Avaricious-Pickle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-04 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 50% +$9

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No		+21	$17	84¢	$18	+$1	06-28 22:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No		+7	$3	70¢	$5	+$2	06-26 17:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	6	$118	72	72	+0	open	—	04-28 19:23
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	1	$100	151	0	+151	open	—	03-25 18:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$99	60	60	+0	open	—	04-01 18:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$89	48	48	+0	open	—	05-07 19:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$85	55	55	+0	open	—	04-13 13:26
Will King Charles say "Independence" during the joint meeting of Congress?	2	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	04-28 19:25
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	5	$80	43	43	+0	open	—	06-30 20:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$57	126	122	+4	open	—	04-24 15:22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	2	$52	34	33	+1	open	—	04-28 16:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	3	$51	64	0	+64	open	—	04-27 16:01
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	4	$51	91	91	+0	open	—	04-29 04:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$45	63	61	+2	open	—	04-27 14:37
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$39	107	80	+27	open	—	04-06 16:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$37	37	37	+0	open	—	04-24 15:22
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	5	$36	87	87	+0	open	—	04-23 14:52
googl up or down on april 17 2026	1	$36	39	0	+39	open	—	04-17 16:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$36	53	7	+46	open	—	05-07 18:13
Will King Charles say "King" or "Kingdom" during the joint meeting of Congress?	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	04-28 19:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-22 03:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$27	0	28	-28	open	—	06-12 16:39
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$27	16	16	+0	Yes	+$4	05-08 16:05
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	4	$24	43	42	+1	open	—	04-29 14:53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	3	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 14:54
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	1	$24	32	0	+32	open	—	05-20 13:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	3	$23	25	4	+21	open	—	06-28 22:54
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	07-04 00:50
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	4	$22	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	05-08 12:18
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$22	26	0	+26	open	—	07-01 22:05
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	5	$21	24	22	+1	open	—	04-17 16:32
Will King Charles say "Queen" or "Elizabeth" during the joint meeting of Congress?	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:50:43	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc071d1…
07-04 00:50:20	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1dada2…
07-03 18:27:58	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x00113b…
07-03 18:00:43	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1c9e2e…
07-02 19:57:22	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x44a038…
07-02 03:25:52	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x5fd168…
07-01 22:05:07	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x7ea93f…
07-01 19:33:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xca30b1…
07-01 01:35:25	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xa564dc…
06-30 20:25:40	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x96d29a…
06-30 20:25:29	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3d1949…
06-30 03:33:04	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x857d1a…
06-30 03:32:58	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xbc3d89…
06-30 03:14:08	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x33eb2c…
06-30 03:14:01	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x458c80…
06-28 22:54:50	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x4fffd3…
06-28 22:54:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x9606cb…
06-28 22:17:44	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x00cdbf…
06-28 22:08:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xb65d03…
06-28 22:07:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xff0f51…
06-26 17:55:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x352b95…
06-24 20:38:55	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3447f9…
06-24 19:43:35	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xe0c018…
06-24 19:29:26	eth updown 5m 1782329100	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd5bf56…
06-22 03:45:53	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa20fd6…
06-22 03:45:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x296e60…
06-22 03:45:22	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa0a3b5…
06-22 03:22:23	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xe34e08…
06-22 03:20:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xfcecde…
06-19 19:34:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0ee0b8…
06-19 05:16:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x55fe4b…
06-18 18:53:14	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xadf504…
06-15 15:58:57	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x322438…
06-15 15:58:24	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe90c42…
06-15 15:53:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5a55a7…
06-15 15:50:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9869e8…
06-12 17:08:45	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0xefcdd7…
06-12 16:39:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x3d6d29…
05-20 13:42:23	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x1ae52d…
05-19 16:55:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x48f079…
05-11 15:38:37	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xb3e50e…
05-11 15:37:30	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa43a06…
05-11 15:35:26	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5876da…
05-11 00:37:04	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x4ce4f8…
05-10 23:20:16	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0xaed6e1…
05-10 23:19:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x2aeec7…
05-08 16:29:55	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xb4bac9…
05-08 16:16:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6a0f20…
05-08 16:05:47	Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x4636c5…
05-08 14:21:55	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x6a17a5…
05-08 12:20:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x530fe2…
05-08 12:18:24	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x65c6ab…
05-08 03:45:36	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf4ac12…
05-08 03:32:16	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x6f59ab…
05-08 02:34:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x7a36f5…
05-08 01:27:24	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x0cf654…
05-07 21:02:13	Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x16a6f6…
05-07 20:57:16	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0x60dcd5…
05-07 20:01:44	Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0x72c8d7…
05-07 20:00:37	Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x67bc71…
05-07 19:00:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x364be5…
05-07 18:50:46	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x296aaf…
05-07 18:43:56	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x297f8b…
05-07 18:30:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd32f49…
05-07 18:20:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x1e6456…
05-07 18:13:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$7	0x384d9e…
05-07 18:13:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5bef65…
05-07 16:54:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0xcc3747…
05-04 16:08:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$4	0x7151d0…
05-04 13:41:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xbee99b…
05-04 13:40:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xfc4f50…
05-04 03:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xc7c88d…
05-04 03:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd4613a…
05-04 03:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0db45a…
05-04 03:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8320b…
05-04 03:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc7602d…
05-04 03:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x36ed74…
05-04 03:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x39b4c6…
05-04 02:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x241e21…
05-04 02:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x1241a9…
05-04 02:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe989eb…
05-04 02:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb49dc7…
05-04 02:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x0b76a3…
05-04 02:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xca24fd…
05-03 21:36:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x57befd…
05-03 21:35:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfe7f6e…
05-03 21:28:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5c3135…
05-03 21:27:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xfee25d…
04-29 18:49:20	Will Powell say "Governor" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0786b5…
04-29 18:48:54	Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x4ae05a…
04-29 15:54:12	Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xc0c151…
04-29 15:50:50	Will Powell say "Governor" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xb24afe…
04-29 15:47:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x20399a…
04-29 15:23:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf381d5…
04-29 15:17:42	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb5448f…
04-29 15:12:08	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe164fd…
04-29 14:54:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xbce175…
04-29 14:53:00	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbf6b77…
04-29 04:24:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2014a0…
04-29 04:23:40	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x2a93d3…