Realized P&L
-$64
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
32.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,929
lifetime
Volume
$67.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$299
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 06-30 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
48% 0% $-4
Politics
38% 50% $-60
Tech
12%
Sports
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +300 $225 82¢ $248 +$22 06-09 10:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -500 $-75 $-42 +$32 06-03 11:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -45 $-6 12¢ $-6 +$0 06-13 17:51
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +670 $50 $2 $-48 06-21 11:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +500 $11 $0 $-10 06-10 13:13
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -450 $-4 $-0 +$4 06-14 22:46
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +300 $18 $0 $-18 06-27 23:54
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +162 $14 $0 $-14 06-14 22:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -0 $-8 $-0 +$8 06-14 14:24