Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
137
Trades
311
lifetime
Volume
$2.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$42
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 10-20 21:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
61% 65% +$22
Politics
31% 47% -$20
Crypto
7% 58% -$36
Sports
2% 67% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -149 -$14 11¢ $-16 -$1 10-19 16:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -56 -$13 16¢ $-9 +$4 10-19 16:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$8 94¢ $-8 +$0 09-01 15:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -9 -$4 68¢ $-6 -$2 05-20 02:23
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -75 $19 3¢ $-2 -$21 09-01 15:40
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes -25 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 10-19 16:49
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes -19 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 10-19 16:49
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$3 6¢ $-0 +$3 04-28 18:35
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes -12 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 10-20 21:29