Jumpy-Miss — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.2%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$5.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-17 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Sports

35% 28% -$23

Other

31% 23% -$1

Politics

29% 0% $0

Crypto

4% 75% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$182	91	91	+0	No	$0	03-24 16:42
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$134	67	67	+0	No	$0	04-02 23:49
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$134	67	67	+0	No	$0	03-24 22:58
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$132	66	66	-0	No	$0	05-20 18:38
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	6	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	06-19 22:32
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$130	65	65	+0	No	$0	03-21 06:36
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$128	64	64	+0	No	$0	04-26 19:59
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	4	$126	63	63	+0	No	$0	03-21 20:27
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	02-13 06:55
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	02-12 15:26
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$118	59	59	+0	No	$0	02-13 01:35
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$110	55	55	+0	No	$0	04-01 08:29
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$110	55	55	+0	No	$0	02-21 03:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$108	54	54	+0	No	$0	02-14 13:34
will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	2	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	03-01 00:55
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	02-11 20:13
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	03-05 08:14
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-07 18:05
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	07-15 12:56
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	03-03 17:22
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	06-21 04:23
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	03-03 07:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$72	36	36	+0	No	$0	04-18 17:02
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	05-04 04:42
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	04-12 17:40
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	05-01 21:02
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-26 12:32
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-04 23:40
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-27 02:52
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	05-24 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 12:24:06	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dd971…
07-17 08:37:36	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb84b1…
07-17 01:38:28	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c9574…
07-17 01:38:03	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xaad63f…
07-16 17:33:10	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc4d374…
07-15 12:56:49	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8971e5…
07-15 03:59:26	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x94ad89…
07-12 19:56:40	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe327e2…
07-12 07:43:44	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6efc46…
07-11 23:36:10	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4310ee…
07-07 06:55:50	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x215624…
07-07 06:55:28	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdec070…
07-06 13:32:50	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x471521…
07-06 09:53:31	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x320b2e…
07-06 01:14:08	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9eb000…
07-05 23:46:19	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf8801d…
07-05 19:26:13	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x707ad0…
07-05 13:33:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06da81…
07-04 12:01:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2ac0f…
07-03 21:50:23	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xca1223…
07-03 15:30:01	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1441b0…
07-03 02:40:13	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcc33fc…
07-02 05:44:40	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x66175c…
07-02 05:44:20	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9e2556…
07-01 14:58:02	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf246e…
06-27 22:53:01	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xec5acc…
06-27 08:53:41	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x816ea2…
06-24 14:26:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x468ba0…
06-24 14:26:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7e70c…
06-24 14:26:02	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x634f17…
06-23 21:09:32	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcdfec2…
06-23 08:10:28	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x209550…
06-21 18:10:28	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08098c…
06-21 04:23:20	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x82a16e…
06-21 02:03:19	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a7aa5…
06-21 02:02:55	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8ad95b…
06-20 14:19:20	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc8b5c1…
06-20 14:18:55	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa7ac78…
06-19 22:33:19	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x336dd4…
06-19 22:32:56	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8bd06f…
06-04 04:30:54	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe24986…
06-04 04:30:34	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x92e642…
06-03 09:28:34	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb4d820…
06-02 11:54:17	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x23e9e6…
06-02 10:50:32	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x964055…
06-01 17:55:23	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x874e0d…
06-01 14:06:55	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0bfef0…
06-01 14:06:33	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4a008a…
06-01 04:04:55	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x378be7…
05-31 07:34:47	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfd5877…
05-31 04:02:01	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x784bd3…
05-29 23:46:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xec4aa7…
05-28 04:43:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x08e86c…
05-28 04:42:43	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5b1398…
05-27 17:39:44	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x39b12a…
05-27 02:52:53	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x9b374c…
05-27 00:06:21	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x45d09f…
05-26 12:32:52	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xdf2eff…
05-25 23:08:48	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x169b56…
05-24 15:31:09	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xeb9a00…
05-23 20:22:59	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x8b23f7…
05-23 10:51:14	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x099f91…
05-23 04:59:08	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x8682ab…
05-22 14:47:40	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xe8a426…
05-22 09:36:48	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x025ab2…
05-22 09:36:29	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xf81793…
05-21 23:14:58	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x3fe367…
05-21 13:03:44	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xc1d497…
05-20 21:13:13	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xf5f2ed…
05-20 18:38:41	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x4ebae9…
05-19 18:56:19	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2a446f…
05-18 12:22:28	Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x1c995d…
05-17 21:50:37	Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0878d3…
05-17 21:50:18	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xe58c9a…
05-17 13:45:54	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x75fdd6…
05-17 13:45:34	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x868f2c…
05-17 03:26:10	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xfc46ac…
05-15 20:31:27	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x68082d…
05-15 03:28:47	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa6b518…
05-15 03:28:26	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x43c969…
05-14 16:33:26	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x3396d6…
05-13 17:44:21	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xce5983…
05-13 07:13:29	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xea9c98…
05-13 00:12:55	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xa58108…
05-12 21:39:25	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xbe35be…
05-12 02:15:19	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xaa67a1…
05-10 17:21:23	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcdd692…
05-10 17:21:00	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x8eb186…
05-10 13:54:46	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x92831c…
05-09 23:34:33	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xae34c6…
05-09 20:49:16	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xb60b23…
05-09 02:21:55	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xa52fa9…
05-07 11:26:44	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xb04a59…
05-07 05:43:37	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x0538f4…
05-07 02:13:40	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x2fa934…
05-06 22:19:30	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x76bd8e…
05-06 05:01:58	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xa27212…
05-05 14:03:30	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x5abad0…
05-04 23:40:26	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3c84b0…
05-04 23:40:04	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x960056…