Realized P&L
-$190
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
32.4%
Resolved
52
Trades
481
lifetime
Volume
$1.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$32
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-27 19:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
60% 64% -$177
Politics
34% 62% -$21
Sports
3% 100% +$8
Crypto
2% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -9 -$7 96¢ $-9 -$2 05-07 21:48
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-25 20:11
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -11 -$3 43¢ $-5 -$2 07-08 07:19
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 $0 10-25 22:03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 08-20 11:32
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 -$1 95¢ $-1 $0 05-16 02:41
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1 -$1 95¢ $-1 $0 05-11 15:50
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-29 09:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-25 21:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 10-27 13:17
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $0 10-25 23:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -2 -$1 34¢ $-1 +$0 05-01 02:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 07-19 20:17
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-26 17:50
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11 -$2 4¢ $0 +$2 10-26 00:18
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 10-15 20:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +0 $0 20¢ $0 $0 06-02 13:21
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-07 19:14
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 10-25 20:03