Realized P&L
+$11.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.88K
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved
57
Trades
1,012
lifetime
Volume
$251.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$248
Open exposure
$92.3K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-29 20:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Crypto
95% 41% +$11,900
Other
5% 61% -$686
Politics
0% 50% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -42,301 -$30,663 88¢ $-37013 -$6,350 08-25 09:49
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -19,551 -$15,912 92¢ $-18084 -$2,172 08-25 07:49
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -23,121 -$22,771 68¢ $-15606 +$7,164 07-05 11:47
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -14,463 -$13,021 96¢ $-13813 -$792 08-23 13:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -33,216 -$793 8¢ $-2491 -$1,698 09-03 15:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -17,040 $867 10¢ $-1619 -$2,485 10-20 15:00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10,846 -$59 12¢ $-1312 -$1,253 08-24 14:53
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -11,935 -$672 6¢ $-776 -$104 09-21 17:35
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes -6,262 -$314 7¢ $-441 -$127 10-19 08:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10,767 -$865 4¢ $-393 +$472 08-23 12:57
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes -5,612 $995 6¢ $-309 -$1,304 10-23 09:12
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -329 -$230 92¢ $-301 -$71 08-25 05:28
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes -5,901 -$138 2¢ $-106 +$32 10-08 19:01
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes -5,173 -$48 1¢ $-41 +$7 10-23 16:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $197 48¢ $0 -$197 10-29 20:34