Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
773
Trades
5,168
lifetime
Volume
$206.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$3.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 11-09 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
57% 37% -$492
Politics
32% 35% +$576
Tech
7% 48% +$839
Sports
3% 25% -$582
Crypto
1% 0% -$296
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nicholas Hoult announced as next James Bond? Yes +16,203 $73 3¢ $454 +$381 11-09 20:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5,000 $837 8¢ $400 -$437 10-09 13:48
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes -1,219 -$684 29¢ $-349 +$336 11-08 20:02
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +949 $515 28¢ $266 -$250 11-06 21:14
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,000 -$192 26¢ $259 +$450 11-08 16:13
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +899 $205 26¢ $234 +$29 11-09 10:50
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +200 $169 88¢ $175 +$6 11-09 14:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $190 18¢ $175 -$15 11-08 17:21
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes +1,000 $132 15¢ $145 +$13 11-06 10:56
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $142 72¢ $144 +$2 11-09 03:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +3,000 $360 4¢ $135 -$225 10-15 18:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -993 -$205 12¢ $-124 +$81 10-24 22:44
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-101 -$2 11-04 18:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +200 $131 38¢ $77 -$54 11-06 09:18
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes -93 -$46 77¢ $-72 -$26 11-09 16:42
Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +172 $48 26¢ $45 -$3 11-06 14:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +200 $81 22¢ $44 -$37 10-15 17:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +400 $32 10¢ $38 +$6 11-06 23:02
Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $38 18¢ $37 -$1 11-09 18:46
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? Yes +3,000 $36 1¢ $36 +$0 10-22 17:50
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? Yes +521 $108 6¢ $34 -$74 10-13 06:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +100 $41 31¢ $30 -$10 11-06 09:18
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +160 $32 19¢ $30 -$2 11-01 04:21
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? Yes +196 $38 13¢ $26 -$12 11-09 11:34
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +1,100 $17 2¢ $25 +$7 11-07 04:22
Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond? Yes +16,306 $16 0¢ $24 +$8 11-01 13:21
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? Yes +4,424 $57 1¢ $24 -$33 11-07 12:24
Theo James announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,041 $4 2¢ $23 +$19 11-06 11:01
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $33 11¢ $21 -$12 10-30 16:29
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +3,336 $143 1¢ $18 -$125 11-08 08:24