07-04 20:39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	6	$357	414	414	+0	No	-$73	06-30 15:23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$346	757	757	+0	No	-$204	07-24 04:02
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	5	$323	1,159	1,159	+0	No	-$174	07-16 13:46
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	3	$321	178	178	+0	Yes	+$31	06-23 16:28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	1	$310	536	0	+536	Yes	+$226	07-10 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	4	$306	230	230	+0	Yes	+$76	06-30 16:02
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	3	$257	385	328	+57	No	-$21	07-15 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 17:49:49	dota2 ic ur 2026 09 16	Inner Circle	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x599c64…
09-16 17:31:07	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0xacf785…
09-16 17:30:58	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x18ff4d…
09-16 17:30:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xf6c625…
09-15 15:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xdf3be7…
09-15 15:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb844c5…
09-15 11:31:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xa1669f…
07-31 16:34:27	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	78¢	$98	0xc99b26…
07-31 16:32:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x38040d…
07-31 04:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	67¢	$66	0x6b16ee…
07-31 04:06:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	419	15¢	$61	0x6598bc…
07-30 08:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	395	2¢	$8	0x5a82d8…
07-29 23:02:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	25¢	$101	0x4bd12e…
07-29 23:02:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	419	45¢	$190	0x19daeb…
07-29 14:40:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	392	74¢	$290	0xe1b13f…
07-29 14:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	392	25¢	$100	0xe45052…
07-29 14:18:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	429	71¢	$303	0x7c7abd…
07-28 13:44:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	69¢	$295	0xf6bdc6…
07-28 13:39:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	894	51¢	$459	0xdbe87e…
07-27 16:38:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	894	41¢	$365	0x1810f3…
07-27 16:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	378	100¢	$377	0x489a42…
07-27 07:48:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	378	68¢	$255	0x9a0adb…
07-27 07:48:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	427	33¢	$140	0x1fa366…
07-26 08:38:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	28¢	$126	0x7f9a60…
07-25 16:09:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	427	22¢	$96	0xd392c9…
07-25 16:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	43¢	$195	0xdf274f…
07-25 16:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	983	100¢	$982	0x5f2594…
07-25 13:46:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	983	55¢	$539	0x5dfc17…
07-25 13:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,165	49¢	$566	0x11b3fc…
07-25 04:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	944	63¢	$599	0xcf3fdc…
07-25 04:30:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	66¢	$146	0xfa66b5…
07-25 04:24:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x48551d…
07-25 04:24:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,019	55¢	$556	0x3ee931…
07-25 01:38:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,436	8¢	$116	0x4a3a9d…
07-24 17:51:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,543	7¢	$106	0x2ab98e…
07-24 04:40:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,019	23¢	$232	0xa271b9…
07-24 04:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,543	26¢	$400	0x9a1aef…
07-24 04:29:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,436	49¢	$700	0xee4eb1…
07-24 04:28:52	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	SELL	1,464	94¢	$1,379	0x2da40f…
07-24 04:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	757	9¢	$71	0x408b38…
07-23 15:57:27	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	BUY	754	19¢	$145	0xdffc0b…
07-23 15:57:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	759	21¢	$156	0x9a4026…
07-23 15:49:58	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	BUY	710	17¢	$124	0x76819d…
07-23 15:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	17¢	$134	0x9c3a75…
07-23 15:35:25	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x8c4ba8…
07-22 07:52:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	15¢	$120	0xdb2ebd…
07-22 07:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	757	36¢	$275	0xc19b13…
07-22 07:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	759	36¢	$270	0x258913…
07-22 07:44:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	761	96¢	$729	0x144df0…
07-22 06:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	761	34¢	$259	0xb030ba…
07-22 06:02:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	414	66¢	$273	0xacc304…
07-22 03:43:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	414	87¢	$359	0xd1d942…
07-21 16:12:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	361	100¢	$360	0x200436…
07-21 12:13:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	361	30¢	$108	0xaa196c…
07-21 12:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	68¢	$42	0x24845b…
07-21 07:31:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	343	22¢	$74	0x5b07e2…
07-20 06:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	30¢	$103	0x9e8cd3…
07-20 06:09:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	51¢	$208	0x109d14…
07-18 16:54:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	320	100¢	$320	0x38478b…
07-17 19:44:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	308	17¢	$53	0x731de6…
07-17 19:44:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	76¢	$243	0xce9d09…
07-17 18:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	424	72¢	$306	0xb4d3b6…
07-17 15:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	424	73¢	$308	0x5933f7…
07-17 15:44:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	15¢	$27	0xf6bd10…
07-17 15:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	390	22¢	$85	0x5ef839…
07-17 07:21:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	783	27¢	$211	0x002910…
07-16 13:46:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	436	0¢	$2	0xffd7af…
07-15 22:06:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	436	13¢	$58	0xac3be7…
07-15 15:35:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	32¢	$67	0xbe59b0…
07-15 15:34:41	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	723	10¢	$72	0xf53e0f…
07-15 15:33:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	32¢	$114	0x5799f1…
07-15 12:17:32	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	718	7¢	$50	0xe9abdd…
07-15 07:04:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	494	15¢	$74	0x073f85…
07-15 06:58:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0x7e6ff7…
07-15 06:57:59	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x207ef3…
07-14 19:56:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	30¢	$90	0x6ade2c…
07-14 19:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	233	30¢	$70	0xc400c9…
07-14 19:54:34	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	9¢	$20	0x0be307…
07-14 19:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,647	1¢	$10	0x3e35f3…
07-14 16:21:53	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	494	23¢	$115	0x3722e8…
07-14 16:21:26	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	25¢	$120	0xce153c…
07-14 16:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	501	6¢	$30	0x52a88e…
07-14 16:20:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	483	30¢	$145	0x7a8e74…
07-14 15:52:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	883	97¢	$859	0xa9e4ca…
07-14 14:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	404	88¢	$355	0x538e15…
07-14 14:09:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	453	12¢	$53	0x5f90fa…
07-13 21:14:44	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	328	36¢	$118	0x2bcb80…
07-13 21:14:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	332	31¢	$102	0x033db6…
07-13 20:26:28	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	328	36¢	$119	0x10ff88…
07-13 20:26:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	332	31¢	$103	0x9d726d…
07-13 12:10:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	448	12¢	$55	0x8ce620…
07-13 07:42:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	0¢	$1	0xf8b9b2…
07-13 07:42:14	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	264	22¢	$57	0x0b9a58…
07-13 07:42:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	260	21¢	$54	0x676537…
07-13 07:42:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	260	18¢	$46	0xac30fa…
07-13 07:20:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	260	18¢	$46	0x670e7a…
07-13 07:19:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	260	21¢	$54	0x660581…
07-13 07:19:50	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	264	22¢	$57	0x9b79bf…
07-12 15:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	454	8¢	$37	0x932654…
07-12 12:25:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	2¢	$8	0x77c428…