Buzzing-Profession — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.83K

Unrealized P&L

-$77

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

677

Trades

6,291

lifetime

Volume

$301.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$5.11K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-26 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

75% 54% +$3,208

Politics

21% 63% -$933

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Sports

1% 62% -$441

Crypto

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+3,207	$2,947	95¢	$3.0K	+$87	10-26 20:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-1,450	-$1,175	96¢	$-1391	-$216	06-06 05:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$708	36¢	$365	-$343	08-30 03:05
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+200	$132	66¢	$131	-$1	10-25 12:29
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+125	$14	99¢	$124	+$109	09-10 09:20
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+135	$83	20¢	$28	-$56	09-12 20:16
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	-200	-$58	8¢	$-16	+$42	05-06 14:57
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,670	$10	1¢	$14	+$4	10-15 16:15
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	Yes	+49	$25	11¢	$5	-$20	07-22 04:14
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+125	$18	1¢	$1	-$16	09-22 16:41
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	-22	-$3	4¢	$-1	+$2	05-06 15:04
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	+0	-$328	88¢	$0	+$328	10-26 16:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	+0	-$2	98¢	$0	+$2	10-24 12:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	74	$8.1K	5,086	5,086	+0	open	—	10-14 22:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$5.5K	2,860	3,442	-582	Yes	+$594	02-26 22:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?	34	$5.5K	2,788	2,788	+0	No	+$105	06-15 14:01
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	67	$5.4K	3,485	4,172	-687	Yes	-$176	06-08 18:09
us imports russian diesel by october 31	58	$4.3K	3,908	700	+3,207	open	—	10-26 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	31	$4.2K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$168	07-03 02:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	43	$4.2K	4,050	1,443	+2,606	No	+$1,157	04-23 03:30
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	94	$4.0K	2,881	2,881	+0	Yes	+$363	07-22 21:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	6	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$12	06-12 07:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	41	$3.8K	2,509	2,233	+276	Yes	+$65	07-29 07:45
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	50	$3.6K	2,597	2,597	+0	open	—	10-26 16:18
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	43	$3.5K	3,182	2,604	+578	No	-$386	09-22 22:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	20	$3.5K	1,760	2,060	-300	No	+$16	06-29 22:58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	61	$3.4K	2,051	2,051	+0	No	+$23	09-07 10:09
gc up or down on march 2 2026	14	$3.3K	1,752	1,752	-0	Up	+$130	03-02 08:21
will the us invade iran by march 31	20	$3.2K	2,427	1,223	+1,204	No	+$133	03-31 22:42
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	13	$3.2K	1,646	1,646	-0	Yes	+$115	06-17 21:59
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	9	$3.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$26	02-26 22:59
Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?	34	$2.9K	1,741	1,481	+260	Yes	+$250	09-02 06:17
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	19	$2.8K	1,429	1,429	+0	Yes	+$34	08-19 19:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	6	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$68	07-27 03:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	31	$2.7K	1,498	1,498	+0	No	+$39	08-20 23:43
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	36	$2.6K	1,454	2,004	-550	Yes	+$639	04-10 12:34
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?	25	$2.6K	1,801	1,341	+460	Yes	-$13	09-07 14:03
will russia enter krasnoiarske by december 31 671	12	$2.6K	1,601	1,601	+0	Yes	+$495	07-23 21:24
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	14	$2.6K	1,315	1,315	+0	No	+$37	07-18 13:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$2.4K	1,341	1,541	-200	No	+$42	03-29 06:58
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	22	$2.4K	1,260	1,260	+0	No	+$33	09-25 08:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	40	$2.4K	2,300	1,900	+400	Yes	+$223	09-16 14:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$2.3K	1,600	800	+800	No	+$125	06-25 22:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:52:08	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf9929b…
10-26 16:18:14	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0xf9a42b…
10-26 16:18:14	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x758f42…
10-26 16:18:14	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	78	88¢	$69	0x5ba902…
10-26 16:18:14	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	146	88¢	$128	0x2b3a51…
10-26 16:15:38	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x6e2b0b…
10-26 15:56:39	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0xf00b64…
10-26 15:56:36	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	121	84¢	$102	0xbc7c3d…
10-26 11:32:06	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x52b7cc…
10-26 09:45:20	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x167e97…
10-26 09:31:14	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	46	29¢	$13	0xb29753…
10-26 09:31:08	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xeca096…
10-26 09:31:08	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x61f36f…
10-26 06:21:29	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	733	85¢	$624	0x315c69…
10-26 06:21:27	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x1ff9d9…
10-26 05:57:50	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	21	84¢	$17	0x9e1706…
10-26 03:20:33	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	98	94¢	$93	0xc2a619…
10-26 02:00:54	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x269e7d…
10-26 01:29:29	Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x0071c2…
10-25 22:51:36	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x7e92dc…
10-25 22:27:41	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8835f1…
10-25 21:24:38	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	73	98¢	$71	0x341ac8…
10-25 21:07:33	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	137	97¢	$133	0xe5d1f1…
10-25 19:51:51	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0xb7f512…
10-25 19:47:45	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	219	97¢	$213	0x4a10de…
10-25 19:32:09	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	90	13¢	$12	0xed8eda…
10-25 17:28:12	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	65¢	$44	0xc01486…
10-25 17:25:21	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	181	97¢	$176	0xb69336…
10-25 16:10:00	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	65¢	$21	0xefc9e7…
10-25 14:36:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	125	58¢	$72	0x5bc8a6…
10-25 14:35:59	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0x3d0b00…
10-25 14:31:18	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$31	0xe1e901…
10-25 12:29:15	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x45f028…
10-25 11:08:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x941ea3…
10-25 10:42:11	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x1b7ea3…
10-25 09:53:21	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x398045…
10-25 07:15:57	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x170039…
10-25 07:05:17	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x901753…
10-25 05:48:42	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xb2e544…
10-25 05:36:02	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x328909…
10-25 02:43:32	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xd263b3…
10-25 02:04:26	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x316f55…
10-25 01:57:12	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xb6bb88…
10-25 01:52:53	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xc01c92…
10-25 00:12:39	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xaccbf1…
10-24 21:33:36	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x9cf1dc…
10-24 17:05:32	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x35d413…
10-24 12:43:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	331	90¢	$298	0xeead6e…
10-24 12:39:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xf09877…
10-24 12:28:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x13acc2…
10-24 11:53:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	164	85¢	$139	0x68fd3e…
10-24 05:23:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd522b9…
10-24 03:47:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x092acd…
10-24 03:03:47	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x615a6c…
10-24 01:28:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xed42c7…
10-24 01:22:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	77	98¢	$76	0x27c5be…
10-24 01:21:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	86	98¢	$84	0x4a373e…
10-23 22:05:41	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	SELL	85	67¢	$57	0xce1987…
10-23 22:05:41	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xcdf953…
10-23 15:54:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x56a50a…
10-23 15:52:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xf015cf…
10-23 15:16:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xdf4f0b…
10-23 13:52:29	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0xf9e0af…
10-23 13:28:03	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x941d09…
10-23 12:38:48	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xd64916…
10-23 12:38:41	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$26	0x169d99…
10-23 12:38:39	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x2f3557…
10-23 12:38:18	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x71f8e7…
10-23 12:38:17	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x46fc19…
10-23 10:34:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xcd71ac…
10-23 09:52:09	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	134	95¢	$127	0x1f27e5…
10-23 09:35:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	154	86¢	$132	0x46adb5…
10-23 09:33:48	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xd82c4a…
10-23 08:44:00	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	398	91¢	$362	0xa06db4…
10-23 08:41:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x9e6e6b…
10-23 08:40:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x086c62…
10-23 07:53:15	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x477954…
10-23 07:46:59	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	81	87¢	$71	0xeacaec…
10-22 21:01:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xfc0ee3…
10-22 20:32:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x179327…
10-22 20:07:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xb1ce8c…
10-22 20:07:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x067b5f…
10-22 20:00:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x9f6477…
10-22 19:35:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x8fd578…
10-22 17:48:57	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xec0ecf…
10-22 15:14:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xfa9723…
10-22 15:14:12	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0x6ff89d…
10-22 15:01:02	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0xd37277…
10-22 14:01:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x9d2fa9…
10-22 12:43:59	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?	Yes	SELL	32	89¢	$28	0x4c7921…
10-22 12:43:59	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x24e9b6…
10-22 12:17:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	30¢	$45	0x70b6da…
10-22 11:39:42	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x267171…
10-22 11:33:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	25¢	$62	0x25dfa2…
10-22 11:23:57	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x403bae…
10-22 11:14:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xc33459…
10-22 10:40:23	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x377a90…
10-22 08:33:44	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	92	95¢	$88	0xbde1bf…
10-22 07:48:00	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	37	65¢	$24	0x4363ca…
10-22 07:48:00	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	35	64¢	$22	0x3374e3…