Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,779
$8,059 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$23,637
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 09:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $4.9K | $4.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $21 | $305 | $284 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $4.9K | $4.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $199 | $199 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | $107 | $106 |
| Below median | 5 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudent-Lid 0x25a7…a4c8 | No | +4,506 | $4,456 | $5,283 | 4 | 05-13 22:13 |
| Melodic-Guestbook 0x897d…7ed4 | Yes | +600 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 08:59 |
| Better-Suburb 0x9acd…a3fe | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 05-14 08:04 |
| Brown-Alpaca 0xa7e7…8756 | Yes | +175 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 05:44 |
| Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | +160 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 15:38 |
| Tragic-Talk 0xb69b…24c4 | Yes | +159 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 19:31 |
| Fatal-Airforce 0x6c81…4c46 | No | +109 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 05-12 15:08 |
| Scary-Detector 0x5b52…0e2e | Yes | +105 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 15:03 |
| Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | +80 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb207…f7a9 | Yes | +75 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:37 |
| Wordy-Belligerency 0x6b6d…a4b7 | Yes | +62 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:22 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-13 00:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 09:09:05 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab4ee5… |
| 05-14 08:04:04 | Better-Suburb 0x9acd…a3fe | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $199 | 0x362ac8… |
| 05-14 03:36:21 | Crushing-Steam 0x08e2…8ec6 | Yes | SELL | 119 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x879e88… |
| 05-13 22:13:09 | Prudent-Lid 0x25a7…a4c8 | No | SELL | 418 | 99¢ | $414 | 0x3a8f36… |
| 05-13 16:02:37 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe56c9a… |
| 05-13 09:24:31 | Crushing-Steam 0x08e2…8ec6 | Yes | SELL | 119 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5d4b3a… |
| 05-13 08:59:21 | Melodic-Guestbook 0x897d…7ed4 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xc0bb78… |
| 05-13 07:24:25 | Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb8c4ad… |
| 05-13 06:00:37 | Diligent-Website 0x68ec…7c22 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0ff0a0… |
| 05-13 00:48:43 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c13ab… |
| 05-13 00:48:39 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x513830… |
| 05-13 00:48:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x6ee335… |
| 05-12 22:05:52 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61afe3… |
| 05-12 21:17:48 | Prudent-Lid 0x25a7…a4c8 | No | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0xa9e03e… |
| 05-12 21:17:34 | Prudent-Lid 0x25a7…a4c8 | No | BUY | 4,084 | 99¢ | $4,039 | 0xa1becf… |
| 05-12 21:17:24 | Prudent-Lid 0x25a7…a4c8 | No | BUY | 750 | 99¢ | $741 | 0xe427bf… |
| 05-12 21:06:07 | Narrow-Squatter 0x7413…4b09 | Yes | SELL | 851 | 2¢ | $13 | 0x613c49… |
| 05-12 19:31:23 | Tragic-Talk 0xb69b…24c4 | Yes | BUY | 159 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xdbf455… |
| 05-12 18:37:22 | Diligent-Website 0x68ec…7c22 | Yes | SELL | 1,370 | 2¢ | $23 | 0x4640ff… |
| 05-12 17:51:32 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0b5084… |
| 05-12 17:37:20 | (anonymous) 0xb207…f7a9 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8a6359… |
| 05-12 15:38:13 | Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xae4b26… |
| 05-12 15:08:07 | Fatal-Airforce 0x6c81…4c46 | No | BUY | 109 | 98¢ | $107 | 0xd23699… |
| 05-12 15:03:11 | Scary-Detector 0x5b52…0e2e | Yes | BUY | 105 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x47941f… |
| 05-12 14:58:05 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe64c95… |
| 05-12 11:47:29 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30e00b… |
| 05-12 11:42:31 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc156ab… |
| 05-12 10:22:24 | Wordy-Belligerency 0x6b6d…a4b7 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x857ee0… |
| 05-12 09:27:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff4724… |
| 05-12 09:17:41 | Crushing-Steam 0x08e2…8ec6 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd39d1c… |
| 05-12 08:22:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb966f4… |
| 05-12 05:44:41 | Brown-Alpaca 0xa7e7…8756 | Yes | BUY | 175 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xcd5808… |