Numb-Eligibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

450

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-01 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$88

Other

42% 0% $-21

Crypto

2% 50% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	16	$2.7K	1,497	1,497	+0	open	—	04-29 00:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,632	1,632	+0	No	+$88	04-28 12:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	17	$1.6K	3,408	3,408	+0	open	—	04-24 13:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	6	$1.3K	414	1,014	-600	open	—	04-29 18:46
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?	18	$1.0K	910	593	+317	open	—	04-24 17:44
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	23	$748	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	04-11 15:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$558	407	407	+0	open	—	04-06 06:38
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	18	$548	2,809	2,379	+430	open	—	04-22 06:38
will elon musk testify against altman	2	$516	328	323	+5	open	—	04-28 22:30
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	4	$385	306	306	+0	open	—	04-28 14:35
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	5	$371	366	366	+0	open	—	03-02 10:13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	27	$351	7,971	7,971	+0	open	—	05-03 09:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	8	$326	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-24 16:40
will the dhs shutdown last 48 days or more 945	2	$311	262	262	+0	open	—	04-01 15:42
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	4	$274	168	168	+0	open	—	04-28 10:50
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	25	$262	8,261	7,897	+363	open	—	04-22 19:29
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	7	$246	1,338	1,277	+60	open	—	04-21 02:08
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	3	$230	500	500	+0	open	—	05-03 09:04
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	12	$229	703	703	+0	Yes	$-21	04-21 22:14
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	16	$216	817	817	+0	open	—	05-03 09:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$178	1,538	1,538	+0	Yes	$-0	04-17 08:47
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	10	$167	524	524	+0	open	—	04-29 14:36
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	14	$155	932	888	+44	open	—	04-24 02:40
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	19	$154	808	808	+0	open	—	03-03 10:32
iran leadership change by march 31	18	$143	103	103	-0	open	—	03-14 05:31
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	20	$130	1,799	1,499	+300	open	—	07-01 12:14
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	2	$127	84	83	+1	open	—	04-28 20:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$122	70	70	+0	open	—	03-09 22:23
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	5	$119	158	158	+0	open	—	03-21 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$118	78	78	+0	open	—	05-03 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:14:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	180	6¢	$10	0xccce53…
07-01 12:13:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6b4396…
07-01 12:12:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0xb21bec…
07-01 12:09:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	93	4¢	$4	0xe5c5f3…
07-01 12:09:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	107	4¢	$4	0x51c339…
07-01 12:08:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0x45f54d…
07-01 12:03:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	444	1¢	$4	0x1f3cd5…
07-01 11:50:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	156	1¢	$2	0xe0bfb1…
07-01 11:47:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	287	5¢	$14	0xbdfa1e…
07-01 11:44:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb887cd…
07-01 11:44:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1170ad…
07-01 09:34:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0x543f12…
07-01 08:28:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	499	5¢	$26	0x368f8f…
07-01 08:00:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x2630ed…
07-01 07:40:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	300	4¢	$13	0x50e98f…
07-01 07:12:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	300	4¢	$11	0xa3fd12…
07-01 05:07:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	189	1¢	$3	0x7d73a3…
07-01 04:56:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x058649…
07-01 04:53:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	132	1¢	$2	0x255469…
07-01 04:51:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x75ceed…
07-01 04:49:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0x8411dd…
07-01 04:48:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	121	3¢	$4	0x9e988b…
07-01 03:45:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xed64b6…
07-01 03:38:29	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	97	57¢	$55	0x38366c…
07-01 00:22:52	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	97	61¢	$59	0x8e5431…
06-30 23:04:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x3631d1…
06-30 02:46:40	btc updown 5m 1782787500	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa22ad4…
05-05 15:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x579a86…
05-05 00:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x319f3c…
05-05 00:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xe5f21c…
05-03 17:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0x1f3874…
05-03 17:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0xd0a8a8…
05-03 17:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x4a842f…
05-03 17:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x4efb2a…
05-03 17:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x03a968…
05-03 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	78	90¢	$71	0xc3d072…
05-03 17:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	60¢	$47	0xb2fd4e…
05-03 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x9eaab3…
05-03 09:04:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	1¢	$0	0x52538c…
05-03 09:04:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	480	22¢	$106	0xc88b23…
05-03 09:04:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,133	1¢	$21	0x1bad44…
05-03 06:17:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9bbbda…
05-03 04:29:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa7d4c9…
05-03 04:18:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8f3c05…
05-03 04:06:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x85c644…
05-03 03:54:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xca24a8…
05-03 03:42:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6b801b…
05-03 03:30:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5902f1…
05-03 03:15:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xf6e293…
05-03 02:42:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x905583…
05-03 02:41:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xe9c4d2…
05-03 02:22:52	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x5da336…
05-03 02:22:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	1¢	$11	0x530cbe…
05-03 02:21:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x0af323…
05-03 02:11:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0xa541a7…
05-03 02:05:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1e03bd…
05-03 02:02:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xa8be75…
04-30 18:04:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,256	2¢	$54	0x348b96…
04-30 17:49:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	806	3¢	$23	0x472973…
04-30 17:38:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x831da9…
04-30 17:37:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x87ce70…
04-30 17:26:48	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,085	3¢	$29	0x55e1fd…
04-30 17:24:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x041556…
04-29 18:46:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xdaeee7…
04-29 14:36:26	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	254	9¢	$22	0x0d2c09…
04-29 14:28:52	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x7802bb…
04-29 14:26:10	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd99b6c…
04-29 13:26:56	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	113	13¢	$15	0x7122b3…
04-29 09:40:04	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	270	20¢	$53	0x0b531b…
04-29 07:13:22	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0x945e92…
04-29 07:12:26	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xef0314…
04-29 03:52:28	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x542da9…
04-29 03:40:00	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x8688ef…
04-29 03:38:58	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xa34b2d…
04-29 00:08:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	692	94¢	$650	0x6a04ca…
04-28 23:25:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	490	95¢	$466	0xf6dd03…
04-28 23:01:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	102	95¢	$97	0xa299ba…
04-28 22:30:22	will elon musk testify against altman	Yes	SELL	323	98¢	$316	0xf1d10c…
04-28 20:34:02	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	Yes	SELL	83	80¢	$67	0xee6995…
04-28 14:35:28	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	106	65¢	$69	0x7cb5d0…
04-28 14:35:20	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0xc26fe7…
04-28 14:29:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xf81383…
04-28 14:28:14	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	106	62¢	$66	0x161773…
04-28 14:27:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	170	89¢	$151	0xe8064a…
04-28 14:25:50	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x66d5fd…
04-28 14:12:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0x225128…
04-28 14:08:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xe08155…
04-28 14:06:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xcd3c77…
04-28 14:05:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x77c52b…
04-28 12:45:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	265	84¢	$222	0xccb78f…
04-28 12:44:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	265	84¢	$222	0xc4faf0…
04-28 12:37:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x57581d…
04-28 10:50:04	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	168	77¢	$129	0x10f6fe…
04-28 04:56:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	445	94¢	$419	0x33f438…
04-28 04:45:08	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	Yes	BUY	84	71¢	$60	0xa28266…
04-28 04:15:16	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x26abad…
04-28 03:56:54	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x44c6ff…
04-28 03:03:54	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	35	87¢	$31	0x022874…
04-28 02:29:32	will elon musk testify against altman	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x4ce39f…
04-28 02:28:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	908	91¢	$826	0xdc5977…