Brief-Brain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$289

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

466

Trades

1,757

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$93

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-09 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

79% 34% -$446

Politics

19% 31% +$192

Crypto

2% 40% -$6

Sports

0% 31% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$14	20¢	$20	+$6	11-06 20:10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$15	18¢	$18	+$4	11-08 12:27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$12	14¢	$14	+$2	11-09 11:17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$11	14¢	$14	+$2	11-07 18:40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$7	8¢	$8	+$1	11-07 18:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$4	7¢	$7	+$3	11-08 22:18
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$3	6¢	$6	+$2	11-08 09:18
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$2	3¢	$3	+$1	11-08 09:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$6	3¢	$3	-$3	11-07 09:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$4	1¢	$1	-$3	11-07 09:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-07 09:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+100	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-08 05:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$619	317	317	+0	No	+$3	05-15 17:31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	11	$474	319	319	+0	Yes	+$5	05-15 06:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$426	460	560	-100	Yes	+$48	02-28 17:51
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	4	$395	222	222	+0	Yes	-$7	06-06 09:31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	41	$384	926	919	+7	No	-$1	05-22 13:27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$374	200	200	+0	Yes	-$20	05-19 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	29	$362	776	776	+0	No	+$8	05-20 14:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	23	$338	389	389	+0	Yes	+$12	06-12 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	15	$335	205	195	+10	No	+$3	07-10 11:31
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$312	240	240	+0	No	-$22	07-21 14:40
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	8	$302	230	200	+30	No	-$8	07-07 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	5	$290	156	156	+0	Yes	+$4	06-17 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	13	$280	385	385	+0	No	+$7	06-23 07:02
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$275	280	280	+0	No	+$49	03-27 12:17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$267	213	213	+0	Yes	+$127	02-28 19:52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	24	$257	489	489	+0	Yes	+$12	05-22 14:43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	30	$256	846	846	+0	No	+$2	05-20 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	14	$250	365	365	+0	Yes	+$17	06-23 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	4	$241	239	237	+2	No	-$59	06-09 15:33
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	5	$235	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$3	05-12 10:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$234	213	213	+0	No	-$12	04-21 14:38
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$233	134	134	+0	Yes	+$7	05-12 14:27
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	9	$233	177	177	+0	No	-$26	05-19 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	38	$229	666	666	+0	No	+$5	05-21 09:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$226	150	150	+0	Yes	+$26	04-03 15:31
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	2	$218	170	170	+0	Yes	+$116	02-28 07:18
Kash Patel out by April 30?	4	$208	150	150	+0	No	+$5	04-29 08:20
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	10	$207	157	117	+40	No	-$2	06-24 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	2	$203	105	105	+0	No	+$3	06-06 03:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	2	$203	109	109	+0	Yes	+$3	06-30 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 11:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xe82695…
11-08 22:18:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x618571…
11-08 12:27:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x3d6169…
11-08 09:18:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb899bb…
11-08 09:18:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x1b1739…
11-08 05:36:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x8f16a1…
11-08 05:21:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xfdbfd6…
11-07 18:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x476bc3…
11-07 18:32:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x0b73c3…
11-07 09:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x07304c…
11-07 09:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xdeea88…
11-07 09:50:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x369bc0…
11-06 20:10:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xe1c7e4…
11-06 16:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xc94873…
11-06 16:06:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0x1fef43…
11-06 15:51:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x45760d…
11-06 14:44:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	93¢	$79	0xe658c8…
11-06 10:59:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x277632…
11-06 10:54:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x277cf0…
11-06 09:27:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	1¢	$1	0x2514f4…
11-06 09:24:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xad67b3…
11-06 09:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x7985d7…
11-06 09:20:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x1b9076…
11-06 07:48:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x63e237…
11-06 07:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x5ef399…
11-05 12:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x23be71…
11-05 12:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xcd6c3e…
11-05 12:24:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x796468…
11-05 09:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbc2e0f…
11-05 09:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x91b436…
11-05 08:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa1d32f…
11-04 12:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd8db87…
11-04 11:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5dd6ae…
11-04 10:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xb8c8d3…
11-04 09:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x227810…
11-04 09:04:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x99b7fb…
11-04 09:03:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3507ac…
11-04 09:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x6d51dc…
11-04 09:01:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x766e87…
11-04 08:59:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x7b4d49…
11-04 08:54:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x50a385…
11-04 08:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x452ef9…
11-04 08:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0xcd21c7…
11-04 08:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x78fd59…
11-04 08:49:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x787b5b…
11-04 08:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	24¢	$6	0xe027e9…
11-04 08:48:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0x5b6cac…
11-04 08:47:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x756947…
11-04 08:41:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x2c6e2c…
11-04 08:39:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x78ff4d…
11-04 08:38:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xc8a538…
11-04 08:37:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x5314d7…
11-04 08:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x04176a…
11-04 08:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xf0c18e…
11-04 08:27:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x24e1c5…
11-04 08:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6893df…
11-04 05:57:18	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd9dbb6…
11-02 15:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb2d662…
11-02 15:18:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x6c7485…
11-02 15:18:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x9c4fb3…
11-02 15:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xdaceb1…
11-02 14:08:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x463f5a…
11-02 14:07:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xf205ed…
11-02 14:07:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf9595c…
11-02 14:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x33671e…
11-02 14:06:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x0ffba8…
11-01 20:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb71e8e…
10-31 15:14:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x49b7db…
10-30 17:40:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe3dd5d…
10-30 17:39:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x246c76…
10-30 17:02:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xbbc5e2…
10-30 16:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf59721…
10-30 16:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0xcd3103…
10-30 16:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	12¢	$7	0x60c152…
10-30 15:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xd95f1e…
10-30 12:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf156d4…
10-30 11:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x9dd3d9…
10-30 11:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x6a8aa0…
10-30 11:28:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xcf43df…
10-30 11:05:28	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x4c02d7…
10-30 10:59:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xb2e1f6…
10-30 10:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x3b834a…
10-29 20:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xf6e54d…
10-29 20:34:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x0647cc…
10-29 20:34:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x696ce6…
10-29 20:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	34¢	$12	0xbf42a6…
10-29 20:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xae820c…
10-29 20:13:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xd3524e…
10-29 20:12:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x484454…
10-29 20:12:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x08314d…
10-29 20:10:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x25e905…
10-29 20:10:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x917e44…
10-29 20:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0xc2b25c…
10-29 19:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	10¢	$6	0xf03025…
10-29 19:58:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0xf06afa…
10-29 06:20:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xcb3e31…
10-29 06:20:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x27bf71…
10-29 03:13:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xc5ae4b…
10-29 03:09:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9908de…
10-28 09:25:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xc8da68…