Electric-Condominium 0x272c7b…0f7f07 Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$3.51K
Unrealized P&L
+$760
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved (90d)
249
Trades (90d)
1,776
5,006 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$67.7K
$197.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$3.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 11-05 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Other
56% 37% -$502
Politics
32% 33% +$1
Tech
8% 48% +$839
Sports
3% 25% -$582
Crypto
1% 0% -$296
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +399 $240 97¢ $387 +$147 11-04 12:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5,000 $837 8¢ $375 -$462 10-09 13:48
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,401 -$137 26¢ $363 +$500 11-05 23:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? Yes +300 $117 100¢ $300 +$183 11-05 20:10
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +3,000 $360 8¢ $255 -$105 10-15 18:09
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +255 $188 76¢ $195 +$7 11-04 16:43
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes -888 -$584 22¢ $-194 +$390 11-04 23:31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +213 $138 72¢ $154 +$16 11-04 23:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -993 -$205 12¢ $-124 +$81 10-24 22:44
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-101 -$2 11-04 18:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +200 $81 39¢ $78 -$3 10-15 17:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +100 $65 77¢ $77 +$12 11-05 16:35
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +121 $28 58¢ $71 +$43 09-20 13:31
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? Yes +135 -$8 50¢ $67 +$76 11-05 17:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +100 $30 58¢ $58 +$28 11-04 16:49
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? Yes +2,202 $26 2¢ $44 +$18 10-31 18:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November? No +100 $30 36¢ $36 +$6 11-05 16:35
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $33 16¢ $31 -$2 10-30 16:29
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? Yes +14,562 $15 0¢ $29 +$15 11-05 23:37
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +160 $32 18¢ $28 -$4 11-01 04:21
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +95 $42 29¢ $27 -$15 10-24 15:05
Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond? Yes +16,306 $16 0¢ $24 +$8 11-01 13:21
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $10 12¢ $14 +$5 10-28 10:13
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +2,080 $126 1¢ $14 -$112 10-22 15:55
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes +100 $33 11¢ $11 -$22 10-23 16:28
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $25 8¢ $10 -$15 10-28 12:38
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +500 $31 2¢ $8 -$24 09-20 18:11
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? Yes +200 $28 4¢ $8 -$20 10-11 02:44
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +282 $11 3¢ $7 -$4 11-02 16:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +200 -$10 3¢ $7 +$17 11-04 16:24