Numb-Eligibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

509

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-19 07:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$88

Other

43% 0% $-21

Crypto

2% 50% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	16	$2.7K	1,497	1,497	+0	open	—	04-29 00:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,632	1,632	+0	No	+$88	04-28 12:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	17	$1.6K	3,408	3,408	+0	open	—	04-24 13:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	6	$1.3K	414	1,014	-600	open	—	04-29 18:46
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?	18	$1.0K	910	593	+317	open	—	04-24 17:44
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	23	$748	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	04-11 15:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$558	407	407	+0	open	—	04-06 06:38
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	18	$548	2,809	2,379	+430	open	—	04-22 06:38
will elon musk testify against altman	2	$516	328	323	+5	open	—	04-28 22:30
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	4	$385	306	306	+0	open	—	04-28 14:35
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	5	$371	366	366	+0	open	—	03-02 10:13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	27	$351	7,971	7,971	+0	open	—	05-03 09:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	8	$326	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-24 16:40
will the dhs shutdown last 48 days or more 945	2	$311	262	262	+0	open	—	04-01 15:42
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	4	$274	168	168	+0	open	—	04-28 10:50
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	25	$262	8,261	7,897	+363	open	—	04-22 19:29
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	7	$246	1,338	1,277	+60	open	—	04-21 02:08
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	3	$230	500	500	+0	open	—	05-03 09:04
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	12	$229	703	703	+0	Yes	$-21	04-21 22:14
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	16	$216	817	817	+0	open	—	05-03 09:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$178	1,538	1,538	+0	Yes	$-0	04-17 08:47
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	10	$167	524	524	+0	open	—	04-29 14:36
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	14	$155	932	888	+44	open	—	04-24 02:40
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	19	$154	808	808	+0	open	—	03-03 10:32
iran leadership change by march 31	18	$143	103	103	-0	open	—	03-14 05:31
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	20	$130	1,799	1,499	+300	open	—	07-01 12:14
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	2	$127	84	83	+1	open	—	04-28 20:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$122	70	70	+0	open	—	03-09 22:23
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	5	$119	158	158	+0	open	—	03-21 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$118	78	78	+0	open	—	05-03 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 07:07:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	No	BUY	644	1¢	$5	0x5f1c43…
07-19 06:58:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x11298f…
07-19 03:11:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	No	BUY	55	17¢	$9	0x3e71da…
07-19 03:11:25	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	Yes	SELL	199	5¢	$10	0xb7283d…
07-19 02:46:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	No	BUY	82	17¢	$14	0x589ebf…
07-18 06:49:37	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	Yes	BUY	199	6¢	$12	0x9cde24…
07-18 06:41:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xe6a373…
07-17 23:32:36	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	No	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x9a47dc…
07-15 12:35:43	eth updown 15m 1784118600	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x23940d…
07-15 12:35:41	eth updown 15m 1784118600	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x882162…
07-14 14:33:20	trump alleges foreign election interference by july 16 20260714012947569	No	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0xf94f50…
07-14 14:27:05	trump alleges foreign election interference by july 16 20260714012947569	No	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0xcdab06…
07-14 14:20:25	will trump praise elon musk by july 31 20260626214328040	No	SELL	204	5¢	$10	0xd31d2e…
07-14 08:24:25	will trump praise elon musk by july 31 20260626214328040	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xd894b0…
07-13 23:44:55	will trump praise elon musk by july 31 20260626214328040	No	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0x515344…
07-13 23:25:34	will trump praise elon musk by july 31 20260626214328040	No	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xa21845…
07-13 13:03:22	will trump praise elon musk by july 31 20260626214328040	No	BUY	180	9¢	$17	0xb0a3ce…
07-13 11:57:46	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	120	2¢	$2	0x530169…
07-13 09:06:34	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	210	1¢	$2	0x7763cb…
07-13 08:14:04	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xbf560b…
07-13 08:13:59	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	164	11¢	$18	0x561692…
07-13 06:37:19	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0xeb41f1…
07-13 06:36:40	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	145	2¢	$3	0xdce0ca…
07-13 06:36:20	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xba35da…
07-13 06:01:32	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x66d975…
07-13 06:00:02	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	94	6¢	$6	0x938a2a…
07-13 05:58:34	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	82	9¢	$8	0x1e7b13…
07-13 05:38:20	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	168	43¢	$73	0x25a588…
07-13 03:33:34	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x13faaa…
07-13 03:32:49	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x434ddf…
07-12 23:19:58	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x3613b1…
07-12 10:49:22	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xb23673…
07-12 10:36:02	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	107	15¢	$16	0x43c3a9…
07-12 10:35:11	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	164	7¢	$12	0xe3171c…
07-11 06:35:17	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xfca459…
07-11 01:58:16	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	80	17¢	$13	0x2361be…
07-09 23:46:29	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xbd70c8…
07-09 21:18:13	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0x4d0de7…
07-08 11:06:34	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x58e43a…
07-07 17:01:23	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0xf65d50…
07-07 16:57:07	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5d4ced…
07-07 16:52:55	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	168	4¢	$7	0xc6ef19…
07-05 05:43:38	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xbce26a…
07-05 05:43:29	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	203	1¢	$2	0x8136cb…
07-05 05:43:22	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	201	2¢	$4	0xa07aa4…
07-03 00:55:56	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	203	6¢	$12	0x8a70e5…
07-03 00:55:32	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x5e673e…
07-03 00:55:20	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x24e10c…
07-03 00:55:01	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	201	4¢	$8	0xd1cf0a…
07-03 00:54:26	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x41d495…
07-03 00:54:04	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x1e139f…
07-03 00:53:52	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x244e3b…
07-03 00:47:37	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	222	4¢	$8	0x8d3333…
07-03 00:06:19	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x7e5f07…
07-02 23:46:32	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x0faa9d…
07-02 23:38:31	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x88efc3…
07-02 11:42:50	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 1 2026 20260630182730879	No	SELL	171	1¢	$2	0x062bee…
07-02 00:15:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 1 2026 20260630182730879	No	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0xcc1160…
07-02 00:10:59	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 1 2026 20260630182730879	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x5c926d…
07-01 12:14:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	180	6¢	$10	0xccce53…
07-01 12:13:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6b4396…
07-01 12:12:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0xb21bec…
07-01 12:09:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	93	4¢	$4	0xe5c5f3…
07-01 12:09:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	107	4¢	$4	0x51c339…
07-01 12:08:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0x45f54d…
07-01 12:03:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	444	1¢	$4	0x1f3cd5…
07-01 11:50:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	156	1¢	$2	0xe0bfb1…
07-01 11:47:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	287	5¢	$14	0xbdfa1e…
07-01 11:44:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb887cd…
07-01 11:44:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1170ad…
07-01 09:34:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0x543f12…
07-01 08:28:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	499	5¢	$26	0x368f8f…
07-01 08:00:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x2630ed…
07-01 07:40:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	300	4¢	$13	0x50e98f…
07-01 07:12:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	300	4¢	$11	0xa3fd12…
07-01 05:07:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	189	1¢	$3	0x7d73a3…
07-01 04:56:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x058649…
07-01 04:53:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	132	1¢	$2	0x255469…
07-01 04:51:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x75ceed…
07-01 04:49:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0x8411dd…
07-01 04:48:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	121	3¢	$4	0x9e988b…
07-01 03:45:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xed64b6…
07-01 03:38:29	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	97	57¢	$55	0x38366c…
07-01 00:22:52	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	97	61¢	$59	0x8e5431…
06-30 23:04:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x3631d1…
06-30 02:46:40	btc updown 5m 1782787500	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa22ad4…
05-05 15:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x579a86…
05-05 00:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x319f3c…
05-05 00:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xe5f21c…
05-03 17:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0x1f3874…
05-03 17:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0xd0a8a8…
05-03 17:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x4a842f…
05-03 17:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x4efb2a…
05-03 17:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x03a968…
05-03 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	78	90¢	$71	0xc3d072…
05-03 17:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	60¢	$47	0xb2fd4e…
05-03 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x9eaab3…
05-03 09:04:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	1¢	$0	0x52538c…
05-03 09:04:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	480	22¢	$106	0xc88b23…
05-03 09:04:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,133	1¢	$21	0x1bad44…