Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$179
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
774
Trades
5,173
lifetime
Volume
$206.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$3.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 11-10 01:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
57% 37% -$492
Politics
32% 34% +$573
Tech
7% 48% +$839
Sports
3% 25% -$582
Crypto
1% 0% -$296
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nicholas Hoult announced as next James Bond? Yes +16,203 $73 5¢ $753 +$680 11-09 20:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5,000 $837 8¢ $400 -$437 10-09 13:48
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes -1,219 -$684 31¢ $-379 +$305 11-08 20:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? Yes +2,000 $340 16¢ $330 -$10 11-10 01:51
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,000 -$192 29¢ $286 +$477 11-08 16:13
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +949 $515 29¢ $270 -$245 11-06 21:14
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +899 $205 18¢ $166 -$39 11-09 10:50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $142 78¢ $156 +$14 11-09 03:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +3,000 $360 4¢ $135 -$225 10-15 18:09
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes +1,000 $132 12¢ $115 -$17 11-06 10:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -993 -$205 12¢ $-114 +$91 10-24 22:44
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-101 -$2 11-04 18:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +200 $131 37¢ $74 -$57 11-06 09:18
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes -93 -$46 79¢ $-73 -$28 11-09 16:42
Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $38 24¢ $48 +$10 11-09 18:46
Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +172 $48 26¢ $45 -$3 11-06 14:59
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? Yes +521 $108 7¢ $36 -$72 10-13 06:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +200 $81 16¢ $33 -$48 10-15 17:56
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? Yes +196 $38 16¢ $30 -$7 11-09 11:34
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +160 $32 19¢ $30 -$2 11-01 04:21
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? Yes +4,424 $57 1¢ $29 -$28 11-07 12:24
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +1,100 $17 2¢ $25 +$8 11-07 04:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +100 $41 24¢ $24 -$16 11-06 09:18
Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond? Yes +16,306 $16 0¢ $24 +$8 11-01 13:21
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $33 11¢ $21 -$12 10-30 16:29
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? Yes +3,000 $36 1¢ $21 -$15 10-22 17:50
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +3,336 $143 1¢ $20 -$123 11-08 08:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +400 $32 5¢ $18 -$14 11-06 23:02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes -376 -$6 4¢ $-13 -$8 11-06 14:15
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +600 $20 2¢ $13 -$6 11-06 14:15