Realized P&L
+$2.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
3,937
Trades
15,563
lifetime
Volume
$89.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$97
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 10-28 03:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
53% 41% +$2,127
Sports
44% 44% +$337
Crypto
2% 41% +$187
Tech
1% 79% +$24
Politics
0% 62% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 552 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +35 $7 96¢ $34 +$27 08-22 12:09
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +43 $27 76¢ $33 +$5 10-21 20:20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +43 -$8 24¢ $10 +$19 10-21 20:20
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +293 $25 2¢ $5 -$20 09-13 00:36
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +14 $11 37¢ $5 -$6 10-25 18:14
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 10-23 13:06
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 10-26 17:42
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +35 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 08-22 12:09
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 10-23 13:06