Realized P&L
-$59
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
779
Trades
5,206
lifetime
Volume
$208.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$3.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 11-10 23:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
57% 37% -$555
Politics
32% 34% +$573
Tech
7% 48% +$839
Sports
3% 25% -$582
Crypto
1% 0% -$311
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nicholas Hoult announced as next James Bond? Yes +15,103 -$61 3¢ $476 +$537 11-10 21:49
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,000 $490 15¢ $435 -$55 11-10 22:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5,000 $837 8¢ $375 -$462 10-09 13:48
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes -1,219 -$684 29¢ $-351 +$333 11-08 20:02
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,000 -$192 32¢ $324 +$516 11-08 16:13
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +949 $515 27¢ $256 -$259 11-06 21:14
Next James Bond announced by November 30, 2026? No +395 $235 61¢ $241 +$6 11-10 21:54
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +899 $205 18¢ $157 -$48 11-09 10:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +3,000 $360 4¢ $135 -$225 10-15 18:09
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $142 66¢ $133 -$9 11-09 03:01
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes +1,000 $132 11¢ $105 -$27 11-06 10:56
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-101 -$2 11-04 18:46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -993 -$205 10¢ $-99 +$106 10-24 22:44
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes -93 -$46 89¢ $-83 -$37 11-09 16:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +200 $131 34¢ $69 -$62 11-06 09:18
Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +172 $48 24¢ $42 -$6 11-06 14:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +300 $54 14¢ $40 -$14 11-10 11:07
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? Yes +521 $108 7¢ $36 -$72 10-13 06:13
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? Yes +4,424 $57 1¢ $35 -$22 11-07 12:24
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +100 $30 34¢ $34 +$4 11-10 14:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +200 $81 16¢ $31 -$50 10-15 17:56
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +3,336 $143 1¢ $27 -$117 11-08 08:24
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? Yes +195 $29 13¢ $25 -$4 11-10 17:20
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? Yes +196 $38 12¢ $25 -$13 11-09 11:34
Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond? Yes +16,306 $16 0¢ $24 +$8 11-01 13:21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes -376 -$6 6¢ $-23 -$17 11-06 14:15
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +160 $32 14¢ $22 -$10 11-01 04:21
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $33 11¢ $21 -$12 10-30 16:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +100 $41 21¢ $21 -$20 11-06 09:18
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +1,100 $17 2¢ $20 +$3 11-07 04:22