Electric-Condominium — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$519

Unrealized P&L

+$455

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

4,936 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.85K

$194.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$2.50K

14 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-01 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Other

57% 37% -$479

Politics

31% 35% +$534

Tech

8% 48% +$839

Sports

3% 25% -$582

Crypto

1% 0% -$296

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+5,000	$837	12¢	$625	-$212	10-09 13:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+3,000	$360	17¢	$510	+$150	10-15 18:09
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	-1,219	-$628	37¢	$-453	+$176	10-30 12:57
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+1,502	$57	25¢	$382	+$325	11-01 14:40
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+2,080	$126	8¢	$165	+$39	10-22 15:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-993	-$205	12¢	$-124	+$81	10-24 22:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+200	$81	48¢	$95	+$14	10-15 17:56
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	+652	$279	12¢	$75	-$204	10-25 20:43
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$33	17¢	$34	+$1	10-30 16:29
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	Yes	+160	$32	16¢	$26	-$6	11-01 04:21
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+100	$17	5¢	$5	-$12	09-20 16:14
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	-5	-$4	90¢	$-4	$0	07-24 16:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+250	-$103	1¢	$2	+$106	10-26 16:01
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	+0	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-19 17:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	8	$7.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$113	07-28 16:08
another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	26	$5.1K	9,000	5,000	+4,000	No	-$1,549	08-30 23:21
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	34	$5.0K	4,531	3,791	+740	Yes	-$83	06-30 17:45
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	4	$4.3K	2,214	2,214	+0	open	—	06-25 10:28
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	27	$3.9K	3,390	3,390	+0	Yes	+$429	07-06 22:45
another critical cloudflare incident by september 30 2026 2	54	$3.7K	4,679	4,679	+0	No	-$145	09-30 16:37
No one announced as next James Bond?	12	$3.4K	2,490	2,490	+0	open	—	10-20 22:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	16	$2.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	09-23 14:53
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	21	$2.6K	1,413	1,413	+0	open	—	06-25 10:27
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	19	$2.6K	1,511	1,511	+0	Yes	+$421	06-08 22:43
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	31	$2.3K	12,983	2,016	+10,968	No	+$210	10-22 15:52
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	13	$2.3K	1,692	1,692	+0	Yes	+$779	10-02 22:19
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	19	$2.0K	1,656	1,656	+0	open	—	08-16 20:50
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	19	$1.9K	1,347	1,347	+0	Yes	+$51	07-24 16:54
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	12	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$10	06-16 20:41
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	15	$1.9K	1,134	1,134	+0	open	—	06-25 13:04
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	3	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$104	06-15 13:49
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	39	$1.8K	5,712	4,210	+1,502	open	—	11-01 14:40
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	4	$1.8K	970	970	+0	Yes	+$102	06-17 17:22
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	9	$1.7K	1,612	1,612	+0	Yes	+$345	07-20 16:00
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	17	$1.7K	1,844	3,063	-1,219	open	—	10-30 12:57
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	8	$1.7K	1,421	1,421	-0	No	+$604	08-14 08:34
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	22	$1.7K	4,383	3,883	+500	No	-$77	07-01 11:00
iran closes its airspace by june 8	56	$1.6K	13,274	13,274	+0	Yes	-$118	06-08 09:51
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	17	$1.6K	761	1,032	-271	Yes	+$179	04-29 10:20
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	19	$1.6K	918	918	+0	Yes	+$200	05-20 11:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$1.4K	1,700	1,200	+500	No	-$136	07-03 09:34
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	4	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$22	10-06 09:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	11	$1.2K	1,098	1,098	+0	Yes	+$13	07-29 13:46
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	11	$1.2K	745	745	+0	No	+$142	06-28 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:51:54	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xda4718…
11-01 14:44:54	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	SELL	350	0¢	$1	0x75bd10…
11-01 14:40:06	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0xae1e58…
11-01 14:39:49	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x22343e…
11-01 13:25:15	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	350	26¢	$92	0x9b9c81…
11-01 13:21:10	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	12,875	0¢	$13	0x911372…
11-01 04:21:49	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	160	20¢	$32	0x9ca5fa…
11-01 03:23:39	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	184	0¢	$0	0xbf4b10…
11-01 03:23:37	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1,163	0¢	$1	0x76c22d…
11-01 03:23:37	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	665	0¢	$1	0x68d9f5…
11-01 03:23:37	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	305	0¢	$0	0x2c28e0…
11-01 03:23:37	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	372	0¢	$0	0x1c279e…
11-01 03:19:46	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xc10b5b…
11-01 02:15:00	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0xe35717…
11-01 02:15:00	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x20fe56…
11-01 02:15:00	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x08a3a9…
11-01 02:14:46	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x60baba…
11-01 02:14:31	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf638dd…
11-01 02:14:31	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xe1d047…
11-01 02:14:31	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc9d583…
11-01 02:14:31	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5dd99f…
11-01 02:10:07	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd6f8de…
11-01 02:10:07	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4133f1…
11-01 01:57:58	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x558156…
10-31 23:37:18	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xbcbfab…
10-31 23:01:15	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	350	44¢	$154	0xd57029…
10-31 21:39:15	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	199	2¢	$4	0xca1bde…
10-31 18:28:54	Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	352	1¢	$4	0xb3720c…
10-31 17:53:27	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xa7e854…
10-31 17:09:51	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	400	26¢	$103	0xcaf923…
10-31 15:11:13	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x5de49c…
10-31 15:03:37	Will "Pragmata" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0xb92cca…
10-31 15:03:19	Will "The Blood of Dawnwalker" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	102	0¢	$0	0xe71996…
10-31 13:05:37	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	155	38¢	$59	0x243f84…
10-31 12:49:12	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0x4744a4…
10-31 12:31:33	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xd6136a…
10-31 12:29:43	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xf02f0f…
10-31 04:02:43	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x39f782…
10-31 00:49:28	Will "Pragmata" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa1bb73…
10-31 00:49:28	Will "The Blood of Dawnwalker" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8a7240…
10-30 16:29:03	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x7a7f0f…
10-30 16:07:33	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0xd9ceb3…
10-30 15:33:15	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x75641a…
10-30 15:32:40	Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x60248c…
10-30 12:58:21	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	571	25¢	$142	0xe3342b…
10-30 12:57:39	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	1,088	35¢	$381	0x3b9eb6…
10-30 06:52:21	Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	270	1¢	$3	0x94f016…
10-30 04:12:28	Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	SELL	89	0¢	$0	0xfb1b8e…
10-29 22:57:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0x53e1d3…
10-29 02:29:58	Will Clavicular visit Russia in 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	10¢	$7	0x97b3e7…
10-28 22:46:28	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	290	20¢	$57	0xdc9d3b…
10-28 21:44:17	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa5a927…
10-28 21:35:56	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x507862…
10-28 15:36:28	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x358265…
10-28 15:31:40	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	BUY	504	1¢	$4	0xccade1…
10-28 15:14:52	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x5bc964…
10-28 12:59:29	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0xe7333a…
10-28 12:59:29	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc35d7…
10-28 12:38:02	Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xafcbb4…
10-28 12:23:52	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	7¢	$8	0x8d6389…
10-28 10:15:53	Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x42898d…
10-28 10:13:52	Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x1dcb75…
10-28 00:57:00	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf2ee6e…
10-28 00:14:00	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0xda6d17…
10-28 00:07:33	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x0ce7eb…
10-28 00:07:26	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$25	0x7e9edd…
10-27 23:55:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	150	26¢	$39	0x245e59…
10-27 23:41:23	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$26	0x2a258c…
10-27 23:30:14	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa6c9f1…
10-27 15:44:38	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x2955cc…
10-27 13:23:53	James Norton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	1,234	5¢	$62	0x1d1c96…
10-27 12:38:29	Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$13	0xb7f765…
10-27 11:50:03	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x22cd59…
10-27 11:49:45	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x6bf9c8…
10-27 11:18:41	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x7b7567…
10-26 16:01:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	162	14¢	$23	0x61d3f5…
10-26 16:01:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	88	14¢	$12	0x4cc4dc…
10-25 21:29:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	196	15¢	$29	0x000754…
10-25 21:06:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	246	28¢	$69	0x2c38f7…
10-25 20:45:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,200	28¢	$335	0x93f3b1…
10-25 20:43:11	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0x07740a…
10-25 20:41:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	300	97¢	$290	0x9df41d…
10-25 16:31:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	23	28¢	$7	0x02311f…
10-25 16:17:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	977	29¢	$283	0xa705c1…
10-25 16:03:02	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0x8a498f…
10-25 16:02:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xe99811…
10-25 16:02:32	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$5	0x37c5b1…
10-25 16:02:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0x9c0aaf…
10-25 16:00:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	146	6¢	$9	0xf1c2e7…
10-25 16:00:44	Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x70ac65…
10-25 15:59:33	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	SELL	205	10¢	$20	0x1867b9…
10-25 15:59:23	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x6d1d75…
10-25 14:57:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	300	61¢	$183	0x465fff…
10-25 13:04:24	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	Yes	SELL	19	29¢	$6	0x5b402c…
10-25 12:58:48	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x88d4c4…
10-25 10:13:03	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	384	0¢	$2	0x0ca85b…
10-25 07:46:45	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x5b1b7e…
10-25 07:30:03	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x5b80bd…
10-25 02:31:53	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x095af7…
10-25 02:02:59	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	30¢	$28	0xe13f53…