Realized P&L
+$2.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
3,944
Trades
15,585
lifetime
Volume
$90.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$100
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 10-28 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
53% 41% +$2,132
Sports
44% 44% +$337
Crypto
2% 41% +$187
Tech
1% 79% +$24
Politics
0% 62% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 552 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +43 $27 79¢ $34 +$7 10-21 20:20
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +35 $7 96¢ $34 +$27 08-22 12:09
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +43 -$8 20¢ $8 +$17 10-21 20:20
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +293 $25 2¢ $5 -$20 09-13 00:36
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +14 $11 36¢ $5 -$6 10-25 18:14
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 10-23 13:06
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 10-26 17:42
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28? Yes +10 $4 29¢ $3 -$1 10-28 19:58
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +35 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 08-22 12:09
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 10-23 13:06