Realized P&L
-$79
Unrealized P&L
-$159
Hit rate
30.0%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,360
lifetime
Volume
$93.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$317
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 07-20 17:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
48% 0% $-16
Politics
36% 50% $-60
Tech
10%
Sports
5%
Crypto
1% 0% $-3
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +300 $235 56¢ $167 $-68 07-06 21:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $58 26¢ $53 $-5 07-20 07:40
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +50 $20 65¢ $32 +$13 07-06 16:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -500 $-75 $-27 +$47 06-03 11:39
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +203 $20 $10 $-9 07-03 15:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $8 16¢ $8 $-0 07-20 16:14
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? Yes +100 $14 $7 $-7 07-03 19:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +500 $136 $7 $-129 07-03 09:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -45 $-6 12¢ $-6 +$0 06-13 17:51