Reflecting-Balloonist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-29 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$1

Crypto

29% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	20	$1.3K	380	1,030	-650	open	—	07-20 07:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	3	$364	400	0	+400	open	—	07-29 10:22
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	8	$296	313	0	+313	open	—	07-19 04:17
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	3	$128	130	0	+130	open	—	07-16 06:25
will solana reach 110 in july 2026	7	$112	68	50	+18	open	—	07-19 04:15
will solana reach 100 in june 2026	4	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	06-22 04:04
will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	5	$96	80	20	+60	open	—	01-20 08:38
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	5	$95	52	52	+0	open	—	06-07 13:22
will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	1	$86	100	0	+100	open	—	07-08 05:43
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	3	$67	30	40	-10	open	—	03-12 16:11
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	2	$65	0	70	-70	open	—	06-04 11:46
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	06-05 16:01
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	07-06 04:49
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-08 09:44
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	8	$31	40	20	+20	open	—	03-27 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-20 08:26
will solana reach 120 in july 2026	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	07-06 03:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	1	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	04-07 04:32
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	4	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 04:02
Will Solana dip to $70 in June?	3	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	06-03 03:49
will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	2	$22	50	0	+50	open	—	07-15 06:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	5	$21	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 12:54
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-31 02:40
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-13 02:35
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-13 10:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-01 04:41
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of february 339 735 643 246 799 559 292 611 315 385	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-02 17:54
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	06-05 16:01
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	06-09 14:59
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 10:22:35	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x92e016…
07-24 03:00:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xf1782b…
07-20 07:19:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x23cf37…
07-19 04:17:34	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x05e38a…
07-19 04:15:43	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xc292a2…
07-19 04:09:25	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xc87430…
07-16 09:02:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x6a1ca7…
07-16 09:01:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$67	0x340941…
07-16 06:25:40	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xc70c67…
07-16 05:46:46	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x56afbf…
07-15 06:48:16	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x3264a6…
07-15 06:48:11	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x09fe73…
07-14 05:53:22	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3646c5…
07-14 05:46:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x231ccd…
07-14 03:17:52	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x538f40…
07-14 02:44:10	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x522bbf…
07-14 02:00:56	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf848ac…
07-14 01:47:11	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xfbc69f…
07-14 01:46:55	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x98b829…
07-11 19:05:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x58ebfc…
07-08 06:21:13	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x76ff81…
07-08 05:45:01	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x1f0c29…
07-08 05:43:49	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xcf10c4…
07-07 05:35:56	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb71409…
07-07 02:32:29	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xf2dd12…
07-06 04:49:22	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd427d3…
07-06 03:50:55	will solana reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xa022ce…
07-04 06:05:35	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xecbff6…
07-04 06:05:26	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb49a56…
07-04 06:05:26	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa14762…
07-04 06:05:26	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8f1459…
07-02 03:11:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xeaa7ef…
06-22 04:04:32	will solana reach 100 in june 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x378896…
06-22 03:05:46	will solana reach 100 in june 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xda03eb…
06-19 07:12:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	250	94¢	$234	0xe2a47a…
06-19 07:11:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xba58da…
06-16 09:56:45	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x2be893…
06-16 07:11:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	400	93¢	$374	0x700ff3…
06-15 11:09:07	will solana reach 100 in june 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x1f4508…
06-15 10:24:07	will solana reach 100 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4cbcd2…
06-10 06:02:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x9c93ae…
06-10 02:33:45	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x34cfb4…
06-10 02:32:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xdf060b…
06-09 14:59:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xc4558d…
06-09 12:25:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x3c65f7…
06-09 07:28:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5d32f3…
06-08 14:55:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x4ee613…
06-08 09:44:37	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7f0431…
06-08 02:30:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xf570c8…
06-07 13:22:24	Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0x936053…
06-05 16:01:48	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x82d01a…
06-05 16:01:42	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x0a4e46…
06-04 11:46:28	Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$27	0x497baf…
06-04 03:58:34	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x58aaac…
06-03 06:18:48	Will Solana reach $90 in June?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x251464…
06-03 05:30:39	Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x74504b…
06-03 03:49:54	Will Solana dip to $70 in June?	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x9578ee…
06-03 03:16:18	Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x9b03ed…
06-03 03:05:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xc2257e…
06-03 02:18:14	Will Solana dip to $70 in June?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x5b07df…
06-02 23:55:35	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xdf94eb…
06-02 11:06:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x61d78b…
06-02 10:30:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xfd2ef2…
06-02 10:04:13	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8e7666…
06-02 10:00:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x2d5f30…
06-02 09:55:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xad9dbf…
06-02 09:31:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xdb874f…
06-02 09:03:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe7f3b6…
06-02 07:04:42	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4f5f07…
06-02 02:14:15	Will Solana dip to $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x39abc8…
06-02 02:04:29	Will Solana reach $90 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x853cbd…
06-01 08:52:41	Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd12ef1…
06-01 08:52:22	Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0x3640f7…
06-01 04:41:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3bf41f…
06-01 02:10:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x6dc8da…
05-31 20:33:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xa241f9…
05-30 10:06:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfafb81…
05-30 07:51:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x8fa173…
05-29 03:48:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe41a70…
05-29 02:21:11	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbe9c7d…
05-28 20:29:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb4bd11…
05-28 17:20:42	Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x256a00…
05-28 09:41:40	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xaca334…
05-28 07:18:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbe70a2…
05-28 05:45:38	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd5e399…
05-28 04:02:31	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xfb62b2…
05-28 03:45:08	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xbbc2e0…
05-20 08:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x24e5c5…
05-13 02:35:14	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd3d4ce…
05-09 07:39:48	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x964f9c…
05-09 02:40:40	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xeace64…
05-06 13:07:32	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xc13da3…
05-06 11:23:02	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5557de…
04-29 14:30:08	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xdd5ce9…
04-22 08:33:04	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa30156…
04-21 03:02:50	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x396414…
04-21 03:02:24	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x50e5aa…
04-19 23:32:46	Will Solana dip to $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xa3fe34…
04-17 07:24:34	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x7e888c…
04-16 08:45:20	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf68289…