Mediocre-Spice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$382

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-18 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Politics

29% 0% $-2

Crypto

14% 33% $-5

Tech

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	04-23 07:21
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	04-24 15:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 02:55
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 22:53
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-13 11:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 21:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-12 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 21:22
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-24 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 21:22
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 21:01
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 02:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$11	0	14	-14	No	$-2	04-28 19:32
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-27 04:45
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-28 05:00
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-24 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-12 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$7	9	5	+4	open	—	05-14 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$6	16	10	+6	open	—	05-14 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$5	38	4	+33	open	—	05-14 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-12 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	05-14 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	05-14 20:34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	2	$3	11	10	+0	open	—	04-24 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-14 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-12 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1533fc…
05-18 14:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd30827…
05-18 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe4d438…
05-18 13:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6d262c…
05-18 13:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5590bb…
05-14 21:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x331f7a…
05-14 21:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x67d14d…
05-14 21:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xff3527…
05-14 21:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaf1b01…
05-14 21:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x062304…
05-14 21:01:04	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x06a826…
05-14 21:00:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x37b530…
05-14 20:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4d2ef3…
05-14 20:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x83ae14…
05-14 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc6a3a3…
05-14 20:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe4bd33…
05-14 20:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x99a8b1…
05-14 20:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x9df97d…
05-14 20:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3d523b…
05-14 20:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x576bf0…
05-14 20:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa719fe…
05-14 20:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7746ef…
05-14 20:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x823afc…
05-14 20:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x4e31ac…
05-14 20:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x92dae0…
05-14 20:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x247220…
05-14 20:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdbb61f…
05-14 20:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf6b46b…
05-14 20:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7502f3…
05-14 20:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x886607…
05-14 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0ee811…
05-13 11:56:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfb3515…
05-13 11:55:38	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x961545…
05-13 11:54:58	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbcb6e8…
05-12 19:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbd3841…
05-12 18:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4b8f56…
05-12 18:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb15056…
05-12 18:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x193cdf…
05-12 15:39:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x4002e2…
05-12 10:07:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x46ed7a…
05-12 10:05:50	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb8e2cd…
04-29 22:53:00	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x38a6dd…
04-28 20:10:12	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc52219…
04-28 19:32:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xb1e6ad…
04-28 05:00:58	Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x8a7e8b…
04-27 04:45:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x422006…
04-24 23:43:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xa838ef…
04-24 21:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x39ff97…
04-24 21:22:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x403012…
04-24 21:16:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x147225…
04-24 21:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0ae37b…
04-24 21:09:26	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3aa97b…
04-24 20:57:20	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x9bf886…
04-24 15:49:16	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x7e8938…
04-24 15:49:14	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	26	86¢	$23	0x62ecbe…
04-24 03:25:50	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x7a779d…
04-24 02:57:26	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x80cf23…
04-24 02:55:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0x8d90e7…
04-23 09:05:22	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x8e0b25…
04-23 09:03:22	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x753902…
04-23 09:01:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x87b65c…
04-23 07:21:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x62dc59…
04-12 09:59:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	27	79¢	$21	0xcc8b2b…