Natural-Vacation 0xa8c63f…1444e8
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$13.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.49K
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
25
Trades
51,753
lifetime
Volume
$12.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$246
Open exposure
$111.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
64% 30% $-12,458
Other
31% 73% $-566
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 855 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +13,358 $7,647 78¢ $10.5K +$2,839 07-11 22:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11,260 $9,857 92¢ $10.3K +$445 07-22 15:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +8,666 $7,596 94¢ $8.2K +$593 07-13 13:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +7,952 $7,455 97¢ $7.7K +$279 07-17 22:28
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +7,454 $6,748 94¢ $7.0K +$293 07-21 18:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +9,227 $7,683 74¢ $6.8K $-902 07-22 22:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +8,134 $6,899 74¢ $6.1K $-839 07-06 21:25
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +6,045 $4,308 88¢ $5.3K +$981 07-17 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +8,508 $6,224 50¢ $4.3K $-1,927 07-21 17:45
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -4,350 $-4,264 98¢ $-4257 +$7 07-14 04:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +12,461 $2,247 30¢ $3.7K +$1,429 07-23 04:16
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +27,025 $8,062 12¢ $3.4K $-4,684 07-23 04:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -2,834 $-2,547 96¢ $-2731 $-184 07-19 23:05
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,847 $2,591 92¢ $2.6K +$43 07-05 00:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,486 $2,344 96¢ $2.4K +$31 07-22 09:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -2,516 $-2,371 90¢ $-2277 +$95 07-08 13:27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -2,448 $-2,045 92¢ $-2264 $-219 07-21 05:36
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -3,376 $-2,197 66¢ $-2211 $-14 07-18 00:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2,316 $-2,186 94¢ $-2177 +$9 07-22 14:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,200 $1,714 90¢ $2.0K +$255 07-22 16:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +3,000 $1,875 64¢ $1.9K +$30 07-22 19:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -2,291 $-1,675 78¢ $-1798 $-123 06-02 10:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,550 $224 70¢ $1.8K +$1,573 07-18 23:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3,599 $-395 50¢ $1.8K +$2,177 07-13 14:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -1,851 $-1,805 86¢ $-1601 +$205 07-07 12:00
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -1,480 $-1,376 97¢ $-1438 $-61 06-08 11:15
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +1,500 $1,385 90¢ $1.3K $-42 07-14 16:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,000 $1,210 66¢ $1.3K +$120 07-03 07:02
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1,376 $1,316 96¢ $1.3K $-2 07-21 21:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,800 $1,166 70¢ $1.3K +$85 07-06 17:14