Realized P&L
+$308
Unrealized P&L
+$377
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
798
Trades
5,315
lifetime
Volume
$215.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$4.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 11-13 01:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
57% 37% -$183
Politics
31% 35% +$573
Tech
8% 47% +$833
Sports
3% 25% -$582
Crypto
1% 0% -$311
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,000 $490 16¢ $465 -$25 11-10 22:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5,000 $837 8¢ $425 -$412 10-09 13:48
Nicholas Hoult announced as next James Bond? Yes +14,000 -$128 3¢ $413 +$541 11-11 13:08
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes -1,219 -$684 31¢ $-383 +$301 11-08 20:02
Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31? Yes +691 $287 52¢ $359 +$72 11-13 01:34
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,000 -$192 32¢ $325 +$516 11-08 16:13
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +949 $515 28¢ $261 -$254 11-06 21:14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +291 $240 90¢ $260 +$21 11-12 18:25
Next James Bond announced by November 30, 2026? No +395 $235 61¢ $241 +$6 11-10 21:54
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +899 $205 20¢ $184 -$21 11-09 10:50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $142 74¢ $149 +$7 11-09 03:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +3,000 $360 4¢ $135 -$225 10-15 18:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -993 -$205 11¢ $-104 +$101 10-24 22:44
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-101 -$2 11-04 18:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +200 $131 44¢ $88 -$43 11-06 09:18
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes -93 -$46 93¢ $-86 -$41 11-09 16:42
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes +500 $72 10¢ $50 -$22 11-12 00:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +200 $81 22¢ $43 -$38 10-15 17:56
Next James Bond announced by November 15, 2026? No +56 $45 75¢ $42 -$3 11-12 15:03
Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +172 $48 22¢ $38 -$10 11-06 14:59
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026? Yes +311 $40 12¢ $37 -$3 11-12 19:51
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? Yes +521 $108 7¢ $36 -$72 10-13 06:13
Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026? No +51 $29 68¢ $35 +$6 11-12 23:21
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +100 $30 34¢ $34 +$4 11-10 14:10
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? Yes +195 $29 16¢ $32 +$3 11-10 17:20
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $31 32¢ $32 +$0 11-12 17:10
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +160 $32 16¢ $26 -$6 11-01 04:21
Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $40 11¢ $26 -$14 11-12 15:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +100 $41 26¢ $26 -$15 11-06 09:18
Will Rene Haas be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +200 $20 12¢ $25 +$4 11-12 19:08